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Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	KHANNA Adamantis	-	-	-	1%	8%	35%	56%
2	LUCAS William	-	-	3%	14%	33%	36%	14%
3	NG Oliver	-	1%	4%	17%	34%	32%	12%
3	ISAYENKO Daniel	-	-	1%	15%	39%	36%	10%
5	BELAND Riley James "RJ"	-	-	2%	19%	40%	31%	8%
6	HU Jayden	-	1%	4%	17%	34%	32%	11%
7	LIN Brendan	-	1%	8%	24%	36%	25%	6%
8	ROMBERG Sam	-	2%	12%	28%	35%	19%	3%
9	ROPER F. Elijah	-	-	1%	6%	21%	41%	31%
10	SAGE Nikolai	-	1%	7%	27%	43%	22%
11	WU Vincent	-	1%	9%	25%	36%	23%	6%
12	SHAPIRO Leo	-	1%	6%	21%	35%	28%	9%
13	LIM JUWANA Maximilian	-	-	3%	14%	32%	35%	14%
14	CHAN Ewan	1%	12%	37%	36%	13%	2%
15	BEAL Colton	-	-	5%	25%	44%	25%
16	WAXLER Alex	6%	23%	35%	25%	9%	1%	-
17	FRANCOIS Gabriel	-	3%	15%	32%	32%	15%	3%
18	BRADY Jack	1%	8%	25%	35%	24%	7%	1%
19	SINGH Ekam	-	3%	16%	32%	32%	15%	3%
20	ZHANG Simon	1%	10%	26%	34%	22%	7%	1%
21	SUBA Mason	-	-	4%	22%	39%	28%	7%
22	HAGN Maximilian	1%	8%	29%	40%	20%	3%
23	CHANG Timothy	1%	9%	26%	35%	22%	6%	1%
24	CHAVAN Aditya	1%	6%	21%	35%	27%	10%	1%
25	ALUF Brendon	11%	32%	35%	18%	5%	1%	-
26	DAYO Trev	-	-	1%	10%	30%	40%	19%
27	GUERRA Corey	4%	18%	33%	30%	13%	3%	-
28	WEI Hunter	1%	6%	20%	34%	28%	11%	2%
29	ZHANG Howard	4%	17%	33%	30%	14%	3%	-
30	LEIGH Brayden	17%	37%	31%	12%	2%	-	-
31	HAHN Ever	1%	6%	21%	34%	27%	10%	1%
32	O'KEEFE Brody	1%	8%	26%	34%	22%	7%	1%
33	SZETO Derek	-	3%	14%	31%	34%	16%	2%
34	TIAN Evan	-	-	3%	13%	31%	37%	17%
35	NARAYAN Rishi	10%	30%	34%	19%	5%	1%	-
36	CHEN Anson	10%	31%	35%	19%	5%	1%	-
37	GAIDA Ashton	21%	48%	26%	5%	-	-
38	VITALE Mateo	38%	43%	16%	3%	-	-
39	WANG Harrison	8%	28%	36%	21%	6%	1%	-
39	DY Azriel	17%	45%	32%	5%	-	-	-
41	BALTRUSAITIS Lucas Tommaso	4%	23%	37%	25%	9%	2%	-
42	SHUKOOR Haaron	7%	28%	37%	22%	6%	1%	-
43	ZHANG Mark	15%	36%	32%	14%	3%	-	-
44	NELSON Alexander	30%	41%	22%	6%	1%	-	-
45	CIECIEREGA MATTHEW	3%	16%	32%	31%	15%	3%	-
46	FIROOZI Alex	40%	45%	14%	1%	-	-	-
47	LEE Jeffrey	10%	39%	40%	10%	1%	-	-
48	CHENG Shane	55%	35%	9%	1%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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