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The Durkan Spring Div 2 ROC

Div II Women's Épée

Sunday, April 7, 2019 at 1:00 PM

South Hackensack, NJ - South Hackensack, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	LEE Olive	-	1%	6%	24%	43%	26%
2	KIM Elizabeth Y.	-	-	1%	8%	25%	40%	26%
3	LIN Julia L.	-	5%	18%	34%	31%	11%
3	ALVIDREZ Francesca A.	-	-	5%	24%	44%	26%
5	KOWALSKY Rachel A.	-	-	-	3%	17%	42%	38%
6	SZEWC Alexandra	-	-	2%	13%	36%	38%	11%
7	EBRAHIM Ameera H.	-	2%	12%	33%	38%	15%
8	OAKE Erica	-	2%	10%	26%	34%	22%	5%
9	LURYE Lina	-	-	3%	18%	45%	34%
10	MAO Amy	-	4%	20%	40%	28%	7%	1%
11	MING Cynthia	6%	25%	37%	25%	8%	1%
12	GLASSNER Sophia Rose S.	1%	6%	21%	36%	28%	8%
13	WICKEN Baylee S.	-	4%	21%	38%	29%	8%
14	CHANG Ella	2%	11%	28%	33%	20%	6%	1%
15	KOKES Ava	-	1%	11%	32%	36%	17%	3%
16	MOK Chloe R.	6%	33%	40%	18%	3%	-
17	TOMASELLO Olivia E.	-	2%	11%	30%	38%	19%
18	GOLDBERG Sophie C.	3%	19%	40%	30%	8%	1%
18	ADVINCULA Anabella E.	1%	7%	27%	40%	22%	3%
20	SHI Angela L.	2%	11%	29%	34%	19%	5%	-
21	SLACKMAN Valerie	-	1%	9%	31%	42%	17%
22	CANNEY Lauren	4%	25%	38%	24%	7%	1%
23	INAMDAR Nina S.	2%	15%	34%	33%	14%	2%
24	ZENG Katrina	6%	25%	37%	25%	7%	1%
25	HARJANI Meher	30%	41%	22%	6%	1%	-
26	BOWIE Charlotta	1%	10%	28%	35%	20%	4%
27	PARDO Sarah	1%	8%	29%	39%	21%	4%
29	RAI Ananya	16%	39%	32%	11%	2%	-
30	MCGEE Sophia	1%	10%	27%	35%	21%	5%
31	WITTE Vera	1%	8%	26%	37%	24%	6%
32	CARBO laura	20%	40%	29%	9%	1%	-
33	BULOVA Sophie	-	3%	16%	34%	33%	12%	2%
34	BOOK Ayelet	2%	12%	30%	35%	18%	4%
35	BRANDWEIN Elizabeth	20%	41%	29%	9%	1%	-
36	NICOU Nicole	2%	13%	32%	34%	16%	3%
37	LI Alisha	2%	17%	36%	32%	12%	2%
38	JOSEPH mikayla	13%	32%	33%	17%	5%	1%	-
39	BIMSON Charlotte	32%	44%	20%	4%	-	-
40	PEREZ Bianca	43%	40%	14%	2%	-	-
41	CORDERO Allison	11%	32%	34%	18%	5%	1%	-
43	ABDUL AMBER	11%	37%	37%	13%	1%	-
44	PANDEY Aashna	25%	44%	25%	6%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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