The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, November 17, 2019 at 8:15 AM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GOOR Julian - - - 3% 17% 44% 36%
2 WU Jerry - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
3 SHA Yi Peng - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
3 ZELTSER Lawrence M. - - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
5 RUSADZE Nickolas - - - 1% 13% 43% 43%
6 ALIMI Yacine A. - - 2% 14% 39% 36% 9%
6 WU Alexander - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
8 AHN Jun - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 21%
9 SHIN Joshua J. - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
10 LEE Jacob J - - 4% 19% 41% 29% 6%
11 ACHILOV Sayid - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 5%
12 TORRES Treston - - 4% 22% 45% 26% 3%
13 HONG Issac - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 15%
14 GONG Benjamin - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 15%
15 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. - 1% 10% 29% 38% 19% 3%
16 BOYLE Aiden P. 3% 18% 38% 31% 9% 1% -
17 MIALL Steven A. - - - 3% 20% 45% 32%
18 WANG Alex L. - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
19 DAVIDSON Elliot 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
20 TSAI Max W. - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
21 GAO Anthony - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
22 LI Eric - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
23 WANG Jackson - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
23 QI Steve - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
25 TRAUGOT Owen G. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
26 CATINO Brennen - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
27 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden - - 2% 16% 41% 34% 7%
28 ORVANANOS Jorge - - 1% 7% 28% 44% 19%
29 XIAO Benjamin - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
30 WANG Mason - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
31 YOON DYLAN 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
32 VENKATESH Aditya 15% 38% 33% 12% 1% - -
33 JIN Dennis H. - 7% 26% 38% 23% 6% < 1%
34 LI Yao (Liam) - - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
35 ZHONG Guoren - 9% 35% 36% 16% 3% -
36 SONG Bryan - 3% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
37 TSIMIKLIS Yanni - - 1% 8% 36% 45% 10%
38 TALLARICO Matthew - 2% 14% 37% 34% 12% 1%
39 ZHAI Jeffrey - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
40 MILLER Aidan A. - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
41 LIGOS Alex M. 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
42 PROMRAT Pete 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
43 GUO Justin - 5% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1%
44 LI Ayren - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
45 ZHOU Leon - 3% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
46 SMOTROFF Joshua L. 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
47 LORANGER Peter 2% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
48 PLASTARAS Trey 2% 15% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
49 HU Jason 6% 27% 41% 23% 4% - -
50 XIANG Derrick - 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 2%
51 DONG sean 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
52 ZHEN Ethan - - 3% 17% 38% 34% 8%
53 GOH William C. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
54 PELT Ethan T. 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
55 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. 5% 26% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
56 DONG Liangtong - 3% 22% 41% 26% 7% 1%
57 LIU Ryan 7% 34% 38% 17% 3% - -
58 MCQUIDE elliot 37% 49% 13% 1% - - -
59 DECORLETO III Andrew (Tripp) J. 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1% -
60 LEE Jonah 1% 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
61 POPE Alexander 6% 32% 40% 18% 3% - -
62 LIU Charles 9% 33% 39% 16% 2% - -
63 XU Ethan - 5% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
64 ZHENG Harrison 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
65 LOGAN Kai 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
66 FRANK Amir 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% 1% -
67 MORGESON Colin 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
68 DALBERG Anders 5% 33% 40% 18% 4% - -
69 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 11% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
70 LUO liangzhao 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
71 WANG Julang 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
72 WEI Qian 46% 43% 10% 1% - - -
73 LU Jason 2% 16% 35% 31% 13% 3% -
74 BANG Ian 58% 36% 6% - - - -
75 YOU Alex 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
76 HOLCOMB Cedric 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
77 BRATTAIN Trey 3% 20% 43% 31% 3% - -
78 GREENLEAF Paul 5% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
79 TING Clement 41% 50% 9% - - - -
80 KIMBALL Curtis 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
81 MOORE Evan 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
81 JIA Jing Yu 29% 47% 20% 4% - - -
81 EBERMAN Henry 8% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
84 TESSMAN Henry 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.