The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Capitol Clash SYC & RCC with Non-Regional Veteran and Y8

Cadet Women's Saber

Sunday, February 3, 2019 at 1:00 PM

National Harbor, MD - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WILLIAMS Chloe C. - - - 2% 15% 41% 41%
2 WU Erica L. - - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15%
3 SZETO Chloe - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
3 TUCKER Iman R. - - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
5 TANG Annie L. - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
6 CARVALHO Isabela A. - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
7 YANG Ashley M. - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
8 BHATTACHARJEE Rhea - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
9 BLUM Leah I. - - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
10 STONE Hava S. - - 1% 9% 31% 41% 17%
11 KALINICHENKO Alexandra (Sasha) - 5% 29% 39% 21% 5% -
12 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. - - 2% 14% 36% 37% 11%
12 LIN Audrey J. - 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
14 LI Victoria J. - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
15 SHOMAN Miriam - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
16 XI Shining - 1% 12% 38% 35% 12% 1%
17 PAK Kaitlyn - - 1% 9% 33% 41% 15%
18 ATLURI Sara V. - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
19 TURNOF Kayla M. 3% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
20 JULIEN Michelle - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
21 SHOMAN Jenna - - - 2% 17% 44% 36%
22 SATHYANATH Kailing - - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
23 NEWELL Alexia C. - - 4% 20% 40% 29% 7%
24 LUKASHENKO Angelina - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
25 DARINGA Arianna - 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 4%
25 LI Amanda C. - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 19%
27 SINHA Anika - 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
28 ZHANG Judy 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
29 TRAN Thya K. - 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
30 LIAO Siwen - 4% 20% 39% 27% 8% 1%
31 OLSEN Natalie J. - - 1% 9% 30% 40% 19%
32 CHIOLDI Mina - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
33 WIGGERS Susan Q. - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
34 KOO Samantha - - 5% 21% 38% 28% 8%
35 CHANG Emily - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
36 HOVERMAN Hannah A. 2% 18% 38% 31% 9% 1% -
37 CANNON Sophia E. - - 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
38 WEI Vivian W. 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
39 SCHIKORE Anna M. 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
40 BOIS Adele - 1% 6% 25% 41% 23% 4%
41 PRIEUR Lauren - 1% 12% 34% 36% 15% 2%
42 IQBAL Sulphia 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
43 NYSTROM Sofia C. 20% 43% 29% 7% 1% - -
44 FERRARI-BRIDGERS Marinella O. - 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
45 MU Vicki Y. 1% 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
46 LI Yadong - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
47 LEVITIS Danielle - - 5% 20% 38% 29% 7%
48 RIZKALA Joanna - - 5% 20% 40% 29% 6%
49 ROMAGNOLI Isabella - - 5% 21% 39% 28% 7%
50 LU Yi Lin 4% 29% 40% 21% 5% 1% -
51 SU Emma 2% 13% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
52 OBRADOVIC Ana - 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 3%
53 HU Allison C. 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
54 NEIBART Fiona 2% 23% 38% 27% 9% 2% -
55 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
56 LIN Selena 37% 47% 14% 2% - - -
57 JENKINS Scotland 24% 45% 25% 5% - - -
58 WANG Jianning 5% 33% 40% 18% 3% - -
59 DHAR Aamina 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
60 HUANG Sharon 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3% -
61 CHIANG Emily 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
62 GIRARDI Aemilia 18% 51% 26% 5% - - -
63 CHEN Xinyan 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
64 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
65 BENTOLILA Thalia 11% 36% 37% 13% 2% - -
66 GRINBERG Aliya - 3% 20% 39% 28% 9% 1%
67 TODD Phoebe 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
67 LU Amy 4% 23% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
69 BAKER Amelia M. 8% 33% 40% 16% 3% - -
70 SHIH Christina 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
71 SHI Cathleen - 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
72 BHOGAL Sukhleen 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
73 NI Sharon 1% 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
74 SULLIVAN Caroline 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
75 ELDER Rhiannon C. 54% 38% 8% 1% - - -
76 KANE Laurel A. 20% 54% 22% 4% - - -
77 DAVIS Charlotte 26% 45% 24% 5% - - -
78 STRAYER Sofia I. 62% 35% 3% - - - -
79 GREENHALGH Abigail 31% 48% 18% 3% - - -
79 WU Cici 73% 24% 3% - - - -
81 MA Grace C. 5% 23% 39% 26% 6% 1% -
82 RODRIGUEZ Colette O. 22% 44% 27% 6% - - -
83 MEYTIN Sophia E. 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.