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Y-14 Men's Foil

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Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	CHENG Jonathan	-	-	-	1%	8%	38%	53%
2	HOOSHI Dylan M.	-	-	-	-	3%	25%	72%
3	BRUK Peter J.	-	-	4%	20%	43%	33%
3	LIANG Lixi (Henry)	-	-	2%	13%	39%	46%
5	HOOSHI Jayden C.	-	-	2%	15%	42%	40%
6	MENG Zhaoyi	-	4%	17%	35%	32%	11%
7	BAE Kevin	-	1%	9%	29%	41%	20%
8	ZELTSER Lawrence M.	-	1%	8%	29%	42%	20%
9	KWON Ethan	-	2%	12%	33%	38%	15%
10	AHN Jun	1%	9%	30%	39%	19%	2%
11	GARCIA Sebastian R.	-	5%	20%	36%	30%	9%
12	GUO Sean	-	11%	38%	36%	13%	2%
13	GONG Benjamin	-	2%	16%	39%	33%	10%
14	LIN James G.	-	1%	9%	27%	38%	22%	2%
15	ANTON Nathaniel	1%	6%	22%	38%	27%	7%
16	GUO Jacob	1%	6%	24%	38%	25%	5%
17	AUGUSTINE Aaron A.	-	5%	25%	40%	24%	5%	-
18	LI Jinghua E.	1%	11%	34%	36%	16%	3%	-
19	GUO Justin	-	2%	12%	32%	38%	15%	1%
20	WANG Alex L.	20%	41%	29%	9%	1%	-
21	CHEN Kyle P.	1%	13%	35%	36%	14%	1%
22	ZHEN Ethan	-	4%	22%	42%	27%	5%
23	SHIN Joshua J.	-	7%	27%	39%	23%	5%
24	TSIMIKLIS Yanni	1%	19%	40%	30%	9%	1%
25	ZHAI Jeffrey	-	2%	15%	38%	35%	10%
26	XIANG Derrick	12%	35%	35%	15%	3%	-
27	WANG mason	7%	35%	38%	17%	3%	-	-
28	LIGOS Alex M.	37%	45%	16%	2%	-	-	-
29	MIALL Steven A.	-	1%	9%	32%	41%	17%
30	CATINO Brennen	-	3%	16%	35%	33%	12%
31	LEE Jacob J	3%	24%	42%	26%	5%	-
32	HU Jason	68%	28%	4%	-	-	-
33	SYOMICHEV Gleb A.	-	1%	11%	31%	38%	17%	1%
34	KNIZHNIK David	1%	11%	30%	35%	18%	4%	-
35	SVERDLOV Seth	5%	45%	37%	11%	1%	-
36	PLASTARAS Trey	24%	46%	25%	5%	-	-
37	TAHOUN Mostafa	2%	16%	36%	33%	12%	1%
38	TANG August L.	-	-	4%	20%	41%	31%	4%
39	NG Jeremiah	33%	45%	18%	3%	-	-
40	XU Ethan	2%	14%	34%	33%	15%	2%
41	ZHANG Zixuan "Mark"	11%	31%	35%	18%	4%	-
42	XIAO Benjamin	7%	28%	38%	22%	5%	1%
43	BASAK Ashton R.	18%	39%	30%	11%	2%	-
44	LIN Michael	1%	9%	31%	39%	18%	2%
45	MORGESON Colin	46%	39%	13%	2%	-	-	-
46	LU Xiao	1%	6%	23%	36%	25%	8%	1%
47	MITRA Debarghya	18%	42%	30%	9%	1%	-
48	SHAO Eric	24%	42%	26%	7%	1%	-
49	ZHUANG Chuanxuan	23%	46%	25%	5%	1%	-	-
50	KULATTI Ari	84%	15%	1%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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