The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

NoVA Knights RYC/RJCC& NON-REGIONAL VET

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, April 21, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Michael and Son Sportsplex at Dulles - Sterling, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KOE Beckett - 1% 11% 42% 46%
2 DHOKTE Neev - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
3 SHAW Spencer 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
3 HARWOOD Gray - 5% 26% 48% 20%
5 LU Nathan - - - 4% 33% 62%
6 LIM EUNSEONG - - 4% 19% 43% 35%
7 GRACEY Gavin - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
8 XU Joseph 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 5%
9 HE Ryan - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
10 LEE Noah - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
11 XIANG Wangzhi 10% 38% 39% 12% 1%
12 TOSCANO Sebastian 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
13 BOWLES Kevin 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2%
14 PARMAR Veer 5% 34% 43% 17% 2% -
15 PHILLIPS Oliver 1% 11% 37% 40% 11% 1%
16 CHOW Kingsley 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
17 LIU Alex - - 4% 26% 53% 17%
18 JIANG Bohan 1% 8% 30% 39% 20% 3%
19 BABER Shaheer 3% 27% 44% 23% 3% -
20 MISHRA Kartikaye 25% 46% 24% 5% 1% -
21 HAVRYLIV Anton 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1%
22 HUANG Anthony 13% 40% 36% 10% 1%
23 PASCHAL Richard Allen 1% 7% 28% 39% 22% 4%
24 HAN Nathan 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
25 STANSBURY Desmond 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
26 KRETZER Joseph 10% 34% 36% 17% 3% -
27 REYNOLDS CHANG Luke 67% 29% 4% - - -
28 NELKA Brenden 37% 44% 17% 2% -
29 DALAL Amitav 31% 45% 20% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.