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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	LAM Alan	-	-	-	3%	15%	40%	43%
2	SAUNIER Cameron	-	1%	4%	16%	33%	33%	13%
3	LEE Aiden	-	-	3%	14%	32%	35%	15%
3	PETROW Zoryan	-	-	3%	14%	35%	38%	9%
5	RUSSELL James	-	1%	8%	23%	37%	26%	5%
6	ALI Farhan	-	-	2%	13%	39%	46%
7	CHHU Allen	-	3%	13%	28%	33%	19%	4%
8	MODANLOU Navid	-	1%	8%	23%	35%	26%	8%
9	CHEN Brian	-	-	-	1%	8%	36%	55%
10	ARMSTRONG TyLee	-	2%	11%	28%	34%	20%	4%
11	LIN Haley	2%	16%	37%	32%	12%	1%
12	LEE DoWon	-	2%	10%	26%	34%	22%	5%
13	GANTSOUDES Isaac	-	1%	8%	23%	35%	25%	7%
14	SINGH Ravin	-	1%	5%	19%	34%	30%	10%
15	REKHI Krish	9%	29%	35%	20%	6%	1%	-
16	RAPALSKI Thomas	1%	10%	26%	34%	22%	6%	1%
17	ZHU Aaron	-	4%	17%	32%	30%	14%	2%
18	CHEN Luowen	-	5%	18%	33%	29%	13%	2%
19	LEECH Braedan	2%	15%	36%	33%	13%	2%
20	YANG Gary	-	5%	18%	33%	29%	13%	2%
21	MARKOWITZ Sam	7%	25%	35%	24%	8%	1%	-
22	CHO Alex	1%	5%	19%	33%	28%	12%	2%
23	JARRATT Isaac	22%	40%	28%	9%	1%	-	-
24	WANG Aiden	-	6%	23%	39%	27%	5%
25	KONG Brandon	15%	36%	32%	14%	3%	-	-
26	SZIEDE Kieran	2%	12%	30%	34%	18%	3%	-
27	PENG Yue	1%	8%	24%	34%	24%	8%	1%
28	YI Nathan	1%	6%	22%	36%	27%	8%	1%
29	SINHA Rounawk	5%	21%	34%	27%	11%	2%	-
30	SODANI Luke	8%	26%	34%	23%	8%	1%	-
31	DELONG Joshua	23%	41%	26%	8%	1%	-	-
32	EVANS George	11%	32%	34%	18%	4%	-	-
33	NOLAN Tyler	5%	21%	34%	27%	11%	2%	-
34	WANG Marcus	3%	18%	35%	30%	12%	2%	-
35	ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas	1%	7%	22%	33%	25%	9%	1%
36	DURAN Sevan Sebastian	59%	33%	7%	1%	-	-
37	WEIKEL Joel	2%	17%	37%	32%	11%	1%
38	ROBERTS Phoenix	9%	31%	36%	19%	5%	-	-
39	MCCABE Kian	28%	41%	23%	7%	1%	-	-
40	BUI Ryan	3%	15%	31%	31%	16%	4%	-
41	DONNELLY Enzo	8%	27%	35%	22%	7%	1%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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