The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Buckie Leach RYC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, April 21, 2024 at 4:00 PM

New Jersey City University - John Moore Athletic Center - Jersey City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUGALA Hanna - - - 1% 8% 38% 53%
2 LI Sonia - 1% 8% 29% 42% 21%
3 LEOU Korina - - - 1% 12% 43% 44%
3 KWON Ava - 1% 10% 31% 39% 18%
5 CHOI Charlotte 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
5 SHMULER Fiona - 2% 15% 36% 35% 12%
7 IANNUZZI Lucy 1% 7% 27% 38% 23% 5%
8 NEMORIN Rei 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
9 LOO Kaitlyn - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 19%
10 FUNG Iris - - 1% 6% 28% 47% 18%
11 ZHANG Ashley - 4% 21% 38% 29% 8%
12 LI Tiffany - 4% 22% 40% 28% 6% -
13 MACKAY Katherine 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
14 NIU Jessica - 3% 19% 38% 31% 9%
15 PARK Haylie 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
16 LAFFY Lily 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% -
17 BAIK Sarah - 2% 11% 32% 39% 17%
18 BORGUETA Madison - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
19 MERMEGAS Olivia - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
20 YANNOPOULOS Pompie - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
21 GONG Joy - - 1% 7% 30% 47% 15%
22 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai - 3% 16% 37% 35% 9%
23 DAMBAL Sasha - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
24 VISWANATHAN Nishka 1% 11% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
25 WANG JiaQi - - 3% 15% 42% 40%
26 VATS Ishita 5% 25% 39% 25% 6% -
27 REN Katherine - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
28 HUANG Pierra 9% 35% 37% 16% 3% -
29 YOUNG Sienna 1% 10% 34% 37% 15% 2% -
30 CHEN Victoria - 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 5%
31 LEE Grace 5% 21% 35% 28% 11% 2%
32 WONG Charlene - 3% 18% 38% 32% 8% 1%
33 XU Elaine - 1% 8% 29% 42% 18% 2%
34 LIANG Claire 1% 12% 33% 35% 15% 2%
35 BERRIOS Catalina - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
36 CHOWDHERY Myra 2% 14% 37% 34% 12% 2%
37 NG Sophia 17% 43% 30% 9% 1% -
38 GALLAGHER Isabella 5% 23% 37% 27% 8% 1%
39 REDA Sophie 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 3%
40 GENTILE Vittoria - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4%
41 LEE Janice 1% 7% 27% 40% 21% 4% -
42 WANG Keira 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
43 JOHN Sophia 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
43 ZHAO Selena 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
45 NANDA Maanika 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
46 STADNIK Emilia - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
47 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 25% 44% 25% 5% - - -
48 HAGN Luna 4% 22% 41% 26% 6% 1% -
49 SHI Chuqing 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
50 PITRUN Viktorie 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
51 MULLER Inara 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
52 LEIGH Adalene 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
53 BHARDWAJ Riya 42% 43% 13% 2% - -
54 WANG Chloe 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
55 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 17% 47% 29% 7% 1% -
56 GONZALEZ Alexis 44% 42% 13% 2% - -
57 KWON Ava 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
58 BUCCINO Sloane 34% 46% 18% 3% - - -
59 JONES Nima 3% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
60 LIAO Amber 40% 42% 16% 3% - -
61 DEMRY Kylee 47% 40% 12% 2% - -
62 KAKAR Sahana 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
63 ELLIS Saffa 23% 45% 25% 6% 1% - -
64 MADDISON Erica 28% 48% 20% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.