March NAC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Friday, March 1, 2019 at 9:00 AM

Cleveland, OH - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16%
2 MORRILL William 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
3 FENG Leo 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
3 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
5 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
6 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
7 CHON Taylor A. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
8 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
9 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 3%
10 WANG Eric Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
11 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
12 YUN Jake 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24%
13 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
14 BUCHMANN Finn D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 15%
15 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
16 LI Minghan 100% 100% 92% 62% 23% 3%
17 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 17%
18 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
19 LEE Justin 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
20 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 100% 91% 60% 22% 3%
21 HONG Steven 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
22 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
23 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 52% 17%
24 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
25 TASIKAS Stylianos 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 37%
26 HUANG Connor 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
27 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
27 SAGARDI David 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 23%
29 TURCK Caspar J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
30 LIU Christopher X. 100% 100% 95% 80% 50% 20% 3%
31 LUO George F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
32 DUCKETT Myles 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
33 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 7%
34 STONE Esmond A. 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
35 WANG Charles 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
36 XU Andrew 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
36 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
38 YAO JINTAO 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
39 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
40 LIN Steve 100% 92% 54% 17% 3% < 1% -
41 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver 100% 76% 37% 11% 2% < 1% -
42 WOODWARD Connor 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
43 YAO JINCHENG 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
44 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 7%
45 CHEN Lohen 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
46 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 11%
47 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 99% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
48 GAO Albert 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 8% 1%
49 LEE Christopher M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
50 TRAVERS Arnav A. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
51 KILGALLEN William 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
52 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
53 ZHANG William 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
54 LEONARD Charles 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
55 WU Richard 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
57 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 96% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
58 ZENG Noah 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 5% -
59 GILSON Lucas B. 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 29% 5%
60 MALONE Gregory D. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 5%
61 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 11%
62 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
63 THORNHILL Kwasi 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
64 CHAN Aidan 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
65 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
66 CHEEMA Hyder 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
67 PENG Bryan 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
68 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 98% 80% 40% 9% 1% -
69 SMINK Oliver 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
69 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 96% 80% 51% 19% 3%
71 CANNON Logan T. 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
72 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
73 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
74 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
75 AVAKIAN Alec 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
76 LEE Derek J. 100% 91% 63% 29% 7% 1%
77 ANDRES Michael 100% 98% 68% 26% 5% -
78 LEE Aydan J. 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
80 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 30% 6%
81 HU Christopher 100% 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2%
82 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 5%
83 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 97% 84% 54% 23% 5% 1%
83 SERVES Alexander 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6% -
85 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4%
86 MEHTA Krish 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
87 MAY Griffin M. 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
88 ZHANG Derek 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
89 BOUKHTIN Maxim 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 5% -
90 HOLZ William A. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
91 SUBRAMANIAM Oliver C. 100% 97% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
92 LEWALLEN Reece 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
93 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 2%
94 KOGAN Nikita 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
95 YU Thomas 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
96 BONETTI Brayden 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
97 WANG Nicolas 100% 99% 87% 54% 21% 4% -
97 SAVOY Luca 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
99 MCGUIRE Christian 100% 99% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
100 WANG Robert 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% -
101 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 3%
102 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 54% 12% 1% - -
103 OH Triton 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
104 SHTEIN Yan 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
105 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
106 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
107 GONG ziqian 100% 88% 48% 13% 2% - -
108 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
109 TRAN Tripp L. 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
110 LARRAZOLO Vincent 100% 92% 57% 16% 2% - -
111 SKIMEL Michael 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
112 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 96% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
113 LIU Lawrence 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
114 PI Alexander 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
115 KESSLER Nathan 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
116 CHOW William T. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
116 TRAN Dash 100% 84% 50% 19% 4% 1% -
118 SHINCHUK Daniel 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
118 BULLARD Nicholas Y. 100% 80% 33% 7% 1% - -
120 AKS Ari 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
121 HU-VAN REETH Alexander 100% 64% 15% 2% - - -
122 GONG zihao 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
123 STROHL Samuel 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
124 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 25% 3% - - - -
125 PARKER Benjamin D. 100% 78% 28% 5% - -
126 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
127 LIN Philip T. 100% 93% 67% 32% 10% 1% -
128 HENDERSON Jack 100% 51% 11% 1% - - -
129 PENG Victor 100% 11% - - - -
130 OSENAR Sam 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
131 GUREVICH Savely 100% 59% 9% 1% - - -
133 CLARK Gabriel 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
134 PARADIS Emmit 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
135 NGUYENBA Thaison 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.