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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	SINHA Anika	-	-	1%	12%	40%	47%
2	GRAFF Sophie	-	3%	23%	41%	27%	6%
3	MIKA Veronica	-	-	4%	17%	35%	33%	10%
3	PAUL Lila	-	-	4%	19%	44%	33%
5	BEVACQUA Aria F.	-	2%	11%	31%	37%	17%	2%
6	ENGELMAN Madeline A.	-	-	-	5%	21%	43%	31%
7	MAREK Sofia	-	1%	6%	26%	46%	22%
8	ANTHONY Alexia B.	6%	27%	39%	22%	5%	-
9	OBRADOVIC Ana	-	-	3%	21%	52%	24%
10	REN Xinling	5%	24%	40%	26%	6%	-
11	HILD Nisha	-	2%	13%	31%	34%	16%	3%
12	GOMERMAN Sophia	1%	10%	31%	36%	18%	4%	-
13	YUAN Greta	-	1%	11%	33%	39%	15%
14	LOPEZ-ONA Mia	-	1%	5%	17%	33%	32%	12%
15	LEE Hannah	-	6%	25%	41%	24%	4%
16	SO Catelyn	-	-	< 1%	6%	41%	53%
17	MCCREARY Camryn A.	-	2%	14%	37%	36%	12%
18	NG Sarah W.	1%	10%	27%	33%	21%	6%	1%
19	NAYAK Anika	3%	18%	36%	30%	11%	2%	-
20	DUCKETT Madison	-	2%	13%	36%	38%	10%
21	SRIVASTAVA UmaSofia	-	5%	23%	38%	27%	7%
22	MARYASH Samantha	5%	39%	43%	12%	1%	-
23	LEUNG Ashlyn K.	-	6%	30%	47%	15%	1%
24	SHINCHUK Ellisha	8%	35%	41%	14%	1%	-
25	SPEARS Mya B	2%	14%	35%	35%	13%	2%
26	OGANEZOVA Valerie	-	2%	10%	27%	35%	21%	4%
28	WANG Audrey	16%	42%	32%	9%	1%	-
29	GUILFOYLE Alanna	18%	45%	30%	7%	1%	-
30	MCKEE Ainsley	23%	43%	27%	7%	1%	-
31	YOUNG Audrey	1%	8%	28%	37%	21%	5%	-
32	ZHANG Sophie	2%	24%	39%	26%	8%	1%	-
33	SHUM Madyson	55%	37%	7%	1%	-	-
34	FESTA Carina	28%	44%	23%	5%	-	-
35	YEN Natalie	64%	30%	5%	-	-	-	-
36	NAYAK Esha	50%	42%	8%	1%	-	-
37	FEIG Sela	17%	40%	31%	10%	1%	-
38	DAI Olivia	9%	31%	36%	19%	5%	1%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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