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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	CHUSID Renata M.	-	-	-	1%	8%	37%	54%
2	DAVIA Daniella V.	-	-	3%	17%	39%	33%	7%
3	MASSICK Laine	-	-	1%	6%	25%	42%	26%
3	LESLIE Ryanne T.	-	-	-	2%	14%	45%	40%
5	KIM Rachael	-	-	-	3%	17%	42%	38%
6	HE Fenghuan	-	-	-	5%	24%	47%	23%
7	LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy)	-	4%	17%	35%	33%	12%
8	LI Meilin	2%	12%	31%	35%	17%	3%
9	LIN Ashley	1%	11%	29%	36%	20%	4%
10	CHUSID Mikayla	-	1%	7%	24%	38%	25%	5%
11	COSTELLO Angeline S.	-	1%	8%	30%	41%	18%	2%
12	SADAN Jordan E.	-	1%	6%	23%	41%	28%
13	HOOSHI Erica S.	-	-	-	2%	14%	43%	41%
14	SHAW Kayla M.	-	1%	6%	22%	38%	27%	7%
15	LUNG Katerina	-	-	3%	16%	36%	34%	11%
16	XUE Alanna	4%	20%	35%	28%	11%	1%
17	WANG Ellen	-	-	1%	6%	27%	47%	19%
18	CHEN Kelly	-	5%	21%	36%	29%	9%
19	OUYANG Bridgette Z.	-	1%	9%	31%	38%	18%	2%
20	XU Madison	-	5%	24%	38%	25%	7%	1%
21	CHEN Jessie S.	-	2%	12%	35%	37%	14%	1%
22	YU Jaime L.	-	5%	22%	37%	27%	8%	1%
23	MCKEE Alexandra K.	3%	33%	42%	18%	3%	-	-
24	HUANG Natalie	-	5%	23%	41%	25%	6%	-
25	DU Hannah	1%	15%	37%	33%	12%	2%	-
26	HOLLE Aviella S.	-	1%	8%	26%	37%	23%	5%
27	SEO Irene Y.	-	2%	14%	37%	35%	11%	1%
28	WEBB Ella	20%	39%	29%	10%	2%	-
29	CHEN Allison V.	-	5%	20%	36%	29%	9%
30	LI Rachel Y.	7%	26%	36%	23%	7%	1%
31	YU Lauren C.	14%	38%	35%	12%	2%	-	-
32	PAHLAVI Dahlia	28%	42%	23%	6%	1%	-
33	WU Julianna Y.	1%	11%	32%	35%	17%	3%	-
34	GU EMILY	1%	15%	39%	33%	11%	1%	-
35	LIU Sophia	3%	22%	43%	26%	6%	-	-
36	KANIUK Rachel	2%	29%	41%	22%	5%	1%	-
37	CHO Rebecca H.	1%	10%	28%	36%	21%	4%
38	FU Qihan	11%	34%	35%	16%	3%	-
39	SU Michelle	-	5%	24%	40%	25%	5%	-
40	PAVE Claire	4%	31%	40%	20%	5%	-	-
41	MAESTRADO Ashley R.	16%	41%	33%	9%	1%	-	-
42	HEISER Anna M.	17%	44%	30%	8%	1%	-	-
43	OLIVEIRA Lavinia M.	22%	43%	28%	6%	1%	-	-
44	GUO Jessica	84%	15%	1%	-	-	-	-
45	SHEIN Evita	72%	25%	3%	-	-	-	-
45	ZGOMBIC Emily	40%	44%	14%	2%	-	-	-
47	THIRUVENGADAM Harini	80%	19%	2%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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