The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Premier Challenge RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Friday, September 6, 2019 at 4:00 PM

Manalapan, NJ - Manalapan, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZELTSER Lawrence M. - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
2 TOLBA Abdelrahman - - 2% 18% 47% 32%
3 TORRES Treston - 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
3 LEE Jacob J 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
5 GOOR Julian - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
6 GARR James D. - 2% 17% 40% 34% 7%
7 TAHOUN Mostafa - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
8 DECORLETO III Andrew (Tripp) J. 21% 40% 29% 10% 1% -
9 XIANG Derrick 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
10 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. - 3% 14% 32% 36% 16%
11 LI Ayren - 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
12 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 1% 8% 31% 41% 17% 2%
13 CHEN Kyle P. - - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12%
14 GUO Sean - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
15 GUO Justin - 5% 26% 42% 23% 3%
16 PITERBARG Maxim 7% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1%
17 LIGOS Alex M. 11% 48% 32% 8% 1% -
18 TRUBETSKI David 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
18 MENG Xiang - 3% 17% 38% 33% 9%
20 POIROT Max 10% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
21 SVERDLOV Seth 1% 11% 38% 37% 12% 1%
22 WEN Ethan 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% -
23 ARCE Andrew W. 59% 37% 4% - - - -
24 TING Clement 64% 31% 5% - - -
25 PARK Joseph 13% 44% 35% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.