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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	ZAFFT Tatiana M.	-	-	2%	9%	28%	40%	21%
2	XU Grace (XinYi)	-	-	5%	24%	44%	27%
3	COBERT Helen G.	-	-	5%	25%	47%	23%
3	CHAN Elizabeth	-	1%	10%	32%	40%	17%
5	KUZNETSOV Victoria	-	1%	5%	23%	44%	28%
6	NING Emma	-	-	2%	14%	43%	42%
7	WADE-CURRIE Ava S.	-	-	3%	19%	45%	33%
8	KIM Rachael	-	4%	15%	30%	31%	17%	3%
9	SAAL Anna	-	2%	15%	36%	33%	12%	1%
10	LIN Katie Y.	-	-	-	5%	22%	43%	29%
11	GU Sarah	-	1%	8%	28%	43%	21%
12	KOKES Ava	5%	24%	36%	25%	8%	1%	-
13	MEHROTRA Anya	-	1%	11%	33%	39%	15%
14	MAO Amy	3%	19%	38%	30%	9%	1%
15	DOUGLAS Julia F.	-	1%	8%	30%	43%	18%
16	WANG anne	-	2%	12%	28%	34%	19%	4%
17	SHEN Stephanie	-	6%	28%	39%	21%	4%
18	ZHANG Tina	-	-	1%	10%	31%	42%	16%
19	MING Cynthia	10%	35%	39%	15%	2%	-
20	PAN Michelle	1%	8%	32%	39%	18%	3%
21	DE JAGER Celine	-	6%	28%	41%	21%	4%
22	GAJJALA Sharika R.	-	1%	10%	35%	41%	12%
23	EBRAHIM Ameera H.	1%	6%	26%	42%	22%	4%
24	LI Alisha	5%	29%	43%	19%	3%	-
25	ZENG Katrina	18%	37%	30%	12%	2%	-	-
26	YAO Jillian	-	3%	20%	39%	29%	8%
27	SMUK Daria A.	-	3%	19%	41%	30%	6%
28	BLIN Margaux J.	2%	14%	34%	35%	14%	2%
28	JOSEPH mikayla	26%	43%	25%	6%	1%	-
30	HONG Elaine	1%	9%	27%	35%	22%	6%	1%
31	ABRAMSON Mariela R.	1%	8%	24%	34%	24%	8%	1%
32	CANNEY Lauren	1%	14%	38%	35%	12%	1%	-
33	SINGH Aayushi	78%	20%	2%	< 1%	-	-	-
34	MIETUS Isabelle	33%	46%	18%	3%	-	-
35	HICKS Grace	15%	41%	34%	9%	1%	-
36	GUZZI Jordan	54%	37%	8%	1%	-	-
37	NAYAK Mira	19%	41%	30%	9%	1%	-
38	BONAR Natalia	17%	52%	26%	5%	-	-
39	LIN Julia L.	2%	14%	31%	32%	17%	4%	-
40	KRUMHOLZ Nicole	33%	49%	16%	2%	-	-
41	LEE Anna	30%	44%	22%	4%	-	-
41	DENG Annie	22%	42%	27%	8%	1%	-
43	ZAKHAROV Anne E.	1%	17%	38%	31%	11%	2%	-
44	BRASH Olivia	19%	51%	26%	5%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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