October NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Friday, October 18, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Kansas City, MO - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 RAMIREZ Yeisser 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 79% 57% 30% 10% 2%
2 THOMPSON Soren 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 24% 4%
3 BRATTON Benjamin E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 19%
3 SMITH Dwight 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
5 YOO Justin H. 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 5%
6 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 20%
7 KIMATIAN Harrison J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 63% 37% 16% 4% 1% -
8 MILAM Hugh 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 83% 62% 37% 16% 4% -
9 SHINDLER Oliver P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 86% 68% 44% 22% 8% 2% -
10 MCDOWALD Curtis E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
11 KRAFT Dennis A. 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
12 SCHUMACHER Cooper (Shoey) J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
13 HADZIC Alen 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
14 KHAYAT Ziad N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 85% 66% 41% 19% 5% 1%
15 RAFIDI Joseph (Joey) F. 100% 100% 97% 89% 72% 48% 26% 10% 3% 1% - - -
16 CAMPBELL Daniel R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 81% 59% 35% 15% 5% 1% -
17 VINNITCHOUK Theodore (Ted) 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
18 BREWER Andrew K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 74% 51% 26% 10% 2% - -
19 WILSON Sean H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 73% 50% 26% 10% 2% -
20 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 79% 57% 32% 13% 3% -
21 SAITOC Tudor 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 73% 49% 27% 11% 3% 1% - -
22 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 62% 37% 17% 6% 1% - - -
23 NOLLNER Dylan 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
24 LANGE Henry C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 88% 70% 45% 21% 6% 1%
25 HILBERT Xavier 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 53% 27% 9% 2% -
26 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 74% 51% 28% 11% 3% 1% - -
27 XU Timothy (Tingwei) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 64% 38% 16% 4% -
28 LAWSON Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 90% 75% 52% 28% 11% 3% -
29 PISKOVATSKOV Jonathan (Yonik) 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 37% 9%
30 ISAAC Joseph (Izzy) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 60% 31% 9% 1%
31 MAISONET-GUZMAN Hector E. 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 64% 38% 17% 5% 1% - -
32 GORNOVSKY David J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 94% 83% 63% 39% 17% 5% 1%
33 TSINIS Alexander E. 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 8%
34 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 73% 50% 28% 11% 3% 1% -
35 HERBST Isaac L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 68% 41% 16% 3%
36 KUMASHI Mihir R. 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
37 GRIFFITHS Ryan 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
38 HOYLE Jacob C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
39 EWART Jr. Stephen P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 23%
40 BISSINGER Michael P. 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 13% 2%
41 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 80% 59% 35% 16% 5% 1% -
41 ZHANG Joshua 100% 97% 80% 48% 19% 4% -
43 SANTOS Cameron A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 61% 36% 15% 4% 1% -
44 TEMIRYAEV Alan L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 57% 27% 6%
45 WHITE Sean 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 16%
46 FRANK Timmy 100% 99% 92% 69% 37% 11% 1%
47 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 72% 48% 23% 7% 1%
48 CULPEPPER John (JR) R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 73% 48% 23% 7% 1%
49 DE GUZMAN Inaki P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 83% 62% 37% 17% 5% 1% - -
50 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 100% 99% 94% 80% 57% 31% 13% 4% 1% - - -
51 MOORE Shomari A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 63% 38% 16% 5% 1% -
52 FAFARD Fynn 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 88% 71% 46% 22% 7% 1%
53 HANSEN Jonas B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 70% 43% 17% 3%
54 PRYOR Jason A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
55 CUMMINGS Atticus C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 61% 36% 16% 5% 1% - -
56 KAULL James T. 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
57 SHERRILL Edward R. 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 1%
58 THEIN-SANDLER Adrien (Adi) M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
58 GRAMS Steven 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 84% 64% 40% 19% 6% 1% -
60 RODNEY Adam R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 20%
61 ZHU Wilson 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 61% 37% 17% 5% 1% - -
62 RUSSANOV Dennis 100% 99% 94% 78% 54% 29% 12% 4% 1% - - - -
63 RONG Yao 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 68% 44% 22% 8% 2% - -
64 ZACHARAKIS Darius K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 55% 31% 12% 3% 1% -
65 BRUNET Nathan 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 68% 45% 23% 9% 3% 1% - -
66 JONES Simon A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 90% 73% 48% 24% 8% 1% -
67 SHARMA Sanil 100% 100% 95% 80% 54% 27% 10% 2% - - - -
68 BEDOR William J. 100% 100% 98% 90% 73% 48% 25% 9% 3% - - -
69 VAYSBERG Nathan 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
70 MECKE Cedric 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 17% 3%
71 CHENG Zachary K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 69% 46% 24% 9% 2% - -
72 SPITERI Gareth J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 80% 60% 36% 16% 5% 1% -
73 HOLTZ Donovan K. 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
74 VOLKMANN Daniel R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 80% 58% 32% 13% 3% -
75 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 71% 47% 24% 9% 2% - - -
76 DOLGONOS Mark 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 77% 54% 30% 12% 4% 1% - -
77 DUNCAN Corwin 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 5%
78 WEISS Lewis E. 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 24% 5%
78 MA Ark 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 68% 43% 21% 8% 2% - -
80 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 97% 88% 68% 42% 20% 7% 2% - - -
81 GAIDAR Daniel B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 64% 39% 18% 6% 1% - -
82 NORTH Gary S. 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
83 PLAISANCE Louis 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 69% 43% 20% 6% 1% -
84 ANA Ionut (Johnny) A. 100% 100% 96% 85% 66% 41% 20% 8% 2% - - - -
85 LEI Jacob 100% 100% 98% 90% 74% 50% 27% 11% 3% 1% - - -
86 ZHENG Hagen 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 68% 43% 21% 8% 2% - - -
87 MANDOKI Sandor I. 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 66% 41% 20% 7% 2% - - -
88 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 55% 31% 13% 4% 1% - - -
89 MALYSZ Anthony J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 72% 49% 26% 10% 3% 1% - -
89 LI Jason Man Kit 100% 98% 90% 70% 43% 20% 7% 2% - - - - -
91 MAISEL Simon F. 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 60% 35% 16% 5% 1% - - -
92 CANDELA Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 75% 52% 29% 12% 4% 1% - -
93 XU Zitong (Evan) 100% 99% 94% 79% 55% 30% 13% 4% 1% - - - -
94 JEONG Connor 100% 100% 96% 85% 64% 39% 18% 6% 1% - - -
95 SHIN Sung (Andy) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 73% 49% 25% 9% 2% -
96 SHENG Patrick Y. 100% 99% 94% 80% 55% 30% 12% 4% 1% - - - -
98 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
99 MUN Michael K. 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
100 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
101 MATVEEV Valentin S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 87% 59% 21%
102 ELGEZIRY Amro 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
103 SHUGART Henry R. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
104 MIELE Benjamin 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 4% -
104 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
106 NGUYEN Ethan D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
107 LENDER David 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
108 SZAPARY Tristan B. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
109 KANG Michael H. 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
110 SLAVINSKIY Alan 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
111 TUCKER Brad W. 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 22% 4%
112 RA Jr. Daniel M. 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
113 SITBON-TAYLOR Noe B. 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
114 LIANG Aaron 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
115 DOSS David A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 5%
116 LEE Aaron Y. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
117 TAFOYA Devin D. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
118 YOON Nathan 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
119 ZHAO Howard 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
119 LESPERANCE Lucas 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
121 SMITH Justin C. 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
121 KRAVIT Connor B. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
121 LEE Timothy S. 100% 98% 85% 56% 25% 6% 1%
121 LEE Alexander G. 100% 97% 84% 56% 25% 7% 1%
125 VAG-URMINSKY Paul F. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
126 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
127 WHITE Khristopher E. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
128 HURME Tommi K. 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 22% 4%
129 WANG William M. 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
130 COHEN Jared E. 100% 96% 78% 46% 18% 4% -
131 RAYLE Evan K. 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
132 LEIGH David A. 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
133 MARKOTA Vedran 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
134 BEIQUE-SIMMONS Henri Liam 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 5% -
135 KUMAR Anitya 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
136 HANXU Richard A. 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
137 LIU Kyle 100% 95% 69% 32% 9% 1% -
138 YU Colin 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
138 SIROKY Michael 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
140 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 88% 57% 25% 7% 1% -
141 LI Jesse 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
142 CHA Russell W. 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
143 CHIEN Brandon 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3%
143 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
145 POLAKOSKI David R. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
146 FERGUSON Ross A. 100% 99% 93% 74% 43% 15% 2%
147 LEE Ryan 100% 99% 93% 73% 42% 14% 2%
147 MASON Alexander T. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
149 WOZNIAK David 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
150 COHEN Bennett 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
151 GERAGHTY Michael P. 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 18% 3%
152 KADYSZEWSKI Mateo 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
153 TOWNSEND Avery S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
153 BRANDRETH Garret 100% 99% 85% 54% 21% 5% -
155 STUSNICK Hunter 100% 99% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
156 SZABO Benedek H. 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
157 FISHLER Clifford 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
158 RIDGE John (Drew) A. 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
159 GUO Austin S. 100% 85% 50% 19% 4% - -
160 KIM Juni C. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
161 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
162 CROTCHETT Kaiden R. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
163 BLYTH Jourdain L. 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 11% 1%
164 COTTER Alexander J. 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
165 CUMMINGS Kai W. 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
166 PARK Jong-Eun 100% 95% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
167 HUGHES Levi H. 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
168 ARIETA Ryan T. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
168 CONNOR Ryan T. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
170 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
171 ROSTAL Scott E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
172 ZEKO David J. 100% 94% 73% 39% 13% 3% -
173 SINAI Nathan G. 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
174 SHAMIS Mark 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 9% 1%
175 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
176 KIM William M. 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
177 DIXON Samuel 100% 93% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
178 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
179 GRABER Andrew J. 100% 97% 83% 53% 23% 5% 1%
180 LIU Alexander 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
181 SHIREY Daniel L. 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
182 BAKER Kevin G. 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
183 SILVER Cameron 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 6% 1%
183 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 4% -
183 BOYCE Samuel H. 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
186 VISURAKAPALLI Sathvik 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
187 BRENNAN Charles F. 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
188 XIAN Ryan 100% 94% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
189 WANG Nathan 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 7% 1%
190 MARAKOV Allen B. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 6%
191 LOGUE Ethan D. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
192 FELDMAN Jaemin 100% 91% 63% 28% 8% 1% -
192 STOTT Donovan R. 100% 97% 81% 47% 17% 3% -
194 MARSHALL John W. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
194 MILLIAN Matthew 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
194 FULLER George K. 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
194 PAVLENISHVILI David G. 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
194 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
199 LEI Joshua 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
200 CANDREVA Hunter R. 100% 100% 98% 89% 66% 33% 8%
200 ZHANG Matthew 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
202 WANG Kevin de-tai 100% 93% 68% 34% 11% 2% -
203 MANCINI Christopher M. 100% 98% 85% 56% 25% 6% 1%
203 LIN Ryan 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
203 LI Brian X 100% 94% 71% 38% 13% 2% -
206 COULL Abraham (Abe) 100% 84% 50% 19% 4% 1% -
207 GUINAN Joseph 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
208 KIM Ethan J. 100% 94% 71% 38% 12% 2% -
208 DAVIS Matthew D. 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
210 PAEK Alex J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
211 WALTHER Bryan M. 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
211 DAROIAN Emon 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
213 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
214 STOREY Joseph P. 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 5% -
215 FARQUHARSON Cole 100% 99% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
216 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
217 ATANAS Matthew M. 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
218 VOZOVIK Zakhar 100% 88% 56% 22% 4% -
219 YOUNG Colton W. 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
220 CHO Tyler H. 100% 99% 92% 70% 39% 13% 2%
221 TIERNEY Luke 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
222 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
223 RHYU Kozmo 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
224 RUSSANOV Boris J. 100% 96% 78% 46% 16% 3% -
225 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
225 LIU John 100% 90% 60% 27% 7% 1% -
225 MUGA Boris 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
228 SHIN Joshua 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
229 SOOMRO Adam A. 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
229 ROBINSON Riley 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
231 YAO Shun 100% 55% 16% 3% - - -
232 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
232 RAJPAL Sartaj S. 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 2% -
234 COMBS Colson 100% 92% 66% 32% 10% 2% -
235 MOSES Alexander 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
236 KELSEY Ryan 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
237 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 99% 91% 69% 38% 12% 2%
238 BORATIN Daniel I. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
238 NESTEROV Andrew E. 100% 56% 16% 3% - - -
240 BAKER Jefferson G. 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
240 WOZNIAK Sebastian 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 1%
242 AMELI Sean 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
243 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
244 NIEBERGALL Colin G. 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
245 CAPELLUA Tommaso 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 2% -
246 KAJI Ty 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
247 LAFVING Brandon 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
248 KEHOE James E. 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
249 AL-TAYEB Ahmed M. 100% 63% 22% 4% 1% - -
250 WALKER IV Weymouth D. 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% -
251 MORSE Tyler 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
251 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
253 XIAN Riley 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
254 DAO Matthew M. 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
255 CULLEN Daniel F. 100% 96% 80% 48% 19% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.