The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC/Y8

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, November 30, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Secaucus, NJ - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Nicholas W. - - - - 6% 33% 61%
2 PELOSKY Zack B. - - - - 5% 33% 62%
3 HOOSHI Dylan M. - - - - 7% 34% 59%
3 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
5 ZHANG Nicholas Z. - - - - 3% 28% 69%
6 LI Richard - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
7 BAE Kevin - - - 3% 22% 47% 29%
7 ZELTSER Lawrence M. - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 16%
9 BAS Liam - - - 2% 17% 48% 33%
9 MARX Oscar L. - - - 1% 11% 45% 43%
11 ONIK Elijah T. - - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
12 PAE Jonathan L. - - 2% 10% 30% 41% 18%
13 PAN Eric - - 2% 15% 43% 34% 5%
14 CHENG Jonathan - - - 1% 9% 35% 54%
15 GRAHAM Roy J. - - - 1% 9% 40% 50%
16 SHA Yi Peng - 1% 12% 35% 38% 14%
17 FU Samuel Y. - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
18 DOCTOR Aidan L. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
19 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - - - 2% 14% 42% 43%
20 ANTON Nathaniel - - 1% 7% 29% 47% 17%
21 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - - - 4% 30% 66%
22 FOGELSON Frederick J. - - - 2% 18% 45% 34%
23 LI Owen - - - 3% 18% 47% 32%
24 LEE Joshua - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
25 DAI Jonathan T. - - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
26 KEE Andrew L. - - 1% 9% 32% 41% 17%
26 YANG Luao - - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
28 MOHAMED Murad - - 2% 16% 38% 36% 8%
29 BRUK Peter J. - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
30 LEE Aidan - - 2% 11% 34% 39% 13%
31 ALIMI Yacine A. - 3% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
32 GARCIA Sebastian R. - 1% 9% 31% 41% 19%
33 NAGER Noah - - - 5% 26% 49% 19%
34 ORVANANOS Jorge - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
34 CHOI Jiwoo J. - - - - - 5% 95%
36 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
37 ZHANG Yun Isaac - - - 2% 18% 51% 28%
38 RUSADZE Nickolas - - 1% 8% 28% 44% 19%
39 BING Charles - - - 1% 11% 41% 47%
40 GEOGHEGAN Ronan - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 12%
41 CATINO Brennen - - 3% 16% 39% 34% 7%
42 HORSLEY Alexander - - - 7% 34% 43% 15%
43 MARX Jackson L. - - 1% 8% 36% 42% 14%
44 TAHOUN Mostafa 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 9% 1%
45 LI Eric - - 4% 19% 40% 31% 7%
46 SONG Leonardo T. - 1% 14% 38% 36% 11%
47 KAO Castor T. - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 35%
48 VERSTEELE Sander - - - 5% 30% 45% 20%
49 DORAN Wesley C. - - 1% 12% 39% 37% 10%
50 QI Steve 1% 8% 30% 39% 18% 3% -
51 AHN Jun - - 4% 21% 41% 29% 4%
52 GOOR Julian - - 1% 7% 33% 57% 2%
53 LI Yao (Liam) - 2% 17% 43% 32% 7% -
54 KWON Ethan - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 7%
55 CULLIVAN Justice - 1% 9% 32% 39% 16% 2%
56 ZHANG Zixuan "Mark" 1% 16% 43% 33% 7% - -
57 TORRES Treston 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
58 CANO Marcos E. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
59 WU Alexander - - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
60 HAN Lawrence 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
61 PALMA Matthew Dominic 1% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
62 ZHAI Jeffrey - - 7% 32% 44% 16% 1%
63 SHIN Joshua J. - - 4% 20% 40% 29% 6%
64 KNIZHNIK David 2% 14% 37% 38% 9% 1% -
65 TOLBA Abdelrahman - - - 8% 34% 48% 10%
65 HONG Issac - 4% 22% 42% 26% 6% -
67 LIU Eric Y. 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
67 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 13%
69 GORBACHEV Alexander - - 2% 16% 42% 34% 5%
70 TSIMIKLIS Yanni - 1% 11% 46% 33% 8% 1%
71 MIALL Steven A. - - - 4% 27% 53% 15%
72 WANG Julang 3% 33% 47% 15% 2% - -
73 ZHEN Ethan - 1% 8% 29% 40% 20% 2%
73 DRESSEL Jet 3% 22% 40% 28% 7% - -
75 GARR James D. - 2% 14% 37% 38% 8% -
76 PAE Brian L. - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
76 TANG Owen S. - 1% 7% 25% 39% 23% 5%
76 XIANG Derrick - 5% 23% 40% 26% 5% -
79 ZHENG zhe - 1% 10% 37% 41% 11% 1%
80 PO Oliver - 4% 27% 41% 24% 5%
81 GUO Jacob - 2% 15% 37% 34% 11% 1%
82 LEE Jacob 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% 1% -
83 LI Matthew - 2% 14% 37% 35% 12% 1%
83 XIAO Benjamin 4% 22% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
85 ZHANG Huaxu 20% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
86 HE Yuhao - - 5% 22% 41% 27% 4%
87 MENG Zhaoyi 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 7% 1%
88 MOHAMED Amir - 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
89 LIN James G. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
90 BOYLE Aiden P. 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
90 LEE Jacob J - 2% 13% 35% 37% 12% 1%
92 GONG Benjamin - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
93 TANG August L. - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
93 LIN Michael 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
95 SHAO Eric 9% 34% 38% 16% 3% - -
96 JIANG Owen 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
97 MILLER Aidan A. - 2% 10% 30% 39% 17% 2%
98 CHEN Kyle P. - - 3% 19% 52% 23% 3%
99 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 1% 8% 27% 38% 21% 5% -
100 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 4% 29% 40% 21% 5% - -
100 NICOLL James 3% 21% 40% 29% 7% - -
102 LOU Darren 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
103 BADLANI Dev 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
104 YU Jason 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
105 DONG sean 11% 36% 38% 13% 1% - -
106 WANG Mason 3% 21% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
107 TRUBETSKI David 4% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
108 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden - 6% 25% 39% 23% 5% -
108 PLASTARAS Trey 9% 36% 37% 15% 3% - -
108 LU Xiao 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -
111 XU Ethan 1% 12% 36% 38% 12% 2% -
112 WECHSLER Jacob 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
112 GAO William - 1% 11% 42% 37% 9% -
114 TRAUGOT Owen G. - 3% 16% 34% 33% 12% 1%
115 LI Lianhao 14% 45% 33% 8% 1% - -
116 LI Chenglang Ryan 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
117 BAUMANN Gunnar 50% 43% 7% - - -
118 BAO Aaron - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
119 NICOLL William 12% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
120 ORTEGA Jose-Arnel 1% 6% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
121 MORGESON Colin 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
122 REZA Farazi 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% - -
123 SCHREIBER Samuel S. 18% 43% 30% 8% 1% - -
124 ORLOV Dmitriy 4% 26% 42% 23% 5% - -
125 LI Jinghua E. 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3% -
126 SONG Austin 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
127 GLEBA Nico 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
128 DE JAGER Robert 25% 50% 22% 3% - - -
129 LIGOS Alex M. 6% 36% 40% 16% 3% - -
130 LIU Zixian (Aaron) - 3% 17% 38% 32% 9% 1%
131 GUO Justin 2% 18% 40% 30% 9% 1% -
132 LI Ayren 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
133 PARK Joseph 7% 34% 39% 17% 3% - -
134 CAMPISI Joseph 1% 13% 40% 36% 9% 1% -
135 TANG Albert 3% 21% 40% 28% 8% 1% -
136 LEE Lukas 1% 10% 33% 39% 15% 2% -
137 ARCE Andrew W. 40% 45% 14% 1% - - -
137 XIE Buster 10% 41% 36% 12% 2% - -
139 FRANK Amir 14% 40% 34% 10% 1% - -
140 HUA Aiden 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
141 MACDERMOTT Rowan 1% 11% 31% 35% 17% 4% -
142 DECORLETO III Andrew (Tripp) J. 14% 40% 34% 11% 2% - -
143 SIMA Congyu Josh 2% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1% -
144 ZHONG Guoren 8% 31% 39% 18% 3% - -
145 WANG Jackson 1% 16% 38% 32% 11% 2% -
146 JIA Jing Yu 29% 45% 22% 4% - - -
147 HUSSAIN Ibrahim 4% 24% 46% 22% 4% - -
148 KLOTZ Isaiah 4% 25% 45% 22% 4% - -
149 ZHOU Leon 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
149 BALAKIRSKIY Gabriel 39% 44% 15% 2% - - -
151 GAO Payton 6% 41% 41% 11% 1% - -
152 PITERBARG Maxim 8% 36% 38% 15% 2% - -
152 HU Jason 25% 44% 25% 5% - - -
154 HOLCOMB Cedric 68% 29% 3% - - - -
155 LOGAN Kai 4% 31% 52% 12% 1% - -
156 YOON DYLAN 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
157 PAN Henry 11% 52% 32% 4% - - -
158 HUANG Eythan 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
159 UJSZASZI Ben 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
160 WANG Winston 19% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
161 LEWIS Nikhil I. 55% 37% 7% - - - -
161 BANG Ian 72% 25% 3% - - - -
163 AGRAWAL Niki 32% 54% 12% 1% - -
164 IVANENKO Alex 61% 33% 6% - - - -
165 HUSSAIN Ismail A. 56% 36% 8% 1% - - -
165 LIU Ryan 20% 47% 28% 6% - - -
165 MALHAM Andrew 71% 25% 3% - - - -
165 LIU Charles 55% 37% 8% 1% - - -
165 LU Guanxun (James) 10% 37% 38% 13% 2% - -
165 CHO Nathan 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
171 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -
171 WEI Qian 60% 33% 7% 1% - - -
173 XU Dinghui Ryan 54% 38% 8% 1% - - -
174 POZO Matias 16% 40% 33% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.