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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

October NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Monday, October 21, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Kansas City, MO - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZAGUNIS Mariel L. - - - 2% 12% 38% 49%
2 BURKE Nora S. - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
3 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
3 JOHNSON Honor B. - - - 1% 12% 40% 47%
5 TARTAKOVSKY Elizabeth - - 1% 8% 26% 42% 24%
6 LU Vivian Y. - 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 4%
7 MOSS Zara J. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
8 MILLER Sky - - - 6% 26% 44% 24%
9 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. - - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
10 THOMPSON Kamali A. - - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
11 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda - - 1% 9% 33% 41% 16%
12 SINGLETON-COMFORT Leanne - - - - 5% 30% 65%
13 MERZA Celina - - 1% 5% 23% 45% 26%
14 CHAMBERLAIN Maia C. - - 1% 11% 34% 42% 12%
15 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. - - 2% 13% 37% 39% 10%
16 LIANG Megan - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 4%
17 FREEDMAN Janna N. 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
18 RUSSO Francesca - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
19 THEODORE Maria A. - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
20 MORALES Jessica Y. - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
21 LI Anna M. 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 11% 2%
22 SHELTON Aleksandra - - 2% 17% 51% 30%
23 DI PERNA Chiara I. - - 1% 12% 45% 41%
24 AVAKIAN Mikaela - - 1% 5% 22% 44% 28%
25 TIMOFEYEV Daniella - - 1% 10% 36% 39% 13%
26 WILLIAMS Chloe C. - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7% 1%
27 FOUR-GARCIA Madison - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 2%
28 STONE Anne-Elizabeth - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
29 GREENBAUM Atara R. - 1% 6% 23% 42% 25% 4%
30 HOOGENDOORN Levi 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
31 KOVACS Sophia 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
32 WOZNIAK Kelli - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
33 ANGLADE Alexis C. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 24%
34 BLUM Leah I. 3% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
35 JOHNSON Edith (Tori) V. - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 20%
36 YUN Joy - 1% 5% 20% 38% 31% 5%
36 MOYA Keona L. - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 17%
38 HARRISON Imogen N. - 3% 13% 30% 33% 18% 3%
39 LINDER Kara E. - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
40 ZEGERS Anneke E. - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
41 GREENBAUM Ella K. 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
42 KIM Zoe - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
43 MICHEL Violet N. - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 26%
44 AKSAMIT Monica - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
45 MERZA Sarah - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
46 JENKINS Ryan J. - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
47 MILLER Tiffany D. - 4% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
48 POSSICK Lola P. - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
48 CHIN Erika J. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
50 KATZ Anat 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
51 TANG Annie L. 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
52 LACSON Sarah 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
53 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
54 BERMAN Stella 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
55 ROH Rachel E. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
56 KONG Vera - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
57 TZOU Alexandra 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
58 MENTZER Katherine 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
59 MARSEE Samantha 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
60 HASSAN Aziza R. 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
61 STONE Hava S. 6% 29% 41% 20% 3% -
62 HILL Julia W. 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 6% 1%
63 AKARD Micah M. 21% 44% 28% 6% 1% - -
64 TAO Hannah J. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
65 SECK Chejsa-Kaili F. - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12% 2%
66 GUTHIKONDA Nithya - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
66 TARTELL Abby - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
68 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. - 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2%
69 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. 3% 19% 40% 31% 6% -
70 WALTER Zsofia R. 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
70 OISHI Megumi - 3% 15% 31% 33% 15% 2%
72 GOUHIN Chloe - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
73 SONG Robyn 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
74 CHEEMA Sophia 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
75 YAP Madeline 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
75 PAK Kaitlyn 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
77 DUNGEY Amelia S. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
78 TIMOFEYEV Nicole 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
79 BUHAY Rachel T. 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1% -
80 CHEN Xinyan 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
81 SATHYANATH Kailing 8% 33% 39% 17% 2% -
82 WIGGERS Susan Q. - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
83 COIMBRA Miya Y. 8% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
84 BEALE Zoe M. 5% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
85 BUCHMANN Vivien - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
86 CHANG Josephine S. 1% 8% 29% 40% 18% 3% -
87 HAN Jeanette X. 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
88 REDDY Shreya 5% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
89 CHAN Audrey 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
90 KUDRIAVTSEVA Daria - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
91 WU Erica L. 5% 25% 41% 23% 5% - -
92 WHANG Rebecca 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
93 SHEALY Maggie - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
94 FLOREZ Melissa 7% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
95 TANG Catherine H. 8% 29% 38% 20% 4% - -
96 SHEA Erin 1% 12% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
96 KIM Catherine 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% -
98 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
99 DRAGON Rainer 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
100 HOOGENDOORN Sterre 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
101 MATAIEV Natalie S. 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
102 STAPLETON Lindsay K. 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
103 PRIESTLEY Catherine (Cate) C. 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
104 SHEN Sarah 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
105 DOHERTY Maverick L. 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
106 ZHUANG Zhesi (Jessica) 29% 46% 21% 4% - - -
107 LU Yi Lin 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
108 GORMAN Victoria M. 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
109 FEARNS Zara A. 26% 40% 25% 7% 1% - -
110 KOBOZEVA Tamara V. 4% 29% 40% 22% 5% 1% -
111 KYNETT Kathryn G. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
112 LIM Isabel K. 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
113 GHOSH Priyanka 14% 38% 34% 12% 2% - -
114 NEIBART Fiona 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
115 KALRA Himani V. 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
116 MIN Isabella K. 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
116 HE Charlotte 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
118 YODER Bridget H. 37% 43% 17% 3% - -
119 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
119 CALVERT Sarah-Jane E. 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
121 SHIN Andrea Y. 33% 44% 20% 4% - - -
122 LI Victoria J. 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
123 SIERRA Kate 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
123 KALRA Siya L. 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
123 MARQUES Hannah 71% 26% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.