The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Premier Winter RYC/RCC Tournament

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, January 6, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Burlington, NJ - Burlington, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAURICELLA Douglas - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
2 ONIK Elijah T. - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
3 DOCTOR Aidan L. - - - 8% 38% 54%
3 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
5 REZNICK Nicholas J. - - - 4% 19% 43% 33%
6 MARX Oscar L. - - - - 3% 32% 65%
7 KAZA Nitish - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
8 LI Richard - - - - 8% 40% 52%
9 LI Owen - - - 2% 20% 58% 20%
10 SHA Yi Peng - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
11 PAE Brian L. - - - 4% 26% 51% 19%
12 ANTON Nathaniel - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
13 PAE Jonathan L. - - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
14 KLEIN Sebastian W. - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
15 GOOR Julian - 1% 5% 22% 40% 26% 5%
16 GUO Sean 4% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
17 HAN Lawrence 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% < 1% -
18 RUSADZE Nickolas - - - 4% 22% 45% 28%
19 BAS Liam - 1% 9% 36% 43% 11%
20 AHN Jun - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
21 BAE Kevin - 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
22 TOLBA Abdelrahman - 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
23 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
24 PO Oliver - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
24 FU Yifan - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
26 ORVANANOS Jorge - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
27 TSIMIKLIS Yanni - 2% 11% 29% 36% 18% 3%
27 TORRES Treston 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
29 GORDON Sasha 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
30 FURST Matthew C. 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3%
31 ACHILOV Sayid 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
32 ZHAO Jesse 22% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
33 DAI Jonathan T. - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
34 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - - 6% 27% 45% 22%
35 JIANG Owen - 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
36 WU Alexander - 2% 15% 44% 33% 6%
37 TAHOUN Mostafa - - 5% 24% 47% 22% 3%
38 HONG Issac 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
39 WANG mason 2% 23% 43% 27% 5% - -
40 MENG Zhaoyi 3% 19% 38% 29% 10% 1% -
41 XIANG Derrick - 4% 22% 43% 27% 4% -
42 CHEN Kyle P. - 1% 12% 40% 39% 8% -
43 WANG Gerald Y. 8% 34% 42% 15% 2% -
44 KLYCZEK Andrew 13% 42% 35% 9% 1% - -
45 WANG Alex L. 1% 15% 40% 34% 9% 1% -
46 VALENTON Timothy 10% 36% 39% 13% 1% - -
47 ZHONG Guoren 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 2% -
47 STROKIN Daniel 3% 28% 44% 22% 3% - -
49 HENRY Sean T. 2% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
50 BASAK Ashton R. 12% 40% 35% 11% 1% - -
51 TRUBETSKI David 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
51 PROMRAT Pete - 2% 11% 31% 36% 18% 2%
53 SONG Bryan 7% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
54 TALLARICO Matthew 21% 47% 27% 4% - -
55 ZHOU Leon 14% 43% 34% 9% 1% - -
56 BASOK Nikita 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
57 LI Ayren 6% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
58 JONES Taajuddin 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
59 BOYLE Aiden P. 69% 27% 4% - - - -
60 LI Yao (Liam) 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
61 LONGENBACH Pharell J. 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
62 LI Jinghua E. 5% 37% 38% 16% 3% - -
63 DE JAGER Robert 34% 45% 19% 2% - - -
64 RADTKE Jakob 13% 38% 35% 12% 2% - -
65 SANDHU LERNER Armaan S. 70% 27% 3% - - - -
66 ZHANG HANMO 32% 46% 20% 3% - -
67 LIGOS Alex M. 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
67 LIU Ryan 45% 42% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.