The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

October NAC

Div II Women's Épée

Monday, October 21, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Kansas City, MO - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BEI Karen - - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14%
2 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
3 YANG Miranda (Yinuo) - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
3 NAHAPETYAN Datev - - - - 1% 15% 84%
5 MACHULSKY Leehi - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
6 MILEWSKI Nicole - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
7 DESAI Meera P. - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
8 SLACKMAN Valerie - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
9 JANOWSKI Madeline (Madeline Janowski) A. - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 9%
10 LEANG Andrea K. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
11 POIRIER Ariane - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
12 TIMMONS Sarah J. - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
13 MAYER Ingrid V. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
13 XIA Chelsea W. - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
15 SMUK Daria A. - 3% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
16 KIM Elizabeth Y. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
17 SHEN Stephanie - 1% 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
18 STOJANOVIC Mina 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
19 MAO Amy 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
20 DARANOUVONG Logan - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
21 HUANG Hannah T. 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
22 ADVINCULA Anabella E. - 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
23 LIN Julia L. 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
24 MYERS Helen Sophia A. - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
24 LAVERY Chloe K. - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 11%
26 TSANG JAFFE Avi - 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
27 BELSLEY Devon K. - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
28 NING Emma - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
29 EBRAHIM Ameera H. 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
30 BUCKINGHAM Emma N. - - - 3% 16% 40% 41%
30 ZAKHAROV Anne E. 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
30 GU Sarah - - 1% 7% 23% 40% 28%
33 DE JAGER Celine - 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
34 SIBLEY Elisabeth J. - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
35 SCHAFF Marlene M. - 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
36 ROBERTSON Lily - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
37 FENG Kelly L. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
38 TAYLOR Kiera S. 1% 7% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1%
38 LIN Waiyuk - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
40 SCHLIEP Anna J. - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
41 SAAL Anna 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% -
42 PAPADAKIS Lily - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
43 SOIN Anika A. 3% 15% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
44 ACHTERBERG Samantha (Sammy) K. - - 4% 18% 37% 33% 7%
45 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
46 KIM Erika S. 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
47 KOWALSKY Rachel A. - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
48 O'REILLY Aeryn E. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
49 DANIEL Olivia - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20% 1%
50 BANKS Lauren M. 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
51 PARDO Sarah 4% 17% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
52 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
53 ZHOU Lei 4% 25% 38% 24% 8% 1% -
54 PRIMES Amanda M. - 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2%
55 GOLDBERG Sophie C. 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
56 JI Catherine 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
57 CHIRASHNYA Noya 3% 16% 30% 30% 16% 5% 1%
58 WEISS Olivia 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
59 CAVNAR Peyton 4% 24% 37% 25% 9% 1% -
60 SINGH Aayushi 34% 44% 19% 3% - - -
61 GLASSNER Sophia Rose S. 2% 10% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
62 SON Katherine (Injee) 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
63 BOWIE Charlotta 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
64 ROWLAND May 31% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
65 BARNES Olivia R. - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
66 HONG Elaine 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
67 CORDERO Allison 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 1% -
68 JAMES Josephine - 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
69 MOK Chloe R. 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
70 PARKER Emilie Rose (Rosie) 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
71 HEINRICH Eva - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
72 KERAMANE Halah Z. 13% 37% 33% 14% 3% - -
73 SHUM Jessica 2% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
74 MILEWSKI Samantha 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
75 SCHMULTS Sophie W. 25% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
76 PARKER Sheridan 6% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
77 LUONG Shirley 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1%
78 DU Yiyun (Doreen) 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
79 SHERTZ Kira E. 1% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
79 LI Tiffany 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
81 RHEA Heather 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
82 LONGSTREET Olivia 68% 27% 4% - - - -
82 RAUSCH Juliana 1% 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
84 JANNEY Erynn "Renn" 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
85 OSBORN Sabrina 54% 35% 9% 1% - - -
86 O'HAGAN Eleanor G. 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
87 GAURIAT Jade S. 11% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
88 BOLES Savvianna 5% 26% 41% 22% 5% 1% -
89 CARBO laura 77% 21% 2% - - - -
90 CARLSON Ava 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
91 HERDMAN Samantha J. 22% 41% 27% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.