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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

October NAC

Div I Women's Épée

Sunday, October 20, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Kansas City, MO - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 WASHINGTON Isis - - - - 2% 22% 76%
2 HURLEY Courtney L. - - - 3% 16% 40% 41%
3 VAN BRUMMEN Anna C. - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
3 CEBULA Anne - 4% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
5 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 18%
6 LIN Jessica Y. - - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
7 BATES Cassandra L. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
8 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
9 BASSA Francesca A. - - 3% 12% 31% 37% 17%
10 HOLMES Katharine (Kat) W. - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
11 VIE Natalie J. - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
11 ZUIKOVA Veronika - - - - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 27% 23% 11% 2%
13 LURYE Sarah - 5% 18% 34% 31% 11% 1%
14 HURLEY Kelley A. - 1% 8% 26% 41% 25%
15 LEE Sumin 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
16 YEFREMENKO Dariya (Dasha) - - - - 2% 6% 15% 23% 25% 18% 8% 2% -
17 PARK Faith K. - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 25%
18 JOYCE Michaela - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
19 KUNJAN Lena R. 1% 7% 17% 25% 24% 16% 8% 3% 1% - - - -
20 ZHENG Ava - 1% 4% 11% 20% 25% 21% 12% 5% 1% - - -
21 WATRALL Christina - - - 2% 7% 16% 25% 25% 16% 6% 1% -
22 CHIMAHUSKY Rebecca - - - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 28% 22% 10% 2%
23 HUSISIAN Hadley N. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
24 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
25 YEU Irene - - - - - 2% 6% 14% 24% 27% 19% 7% 1%
26 KETKAR Ketki - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
26 KHAMIS Yasmine A. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
28 VERMEULE Emily - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
29 CONSTANTINO Lola - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 9%
30 GRADY Miriam A. - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
31 MO Victoria 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 1%
32 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
33 NAHAPETYAN Datev - - - - - 1% 3% 10% 20% 27% 24% 12% 3%
34 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 3%
35 CANDREVA Greta H. - 1% 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
36 ZAFFT Tatiana M. - - - 1% 4% 10% 19% 25% 22% 13% 5% 1% -
37 BEIHOLD Emily M. 2% 10% 22% 27% 22% 12% 4% 1% < 1% - - - -
38 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. - - - 3% 8% 17% 25% 24% 15% 6% 1% - -
39 BULAVKO Sonia - - - 1% 4% 11% 20% 24% 21% 12% 4% 1% -
40 GU Sarah - 1% 5% 13% 22% 25% 19% 10% 4% 1% - - -
41 TOBY Natalia R. - - - 2% 6% 13% 21% 24% 19% 10% 4% 1% -
42 BEDDINGFIELD Claire E. - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
43 KOMAR Sofia - 2% 10% 27% 37% 21% 2%
44 SCALA Emma - - - 1% 5% 14% 23% 26% 19% 9% 2% - -
45 CHIN Isabella - - 1% 5% 12% 21% 24% 20% 11% 4% 1% - -
46 YAMANAKA Mina - - - 1% 4% 10% 18% 24% 22% 14% 5% 1% -
47 TYLER Syd - - 1% 5% 13% 21% 24% 19% 11% 4% 1% - -
48 GRESHAM Sarah L. - 1% 4% 10% 19% 24% 21% 13% 5% 1% - - -
49 LEE Michelle J. - - 1% 3% 8% 17% 23% 23% 15% 7% 2% - -
50 BUCUR Rebekah O. - - - 1% 4% 12% 21% 26% 21% 11% 3% 1% -
51 PROVENZA Hannah G. - - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 27% 22% 11% 3% -
51 KHROL Jaclyn - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 1%
53 PATURU Meghana - - 3% 9% 18% 25% 23% 14% 6% 2% - - -
54 MEHROTRA Anya - 1% 6% 15% 24% 25% 18% 8% 3% - - -
55 BEITTEL Chloe F. - - - 2% 7% 15% 23% 25% 17% 8% 2% - -
55 GANDHI Sedna S. - - - - 2% 8% 17% 26% 25% 15% 6% 1% -
57 LEANG Priscilla Y. - 3% 10% 21% 27% 22% 12% 4% 1% - - - -
58 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. - - - 2% 6% 14% 22% 25% 18% 9% 3% - -
58 GREGORY Elizabeth - - 1% 3% 9% 18% 24% 22% 14% 6% 2% - -
60 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
61 CHRETIEN PAULINE - - - - - - 2% 7% 17% 28% 27% 15% 3%
62 HAMILTON Pauline S. - - 1% 5% 12% 20% 24% 20% 12% 5% 1% - -
63 MACHULSKY Leehi - - - 1% 4% 11% 20% 25% 22% 12% 4% 1% -
64 HU Grace - 1% 6% 16% 25% 25% 17% 8% 2% - - -
65 LANDWEHR Helen B. - 2% 7% 16% 24% 24% 17% 8% 3% 1% - - -
66 LOMBARD Ella 3% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
67 KUZNETSOV Victoria - 1% 5% 13% 22% 25% 19% 10% 3% 1% - -
68 XU Grace (XinYi) - 2% 9% 18% 25% 23% 14% 6% 2% - - - -
69 SHAMSIAN Shaya - - 2% 8% 16% 23% 23% 16% 8% 2% - - -
70 HARRISON Amelia H. - - - - - - 2% 7% 17% 26% 27% 16% 4%
71 NGUYEN Kaylin A. - 2% 8% 17% 24% 23% 16% 8% 2% 1% - - -
71 BENATER Lauren - 2% 8% 17% 25% 24% 15% 7% 2% - - - -
73 LIU Christina A. 1% 5% 15% 25% 26% 17% 8% 2% 1% - - - -
74 TIKHONOVA Julia - - 1% 5% 13% 21% 24% 19% 11% 4% 1% - -
75 LEUNG Natalie - - 2% 7% 16% 23% 23% 17% 8% 3% 1% - -
76 WU Amelia - - 1% 5% 13% 21% 24% 19% 11% 4% 1% - -
77 MCLANE Lauren - - 1% 4% 11% 20% 25% 21% 13% 5% 1% - -
78 BRILL Sophie - 1% 5% 14% 23% 25% 18% 9% 3% 1% - - -
79 WILEY Erica - 1% 3% 10% 20% 25% 22% 13% 5% 1% - -
80 LIVERANT Jordan S. - 1% 3% 10% 19% 24% 22% 13% 6% 2% - - -
81 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) - 3% 11% 21% 25% 21% 12% 5% 1% - - - -
81 WANG Elizabeth 2% 11% 28% 34% 19% 5% -
83 LEIGHTON Eleanor T. - 3% 10% 20% 26% 22% 13% 5% 1% - - - -
84 O'DONNELL Amanda A. - - - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 27% 22% 11% 3% -
85 CHEN Zhengnan(Janet) - - - 1% 3% 9% 18% 24% 23% 15% 6% 1% -
86 KETKAR Mallika - - 1% 5% 12% 21% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% - -
86 WANG Karen - - - 1% 3% 8% 16% 24% 24% 16% 7% 1% -
88 WANG anne - 3% 11% 21% 25% 21% 12% 5% 1% - - - -
89 KOWALSKY Rachel A. - 2% 7% 17% 25% 24% 16% 7% 2% - - -
90 MARTUS Cosima O. - - 2% 7% 16% 23% 23% 17% 8% 3% 1% - -
91 FALLON Kyle R. - 2% 9% 19% 25% 23% 14% 6% 2% - - - -
92 CROCKET Anne R. - 1% 3% 10% 19% 25% 21% 13% 5% 2% - - -
93 MUCSI Anna M. - 1% 5% 13% 22% 25% 19% 10% 3% 1% - -
94 KIM Diane E. - - 2% 6% 14% 23% 25% 18% 9% 3% 1% - -
95 CHAN Elizabeth - 2% 8% 18% 26% 24% 15% 6% 2% - - - -
96 BROOKS Tean R. - 1% 4% 12% 22% 26% 20% 10% 3% 1% - - -
97 AHUJA Arianna - 3% 11% 21% 26% 21% 12% 4% 1% - - - -
98 GAO Aretha R. 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 13% 2%
99 BUCKINGHAM Emma N. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
100 MYERS Helen Sophia A. 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
101 SZPAK Lara K. 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
102 CHOI Lyla 3% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
103 ZUHARS Renee A. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
104 LIN Katie Y. - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
105 DUNLAP-SMITH Azaline I. - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 9%
106 YOON Julia J. 5% 21% 32% 26% 12% 3% -
107 ZMURK Emma M. 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
108 BINDAS Blodwen S. - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
109 HEDVAT Alexis S. 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
110 ROBERTSON Lily 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
111 IGOE Nirali B. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
112 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. 15% 34% 31% 15% 4% - -
113 OXENREIDER Tierna A. - 1% 5% 16% 32% 33% 14%
114 RUNIONS Emersyn 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
115 HEINRICH Eva 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
116 PYO Yunice 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
117 KUNDU Anisha 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
118 PROVANCE Amanda R. 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
119 GRESHAM Rebekah L. 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
120 PROCTOR Sara J. - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 11%
121 KULKARNI Diya 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
122 YANG Miranda (Yinuo) - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
123 SMUK Daria A. 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
124 BEI Karen 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
125 SEMIKIN Julia - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
126 TONG Sarah Shen 11% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
127 FENG Kelly L. 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
128 KIM Elizabeth Y. 4% 17% 30% 29% 15% 4% -
128 NING Emma - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5%
130 ZHANG Tina 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
131 WANG Nora 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
132 DESAMOURS Sabine I. 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 9% 1%
133 LABBE Kathryn M. 1% 6% 18% 31% 28% 13% 3%
134 BOYS Nishta B. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
135 LIM Clarice 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 2%
136 HENRY Asha S. 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 2% -
137 ACHTERBERG Samantha (Sammy) K. 4% 18% 31% 29% 14% 4% -
138 BARRY Julia E. - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
139 SCHMIDT Lori M. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
140 MALDONADO Pilar I. 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
141 RATZLAFF Jocelyn T. - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
142 DOUGLAS Julia F. 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
143 TAO Olivia A. 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
144 WHITTEMORE Lucy K. 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
144 BELSLEY Devon K. 15% 34% 31% 15% 4% 1% -
146 TAYLOR Audrey Y. 2% 10% 24% 32% 23% 8% 1%
147 COBERT Helen G. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
148 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
149 SCANLAN Susannah (Susie) - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
150 LUONG Shirley 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
150 LEANG Andrea K. 3% 15% 30% 30% 17% 5% 1%
152 NI Emma 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
153 SIBLEY Elisabeth J. 19% 37% 29% 12% 3% - -
154 PRIMES Amanda M. 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% 1% -
154 WEISS Talia L. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% 1%
156 QURESHI Aafreen 22% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
156 LEE kyungmin 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
158 CHU Audrey 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
159 MILLETTE Marie Frederique 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
160 WALLACE Katherine C. 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
161 GLASSNER Sophia Rose S. 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
162 KWON Athina 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
163 SLACKMAN Valerie 31% 41% 21% 6% 1% - -
164 GUPTA Ananya B. 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
165 TONCHEVA Victoria M. - < 1% 3% 12% 29% 37% 19%
166 LONG Cindy 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
167 ISAKSEN Isabella 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
167 LEE Olive 5% 26% 40% 23% 6% 1% -
169 BARNES Olivia R. 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
170 BOWIE Charlotta 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% - -
171 ADVINCULA Anabella E. 15% 35% 32% 15% 4% - -
172 JANOWSKI Madeline (Madeline Janowski) A. 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
173 WOLF Isabella A. 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 7% 1%
174 O'REILLY Aeryn E. 2% 12% 27% 31% 20% 7% 1%
175 SOIN Anika A. 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
176 WEISS Olivia 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
177 CHAN Cheri K. 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
178 MAYER Ingrid V. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
179 SMITH Grace L. 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
180 VANDERLINDEN Mira 28% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
181 MILEWSKI Nicole 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
182 KIM Natalie S. 32% 40% 21% 6% 1% - -
183 TIMMONS Sarah J. 4% 18% 31% 29% 14% 4% -
184 DICKINSON Alexandra P. 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
185 LIN Julia L. 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.