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Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	MARTINEZ ELIZALDE Giselle	-	-	1%	12%	40%	47%
2	CHIARELLI Elisabet	-	-	4%	21%	45%	29%
3	DEMING Clare L.	-	-	6%	26%	45%	23%
3	GRAJALES Emily K.	2%	16%	35%	32%	13%	2%
5	SIERRA Kate	-	1%	8%	25%	40%	25%
6	DUNN Linda J. Dunn J.	-	-	3%	16%	36%	33%	10%
7	DUDNICK Shannon	7%	42%	38%	12%	1%	-
8	YANG Jenny J.	1%	10%	27%	36%	22%	5%
9	PIERRYNOWSKI Kathryn S.	1%	12%	31%	35%	17%	3%
10	AMBALONG Jody P.	3%	21%	44%	27%	5%	-
11	DENNER Jasmina	-	-	1%	12%	42%	44%
12	THORNTON Eva	1%	13%	38%	35%	12%	1%
13	ALTMAN Leigh	-	5%	26%	44%	22%	3%
14	ENOCHS Liz	-	1%	9%	34%	43%	13%
15	KLEIN-BRADDOCK Kimberly K.	-	2%	10%	29%	39%	20%
16	FOLEY Eileen	-	3%	17%	35%	33%	12%
17	JEAN Emmanuelle C.	6%	24%	37%	25%	8%	1%
18	OISHI Yoko	2%	18%	38%	30%	10%	2%	-
19	VANCE Beth S.	-	-	3%	17%	37%	33%	10%
20	BENDER Jeannine M.	-	-	1%	7%	27%	42%	23%
21	KOSZYK Agnieszka	-	4%	18%	36%	32%	10%
22	ZHANG Lynn Y.	-	4%	23%	44%	25%	4%
23	SCHLIENGER Katia	1%	7%	26%	38%	23%	6%	1%
24	FEITLER Sarah	21%	40%	28%	9%	1%	-
25	DUONG Esther	4%	18%	34%	30%	13%	2%
26	OBLONSKY Natalia	-	1%	7%	31%	45%	16%
27	SHINN-CUNNINGHAM Barbara	-	3%	16%	35%	34%	12%
28	WU Yik Chun	14%	45%	32%	8%	1%	-
29	KING Robin E.	3%	16%	33%	32%	14%	2%
30	WEBB Maud	36%	45%	17%	2%	-	-
31	FREYRE Rebecca R.	1%	8%	31%	40%	18%	2%
32	STARR Cynthia (Cindy) H.	1%	18%	42%	30%	8%	1%
33	CHANCO-EVERETT Aileen	12%	33%	34%	17%	4%	-
34	KIM Nam Heui	1%	10%	29%	36%	20%	4%
35	MARENTES Blanca E.	1%	12%	32%	35%	17%	3%
36	DAHL Naomi V.	8%	28%	36%	22%	6%	1%
37	GORDON Sharon	7%	27%	36%	23%	7%	1%
38	SUZUKI HAN Alisa	70%	26%	3%	-	-	-
39	DEGEN Anita L.	11%	37%	35%	14%	2%	-	-
40	CHRISS Rhonda	43%	41%	13%	2%	-	-	-
41	CAISSE Michelle	52%	36%	10%	1%	-	-
41	VINOGOROVA Daria	26%	49%	22%	3%	-	-
43	MASLEN Cheryl L.	51%	39%	9%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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