The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Capitol Clash SYC & RCC with Non-Regional Veteran and Y8

Y-10 Men's Foil

Saturday, February 2, 2019 at 12:30 PM

National Harbor, MD - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WONG Adrian - - - 4% 19% 43% 33%
2 TIYA BIAYA K. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
3 TANG August L. - - 4% 29% 46% 21%
3 DESHMUKH Arjun - - - 2% 16% 42% 40%
5 LIN James G. - - 3% 19% 40% 31% 8%
6 HUTH Trevor - - 5% 23% 45% 27%
7 MARX Jackson L. - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
8 ZHEN Ethan - 1% 9% 32% 43% 15%
9 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - - 9% 33% 41% 17%
10 LI Aaron - 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
11 CHEN Charlie Tian-You - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
12 TANG Albert - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
13 WONG Garrick G. - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
14 TRAUGOT Owen G. 1% 15% 38% 33% 11% 1%
15 TANG Alexander L. - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
16 TANG Owen S. - 1% 14% 38% 36% 10%
17 XU Andy P. - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
18 GUO Justin - 1% 5% 20% 37% 31% 7%
18 CHEN Kyle P. - - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
20 MATSAKH Philip - 1% 14% 38% 36% 11%
21 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden - 2% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
22 LIN Michael - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
23 CHO Ethan H. 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
24 QIAN Jason H. - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
24 YU Jason - 1% 6% 25% 40% 24% 4%
26 METTAPALLI Tarun 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
27 XIAO Benjamin - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
28 PERSINGER Charles B. 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
29 AROUH Dylan 1% 10% 33% 39% 15% 2%
30 PARK John L. 8% 35% 38% 16% 3% -
31 LI Matthew 2% 14% 33% 33% 14% 3% -
32 MALHAM Andrew 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
33 ZHANG Alex 8% 32% 39% 18% 3% -
34 TANG Terry 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
35 HUANG Eythan 51% 44% 5% - - -
36 HONG Logan 6% 27% 41% 23% 3% -
37 SUAREZ Adrian - 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2%
38 SENIC Lucas 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
39 WONG Jackson 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1% -
40 BROWNING Michael 34% 55% 11% 1% - -
41 SHELDON Owen 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
42 BOBROW Silas 16% 45% 30% 8% 1% - -
43 MCLENDON Dario 5% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2% -
44 TAN Aidan 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
46 XIE Eric 18% 42% 31% 8% 1% - -
47 GUTH Joseph < 1% 1% 20% 42% 30% 7%
48 CATINO William 28% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
49 JONES Jackson 57% 35% 7% 1% - -
50 BESSELMAN Noah 33% 43% 20% 4% - -
51 SONG Tony 9% 32% 40% 18% 1% - -
52 KOE Beckett 35% 45% 17% 3% - - -
53 ZDAN Dominic 54% 38% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.