March NAC

Div III Men's Foil

Monday, March 4, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Cleveland, OH - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HONDA Kazu Z. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 62%
2 DU Samuel R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
3 MARTOS Jimmy 100% 100% 98% 81% 43% 10%
3 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 22%
5 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 20%
6 NAGER Noah 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17%
7 KIM Aaron J. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
8 MCCORD Clark 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
9 DEGREMONT Henri S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 19%
10 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
11 TSANG Matthew K. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 11%
12 WANG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
13 LI Jiaan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 18%
14 HAN Andersen Y. 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 7% -
15 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
16 GHAZALI Omer 100% 97% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
17 MURRAY Maximo 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
18 TSAI Philip W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 16%
19 JIN Honggu 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% -
20 WITTENBERG Jackson H. 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
21 BAE Kevin 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
22 LI James 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
23 CHEN Jr. William 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
24 XIAO Anthony 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2%
25 KULKARNI Ansh A. 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
26 MARSHALL Ian 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
27 LAO Scott E. 100% 99% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
28 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 5% -
29 WU Jerry 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
30 ESTEVES Dionel L. 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1%
31 WONG NICHOLAS A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
32 TIAN Aaron C. 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
33 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 7%
34 DROUTMAN Ryan 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
36 CHENG Matthew S. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
37 SHA Yi Peng 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
38 JUSCINSKI Michal 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1% -
39 GATRELL Mitchell E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 33% 7%
40 MASCARI DUMONT Alexandre 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
41 HSIUNG Richie 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
42 XIAO EDWARD 100% 100% 93% 63% 23% 3%
43 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 100% 93% 68% 28% 5%
44 RILEY Brad 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
45 FONG Colin J. 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 13% 2%
46 DESOLA Damian C. 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
47 CHREKY Jacob D. 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 20% 3%
47 CAI Oliver K. 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
49 FINLEY Dylan 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
50 HOU Kenneth 100% 100% 95% 68% 25% 3% -
51 SCHECHTER Nathan L. 100% 86% 52% 20% 5% 1% -
51 GU Hubert 100% 91% 55% 19% 4% - -
53 BELLUOMO David C. 100% 96% 69% 26% 5% - -
54 SONG Dylan S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
55 OBERYSZYN Evan 100% 83% 35% 7% 1% -
56 ZHAO Jesse 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1%
57 DAUM Charlie 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
58 TSAI Max W. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 6%
59 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 11% 1%
60 DESOLA Aidan J. 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
61 KIM Derek A. 100% 76% 37% 11% 2% - -
62 DENMAN Matthew L. 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
63 VLACK Felix 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
64 FU Yifan 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 4% -
65 LO Hung Yui 100% 99% 88% 52% 15% 1% -
66 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
67 DYCKMAN Andrew P. 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% -
70 BLOCK William J. 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
71 FRATIAN Mihai 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
72 PIERCE Logan 100% 41% 5% - - -
73 CHEUNG Kevin 100% 83% 38% 6% - -
74 CLAVIJO-GOMEZ Santiago A. 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
75 DONDERIS AJ 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% -
76 VO Jonathan 100% 49% 10% 1% - - -
77 ZHANG Thales 100% 80% 41% 11% 2% -
78 LI Ryan Z. 100% 69% 27% 5% 1% - -
79 DRESSEL Jet 100% 91% 39% 7% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.