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Capitol Clash SYC & RCC with Non-Regional Veteran and Y8

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, February 2, 2019 at 1:00 PM

National Harbor, MD - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAI Adam J. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
2 LILOV Neil - - - 1% 8% 35% 57%
3 CHEN Brian - - - 1% 12% 40% 47%
3 ZHOU Justin - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
5 SHI Andrew - - - 2% 12% 38% 49%
5 BECKER Matheus - - - 1% 8% 39% 52%
7 FRISHMAN Ethan J. - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
8 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
9 LINSKY Matthew - 1% 6% 19% 33% 30% 11%
10 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - - 1% 9% 38% 53%
11 TRAVERS Samir T. - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
12 DENNER Maximilian P. - 3% 16% 34% 31% 12% 2%
12 HARGENRADER Kailen A. - 4% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
14 SKINNER Graham B. - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
15 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
16 KIM-COGAN Ryan - - 6% 25% 40% 24% 4%
17 HARLEY Colby A. - - - 5% 22% 43% 29%
17 RESHEIDAT Malik - 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 9%
19 ALKEMPER Tristan H. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
20 JARAMILLO Tobias L. - - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
21 MORRILL William - - 4% 22% 44% 30%
22 GINIS Nathan - - 1% 10% 44% 45%
23 ZHOU Aeres Z. 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
24 NG Jonathan H. - 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 7%
25 PAN Jerry - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
26 CHAN Matthew - - 1% 7% 29% 50% 13%
27 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. - - - 5% 26% 48% 21%
28 JI Cody Walter - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
29 JOHNSON Langston C. - - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
30 MORRILL Justin - 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2%
31 YOU Jaden 1% 11% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
32 CHEN Oscar - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
33 CHEN Leo - - 1% 10% 34% 41% 15%
34 TONG ZACHARY - - 6% 29% 42% 21% 3%
35 LUKASHENKO Darii - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
36 ZHOU Brian - 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
37 KIM Shaun M. - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
38 SIMAK Joseph P. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
39 DU Gavin J. 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 6%
40 HAMMERSTROM Jared - 1% 9% 33% 41% 16%
41 JOHNSTON Bennett S. 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 5%
42 HUANG Ethan F. - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
43 HUANG Tyler T. 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% -
44 XUE ALEXANDER 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
45 YANG Richard - - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
46 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
48 GHENEA George Philipe 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2% -
49 JEAN Noe T. - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
50 RODE Leon J. - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
51 WILSON Jude - - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15%
52 ALTIRS Alexander - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
53 HUCHWAJDA Marcel 4% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
54 CHEONG Heonjae - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
55 LEE Aydan J. 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
56 KIM Jeremy Y. - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
57 LU Caleb Q. 4% 22% 36% 26% 10% 2% -
58 CHON Taylor A. 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
59 MOOREHEAD Patrick - 3% 14% 30% 33% 16% 3%
60 FIELDS Matthew S. 1% 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% -
61 DEISBOECK Maximilian S. - 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1%
62 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 14% 41% 35% 9% 1% - -
63 LU Timothy - 1% 10% 33% 38% 16% 2%
64 FOWLER Luke 9% 33% 37% 17% 3% - -
65 KIM Avery J. - - 1% 5% 21% 44% 30%
66 CHIN Matthew W. - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
67 GRASS James D. - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 3%
68 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
69 ZHOU Kevin - 4% 21% 39% 29% 7%
70 BERMAN Luca - - 5% 23% 40% 27% 5%
71 HUANG Alexander C. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
72 LI Minghan 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
73 WOODWARD Connor 1% 8% 25% 34% 24% 8% 1%
74 BUCHMANN Finn D. - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
75 HONG Steven 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
76 SHTEYN Mark - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
77 PAN Andrew W. - - 2% 11% 33% 41% 13%
78 EDELMAN Seth A. 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
79 KOGAN Nikita - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
80 ZENG Noah 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
81 LEONARD Charles 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 3%
82 COX Luis E. 2% 25% 43% 25% 5% -
84 BERRIO Carter E. - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 8%
85 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 3% 16% 33% 31% 13% 3% -
86 REN Richard 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
87 HONG Vincent Q. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
88 LEE Justin - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
89 CHAN Alexander S. - 1% 5% 20% 38% 29% 7%
89 MICHNA Colin P. 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
91 WANG Charles 1% 7% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
92 BURNS Jackson P. 1% 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
92 MALONE Gregory D. - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 2%
94 SHERWOOD Hayden F. 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
95 YEE Evan J. 2% 21% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
96 WANG Andy 2% 32% 45% 18% 3% - -
97 SUN Hanyang 3% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
98 CONINE Tanner C. 2% 10% 26% 32% 22% 7% 1%
99 FENG Leo - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
100 DA GRACA Aidan 3% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
101 LUTHRA Arjun - - 3% 19% 42% 31% 5%
102 CHIEN Winston L. 4% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2% -
103 CHOI Silas - 1% 6% 23% 36% 27% 7%
104 CHAN Aidan 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
105 BLECKNER Noah 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
106 GILSON Lucas B. - 5% 19% 35% 31% 11%
107 WANG Nicolas 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1%
108 ZHUANG Rayken 4% 37% 39% 17% 3% - -
109 SHOMAN Zachary - - 5% 24% 40% 26% 4%
110 BELEV Nicholas 64% 30% 5% - - - -
111 SHOMAN Noah - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
112 BONIFIELD Arthur G. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
112 GIANETTO Ethan K. 2% 10% 26% 32% 22% 7% 1%
112 ZHANG Jeffrey - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
115 GREENBAUM Ian L. 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
116 CHAVES Matthew J. 6% 36% 39% 16% 3% - -
116 SAINT-PIERRE-MENARD Colin 7% 29% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
118 HUANG Maxwell H. - 2% 11% 28% 34% 19% 4%
119 YUAN Kevin - 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 3%
119 KILGALLEN William 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
121 YANG Duncan 1% 9% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
122 WELLS Griffin 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
122 CHEONG Heonjun 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
124 NOBLE Colin 10% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
126 MADDALONE Thomas 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
127 PENG Bryan 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1%
128 ETIN Ari 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
129 DILLE Jackson K. 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
130 REN James 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
131 GAUVEY Kieran 1% 15% 40% 35% 8% 1%
132 NOURELDIN Gabriel - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
133 PILLAI Jay K. 4% 48% 36% 10% 1% - -
134 TRAN Tripp L. 4% 21% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
135 THORNHILL Kwasi 11% 39% 36% 13% 2% - -
136 LEMPERT Adam 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
137 HOLDEN Joseph 2% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
138 HEANEY Sam 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
139 CARTAGENA Caden A. 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
140 GOLDMAN Noah R. 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% 1% -
141 SHEN Christopher 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
142 BAE Jason I. 10% 35% 38% 15% 2% - -
143 LEE Derek J. 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
144 HUANG Connor 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
145 DOLSKI Jack 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
146 FORT David 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
147 YU Thomas - 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 3%
149 OH Triton 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1% -
150 WANG Robert - 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
150 FUHRIG Max 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
152 QI Eric K. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
153 BOWMAN James 77% 22% 2% - - - -
154 WU Richard 25% 50% 21% 4% - - -
155 NAZAROV Adilzhan 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
156 BOULAIS Andrew D. 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
157 HU-VAN REETH Alexander 6% 27% 40% 23% 4% - -
157 SUN Ziyao 1% 14% 49% 30% 6% - -
159 BAERMAN Michael 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
160 BONSELL Vance 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
161 CANNON Logan T. 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2% -
163 ZHANG Ethan W. < 1% 2% 13% 35% 37% 11% 1%
165 MIDLA Joshua D. 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
167 STAM August M. 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
168 OVERDECK Andrew 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
169 KALESKAS James 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
170 MCCARTHY Gabriel 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
170 PERRON Robert 19% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
170 CHEN Jia Tao 78% 20% 2% - - - -
173 GREENBAUM Max B. 70% 26% 3% - - -
174 BEAUCHAMP Declan 18% 44% 30% 7% 1% -
175 DAKIN Joseph 17% 40% 32% 10% 1% - -
176 MERKLE Evan 55% 35% 9% 1% - - -
177 JOSEF Asher 53% 36% 9% 1% - - -
178 ZHANG Derek 30% 44% 21% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.