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USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Cadet Men's Saber

Monday, July 1, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HARLEY Colby A. - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
2 DANNULL Lukas J. - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
3 HARVEY Nicholas J. - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
3 HEATHCOCK Colin Yang Siqi - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
5 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
6 DENNER Lysander H. - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
6 LIM Ryan Y. - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
8 JEFFORDS Alexander - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
9 HONG Marshall Q. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
10 LILOV Neil - - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
11 KUSHKOV Simon O. - - 1% 7% 28% 42% 22%
12 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. - - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
13 LIMB Matthew G. - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 32%
14 WILLIAMS Nolan E. - - 3% 14% 31% 36% 16%
15 LAI Adam J. - - 5% 18% 35% 31% 11%
16 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
17 KIM Avery J. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
18 VASILYEV Nikita K. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
19 FRISHMAN Ethan J. - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
20 GEFELL Andrew P. - - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
21 BOLTON Braydon A. - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
22 CHANG Eliot A. - 3% 13% 29% 32% 18% 4%
22 KIM Minwook - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 26%
24 JI Cody Walter - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
25 ZHOU Matthew R. - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
26 MORREALE John - 1% 8% 24% 37% 24% 5%
27 HAMMER Peter A. - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
28 KIM Sean G. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
29 YANG Ziyi - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
30 DHINGRA Gian K. - - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
31 CHAN Matthew - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
32 PEDERSEN Leif - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
33 DODRILL Grant - - 1% 5% 23% 45% 26%
34 LIANG Connor - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
35 ZHOU Justin - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
36 LEE Kyle - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
37 WOOD Elden S. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
38 SO Hananiah - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 12%
39 CHEN Oscar - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
40 BENAVRAM Lev C. - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
41 CHO Brandon - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
42 LIN Nick - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
43 FORMAN Logan 2% 14% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
44 WILSON Jude - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
45 HUSSAIN Faaris 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
46 YAO Jonathan - 4% 21% 37% 29% 8%
47 TANG Albert 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
48 LIN John A. - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 21%
49 DROZ Camden J. - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 27%
50 CAI Lawrence (Larry) - - - 4% 22% 46% 28%
51 HARRIS Alex K. - 2% 11% 26% 34% 22% 5%
52 NG Jonathan H. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 9%
53 BARBER William S. 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
54 LUEBBE Macklan C - 2% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
55 FLORES Peter D. 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
56 JEAN Noe T. - 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
57 LASORSA Matthew - 4% 17% 32% 31% 13% 2%
58 TANG Alex Y. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
59 RAI Avin - 1% 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
60 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
61 LUKASHENKO Darii - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
62 BAILEY Asher 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
63 BERGER Oliver - 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
64 YEN Preston - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
65 YANG Kevin S. - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
66 AURAY Phileas - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
67 OWENS William 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
68 ERACHSHAW Taras P. - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
69 NI AMEN Zahir K. - - 3% 15% 33% 36% 13%
70 CHAYEVSKY Kirk - 2% 10% 26% 34% 23% 6%
70 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. - - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
70 SAKHAMURI Surya - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
73 LO Joshua H. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
74 SHI Andrew - 1% 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
75 LE Hayden 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% 1%
76 CHEN Brian - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
77 KUSHKOV Veniamin - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
78 DENNER Maximilian P. 1% 7% 24% 34% 25% 9% 1%
79 SOHN Kevin J. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 25%
80 PAN Andrew W. - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 4%
81 BLINKOV Andrey - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
81 TRAVERS Samir T. - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
83 RAJA Arnav - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
84 LEMPERT Levy A. 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
85 DILLREE Spencer S. 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
86 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. - 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 4%
86 LEVIN Mark A. - 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3%
88 LIU David J. - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
89 WIND Nicky E. - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
90 DU Gavin J. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
91 LIU Jonathan M. - 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2%
92 LEONARD Cole 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 7% 1%
93 GREEN IV James (Bud) - 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 2%
94 WANG Eric Y. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
95 BUEKER Samuel P. 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
96 CHANG Brandon - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
97 YOUNG Nash - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
98 NOBLE Daniel - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 4%
99 YOUNG Brendon 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
100 SMITH Mitchell M. - - 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
101 POPE Nico 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
102 HONG Vincent Q. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
102 RESHEIDAT Malik 2% 16% 32% 31% 16% 4% -
102 MAHONEY Colin M. 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 1%
102 KIM Noah L. 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
106 MORRILL Justin - 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2%
107 LI Joshua L. 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
107 MENSAH Kennedy C 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
109 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
109 BERRIO Carter E. 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1%
111 ZHOU Kevin - 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
112 BERMAN Luca 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
113 MILLER Levi H. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
114 PORTMANN Stein J. - 5% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3%
115 GILMORE Thomas W. 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
116 HARGENRADER Kailen A. 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2%
117 YANG Richard - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
118 UEYAMA Ietetsu A. 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
118 HASNAH Henry 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
120 XU Luke 21% 43% 27% 8% 1% - -
121 LUO ZIRUI 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
122 ALKIN Isaac 28% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
123 CONINE Tanner C. 3% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
124 METTKE Nathaniel 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
125 RYAN Edward T. 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
125 SHASHA zane 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
127 KIM Andrew H. - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
128 ZHOU Miles 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
129 KOGAN Benjamin - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
130 BRAR Sanjeet - 5% 19% 33% 29% 11% 2%
131 QIN Alexander 12% 42% 33% 11% 2% - -
132 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - 2% 13% 36% 34% 13% 2%
132 LIU kelly 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1%
134 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 5% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
135 LINSKY Matthew - 1% 5% 19% 37% 31% 8%
136 LAUDON Konrad 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
137 KENNEDY Liam A. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
138 GAFFNEY John M. 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
138 CHANG Colin S. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
140 HAMMERSTROM Jared 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
141 CHIN Matthew W. - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
141 ALTIRS Alexander 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
143 GORTON George F. 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
144 KEEFE Duncan 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
145 TONG ZACHARY 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
146 ASHBY Ethan J. 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
147 GHOSH Tuhin 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
147 ZHOU Brian 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
149 GINIS Nathan - 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
150 GREENBAUM Ian L. 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
151 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
152 DELARUE NELSON Y. 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
153 ALKEMPER Tristan H. 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% -
154 PAN Jerry 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
155 GRASS James D. 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
156 CHENG Kyle 42% 41% 14% 2% - -
157 GREENE Alexander J. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
158 REYES Xavier M. 5% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
159 SMITLEY Tyler J. 4% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
160 HO Kaden M. 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
161 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. - - 5% 19% 36% 31% 10%
162 XU Andrew 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
163 BOURGHOL Matthew 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
164 YUAN Kevin 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
165 JINICH Ilan R. 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
166 KAKEHI Nicholas B. 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
167 YUN Jake - 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 4%
168 LEUNG Nathan 40% 40% 16% 3% - - -
168 NEUHEARDT Peter 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
170 DEWEY Charles J. 32% 45% 19% 4% - - -
171 HUANG Eric - 6% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
172 BULL Anderson 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
173 MAKLIN Edward P. 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
173 CHUPKIN Nikolas 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
175 LU Caleb Q. 16% 44% 31% 8% 1% - -
175 ZHANG Jeffrey 5% 31% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
177 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
177 ZHOU Aeres Z. 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
179 MENTA Varun 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
180 DOUCET Justin P. 35% 43% 18% 3% - -
181 PETRAMALE Samuel J. 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2%
182 CALKINS William H. 14% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
183 MAGUIRE Matthew V. 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
184 XU William 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
185 MESHKOV Peter A. 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
186 WU Wilmund 18% 37% 30% 13% 3% - -
186 MORRILL William - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 5%
188 PROCHAZKA Archer R. 60% 32% 7% 1% - - -
189 LEITH Jack 28% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
190 HUANG Ethan F. 1% 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
191 NUMAN Yazan M. 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
192 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 5% 26% 42% 22% 5% - -
192 CHEN Lucas B. 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 6% 1%
194 KAYDALIN Artyom 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
195 FISK Ethan 35% 41% 19% 4% - - -
196 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
197 NARANJO David E. 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
198 BAUER Hank E. 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
198 HUANG Tyler T. 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
200 CHAVES Matthew J. 25% 41% 25% 8% 1% - -
201 REED Samuel J. 19% 56% 21% 3% - - -
202 YOU Jaden 35% 43% 19% 4% - - -
203 KOSURI Harsha 36% 47% 15% 2% - - -
204 REINSCH-GOLDSTEIN Alexander N. 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
205 ZHANG Michael (Jiayuan) 11% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
206 SANFILIPPO-SCHERER Alexander G. 20% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
207 BANNERMAN Andrew J. 5% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
208 CHAN Alexander S. 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% -
209 COX Luis E. 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
210 TANN Justin 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
211 JOHNSON Langston C. 1% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4%
212 JARAMILLO Tobias L. < 1% 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
212 GHENEA George Philipe 23% 40% 26% 9% 1% - -
214 EDELMAN Seth A. 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
215 VO Minh Q. 41% 43% 14% 2% - - -
215 WANG Jonathan 62% 32% 6% 1% - - -
215 NOBLE Colin 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
218 KIBBAR Tomer L. 16% 42% 31% 10% 1% -
219 SHI Kyle 52% 38% 9% 1% - - -
219 KORINTH Alexander J. 33% 49% 16% 2% - - -
219 HOUTZ Jackson 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
219 WANG CIHANG 58% 35% 6% - - - -
223 SAMMI Mukund 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
224 LEE Justin 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
225 BONSELL Vance 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
225 SIERRA Brennan R. 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
227 HUANG Ian 22% 44% 26% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.