The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fairfax Challenge Winter RYC & RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, December 29, 2019 at 4:00 PM

Owings Mills, MD - Owings Mills, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 TUCKER Iman R. - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
2 HONE Katarina G. - 2% 15% 36% 36% 11%
3 TAO Hannah J. - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
3 LU Yi Lin - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
5 HUANG Sharon - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
6 TANG Annie L. - - 5% 23% 43% 29%
6 SHI Cathleen 1% 11% 34% 37% 16% 2%
8 CANSECO Laura K. - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
9 JOHNSON Lauren - 6% 26% 40% 24% 5%
10 CHANG Emily - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
10 LU Amy - 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
12 OLSEN Natalie J. - 1% 11% 32% 40% 16%
13 YANG Ashley M. - 1% 6% 24% 42% 26%
14 LI Victoria J. - 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
15 NEWELL Alexia C. - 1% 11% 31% 39% 17%
16 WEI Vivian W. 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2%
17 BANG Hyeonjeong 1% 7% 26% 37% 24% 5%
18 DHAR Aamina 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
19 NYSTROM Sofia C. - 17% 39% 31% 10% 1%
20 HOVERMAN Hannah A. 2% 16% 39% 31% 10% 1%
21 SCHIKORE Anna M. 9% 36% 37% 15% 3% -
22 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 52% 38% 9% 1% - -
23 HASSANEIN Toqa 1% 21% 41% 29% 8% 1%
24 HU Allison C. 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
25 YANG Kaitlyn H. 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
26 MA Grace C. 12% 42% 34% 10% 1% -
27 KERBEL Natalie 2% 20% 38% 29% 10% 1%
28 ELDER Rhiannon C. 77% 21% 2% - - -
29 MEYTIN Sophia E. 47% 40% 12% 2% - -
30 ZENG Megan 90% 9% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.