The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Premier Challenge RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, September 7, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Manalapan, NJ - Manalapan, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MERCHANT Reza H. - - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
2 ANDREEV Arthur - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
3 BAKER Kevin G. 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
3 LEIGH David A. - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
5 KANG Michael H. - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
6 KUMAR Anitya 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
7 ZHANG Matthew - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
8 KOKENGE Clark 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 4%
9 CHIN Ethan - 3% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
10 KIM Juni C. - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
11 MARAKOV Allen B. - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
12 CHA Russell W. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 16%
13 RA Jr. Daniel M. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
14 INSLER Ethan C. 2% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
15 PAVLENISHVILI David G. - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
16 ZHANG YuJian - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
17 DIXON Samuel - 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
18 SLAVINSKIY Alan - - 3% 16% 37% 33% 10%
19 LUKANYUK Lorence 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
20 KIM William M. 5% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
21 LIU Frank 17% 39% 31% 10% 2% -
22 GANA Jr Jorge M. 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
23 YUROVCHAK Andrew T. - 4% 17% 36% 32% 10%
24 SJOSTEDT Jacob H. - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
25 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
26 POLKOVSKY Dylan S. - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
27 MARCHANT Albert J. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
28 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
29 MACKIN Samuel 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
30 MORSE Tyler 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 3%
31 SMITH Nicholas S. - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
32 JIN Alexander 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% -
33 MAAS Sean H. 13% 38% 34% 13% 2% -
34 INSLER Gabriel C. - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
35 HE Lawrence 17% 40% 31% 10% 2% -
36 DOLMETSCH Max 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
37 FERREIRA Noah J. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
38 PERSAUD Daivik 4% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
39 KAMBESELES Jack M. - - 3% 14% 35% 37% 11%
40 TUCKER Owen J. 20% 42% 28% 9% 1% -
41 GOHEL Dayus T. 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
42 BEKKER Mitchel - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
43 WISNIEWSKI Bart 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
44 MCDERMOTT Brian - 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
45 SHENG Patrick Y. 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
46 FELDMAN Jaemin - 4% 22% 40% 26% 7% 1%
47 DIAS-LALCACA Kieran P. 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1%
48 HONG James 26% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
49 CHEUNG Liyan 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
50 WHITEHURST JJ 5% 26% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
51 WANG Eric S 7% 25% 34% 24% 8% 2% -
52 SOOMRO Adam A. 2% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
53 TONG Chihao 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
54 REYES Vincent 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
55 LI Jeffrey 23% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
56 WU Joseph 14% 47% 31% 7% 1% - -
57 LAI Coby 14% 35% 32% 15% 4% - -
58 LEE Jonathan 40% 40% 16% 3% - - -
59 LIU Jack 19% 41% 30% 10% 1% -
60 DIXON Thomas 32% 43% 20% 4% - -
60 CONNELL Jay 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
62 WADE Grayson 29% 44% 22% 5% - -
63 KERN Joseph 13% 36% 34% 15% 3% - -
64 CHERUKURI Harshil 26% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.