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Fairfax Challenge SYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Friday, April 28, 2017 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort & Convention Center - Miami, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HARLEY Colby A. - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
2 LIN John A. - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
3 WOOD Elden S. - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
3 FRISHMAN Ethan J. - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
5 ZHOU Justin - 1% 11% 35% 39% 14%
6 HAMMERSTROM Jared - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
7 JI Cody - 3% 13% 29% 32% 18% 4%
8 GREENBAUM Ian L. 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
9 BERMAN Luca - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
10 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. - 3% 16% 33% 31% 13% 2%
11 GINIS Nathan 1% 9% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
12 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
13 SIMAK Joseph P. - 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 3%
14 YAVINSKY Colin 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
15 GRASS James D. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
16 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
17 XUE Alexander - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 5%
18 MADDALONE Thomas - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
19 SHOMAN Zachary 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
20 CHAN Matthew - 4% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
21 OWENS Harrison J. - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
22 JOHNSTON Bennett S. 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
23 JARAMILLO Tobias L. 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
24 MORRILL William 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 2%
25 LU Caleb Q. 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
26 YE Henry K. - 3% 15% 31% 33% 16% 3%
27 HARGENRADER Kailen A. 3% 14% 29% 30% 18% 5% 1%
28 HUANG Ethan F. 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
29 CHAVES Matthew J. 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
29 MOOREHEAD Patrick 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
31 CHEN Oscar 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% -
32 YOU Jaden 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
33 KOGAN Nikita - 1% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2%
34 KRZYZANOWSKI Adam 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
35 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1%
36 SHOMAN Noah 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
37 COX Luis E. 1% 10% 30% 37% 20% 4%
38 WELLS Griffin 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
40 CHEN Collin H. 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
41 WOODWARD Connor 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
42 CUNNINGHAM-SNELSON Aahil 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
43 LOWHAM-RUZZO Alexander J. 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
44 CHIN Matthew W. 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
45 ZHANG Ethan W. 1% 7% 20% 31% 27% 13% 2%
46 DU Gavin 2% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
47 LEE Justin 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
48 LEE Derek J. 12% 36% 36% 14% 1% -
50 LIU Christopher X. 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
51 SHERWOOD Hayden F. 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
52 HONG Steven 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% - -
53 CARTAGENA Caden A. 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% 1% -
54 WU Richard 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.