October NAC

Div II Men's Saber

Monday, October 21, 2019 at 11:00 AM

Kansas City, MO - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JEAN Noe T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
2 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
3 ERACHSHAW Taras P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30%
3 PORTMANN Stein J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6%
5 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
6 WESLER Logan A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
7 MICHELL Bailey 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
8 LEVIN Mark A. 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
9 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
10 DESAI Drewv D. 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 6%
11 REYES Xavier M. 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
12 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3%
13 ZU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
14 NEUHEARDT Peter 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 17% 3%
15 KOTOV Leonid 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
16 NARANJO David E. 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
17 LIU David J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 9%
18 SMITLEY Tyler J. 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
19 BACON Elias (Eli) H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
20 RAJA Arnav 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
21 GANTA Vijay 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
22 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 100% 100% 96% 83% 55% 23% 4%
23 LE Hayden 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
24 WINKLER Lucas G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
25 TRINH Trevor Z. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
26 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 39% 10%
27 ASHBY Ethan J. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
28 WILDMAN John 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 7%
29 GILMORE Thomas W. 100% 100% 95% 79% 50% 19% 3%
30 KAYDALIN Artyom 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 5%
31 TANG Alex Y. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
32 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
33 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
34 TANN Justin 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 13% 2%
35 PAN Jerry 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
36 GINIS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
37 LI Joshua L. 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1%
38 BUKOWSKI Bronson 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
39 SLOCOMBE Xavier 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
40 TANG Brendan J. 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1%
41 MAGUIRE Matthew V. 100% 97% 83% 53% 23% 5% 1%
42 RAI Avin 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
43 POPE Nico 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2%
44 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
45 YANG Richard 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 20% 4%
46 NG Jonathan H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
47 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
47 GREEN IV James (Bud) 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
49 HASNAH Henry 100% 99% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
50 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16% 2%
51 ELIN Adam E. 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
52 RABINKOV Anthony 100% 92% 65% 32% 9% 2% -
53 LASORSA Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
54 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
55 CHO Brandon 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
56 MORTON-SALMON Sasha 100% 89% 50% 16% 3% - -
57 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
58 WU Nicholas R. 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
59 HONG Steven 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 6% -
60 GEORGE Daniel 100% 78% 29% 5% 1% - -
61 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
62 ALTIRS Alexander 100% 93% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
63 SUN David 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
64 KOSURI Harsha 100% 44% 9% 1% - -
65 KORINTH Alexander J. 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
66 MYERS Kaleb S. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
67 GILLIGAN Wolff 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
68 ZHOU Miles 100% 99% 83% 48% 17% 3% -
69 HENSHAW Joseph 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
70 WANG Charles 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
71 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
72 KOKKIN Jack S. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 2%
73 GAFFNEY John M. 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
74 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
74 CORTINO Mathieu 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 1%
76 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 5%
77 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
78 CHANG Colin S. 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
79 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 24% 4%
80 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
81 DEWEY Charles J. 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
82 LEITH Jack 100% 73% 28% 5% - - -
83 JUNG Junhwan 100% 99% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
84 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2%
85 VILLARREAL Mateo 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
86 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1%
87 LEONARD Cole 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
88 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. 100% 95% 75% 43% 16% 3% -
89 ZHOU Brian 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 5% -
90 ESCUETA Jr Antonio V. 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2% -
90 REED Samuel J. 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
92 XU William 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
93 ALKIN Isaac 100% 91% 63% 30% 9% 1% -
94 WILLIAMS Chris 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
95 LIN Andrew 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
96 FENG Leo 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
97 KIM Alexander M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
98 CHAN Chaplin Cheuk Lun 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
99 BOURGHOL Matthew 100% 85% 41% 10% 1% - -
99 XU Luke 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
101 YUN Jake 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
102 NGUYEN Andrew 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
103 PANDEY Neil 100% 90% 56% 21% 4% - -
104 REN Richard 100% 69% 27% 5% 1% - -
104 PITTS Connor 100% 52% 10% 1% - - -
106 WINEBURNER J.T. 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
107 SIBILLA Gopal 100% 73% 27% 5% 1% - -
108 GUTSCHKE Braxton 100% 24% 3% - - - -
109 LOPEZ Lucas M. 100% 51% 11% 1% - - -
109 POLSER John 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.