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USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-14 Men's Saber

Tuesday, July 2, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SOHN Kevin J. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
2 LIMB Matthew G. - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
3 YOUNG Nash - - 1% 10% 35% 43% 11%
3 YANG Ziyi - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
5 DENNER Lysander H. - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
6 CHANG Brandon - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
7 KIM Andrew H. - 1% 7% 27% 44% 21%
8 DHINGRA Gian K. - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
9 LIN John A. - - - - 5% 29% 66%
10 WOOD Elden S. - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 35%
10 SAKHAMURI Surya - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
12 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
13 SO Hananiah - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
14 WANG Eric Y. - 1% 6% 25% 38% 25% 6%
15 NG Jonathan H. - 2% 11% 32% 39% 17%
16 SIMAK Joseph P. 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
17 LINSKY Matthew - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
18 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
19 FRISHMAN Ethan J. - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
20 ZHOU Justin - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
21 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 1% 7% 29% 42% 21%
22 CHEN Oscar - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
23 MORRILL Justin - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
24 WIND Nicky E. - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
25 COLE Alexander 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
26 LIN Nick - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
27 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. - - 1% 10% 29% 40% 19%
28 HJERPE Wade H. 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
29 LAI Adam J. - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
30 EDELMAN Seth A. 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
31 ZHOU Brian - 4% 17% 32% 31% 13% 2%
32 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
33 LILOV Neil - - - 1% 6% 31% 62%
34 JEAN Noe T. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
35 JEFFORDS Alexander - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
36 CHEN Lucas B. - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
37 LUKASHENKO Darii - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
38 JINICH Ilan R. - 1% 14% 36% 34% 13% 2%
39 CHAN Matthew - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 17%
40 PORTMANN Stein J. - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
41 KIM Avery J. - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
42 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 3%
43 TRAVERS Samir T. - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
44 XUE ALEXANDER 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
45 UEYAMA Ietetsu A. 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
46 FORMAN Logan 1% 13% 36% 37% 13%
47 JOHNSON Langston C. - 1% 6% 22% 39% 28% 5%
48 LIU David J. - - 2% 11% 33% 40% 15%
49 ASHBY Ethan J. 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
50 CHIN Matthew W. - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 5%
51 SHASHA zane - 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 4%
52 CONINE Tanner C. 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
53 LUTHRA Arjun - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
54 WILSON Jude - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
55 BERRIO Carter E. - 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
56 JI Cody Walter - - 1% 9% 27% 41% 22%
57 BAILEY Asher - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
58 BRUSIE Christopher R. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
59 HAMMERSTROM Jared - 6% 23% 38% 26% 7%
60 ALTIRS Alexander 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
61 CHAN Alexander S. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 1%
62 ZHENG Edward L. - 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
63 CHON Taylor A. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
64 LICHT Aaron H. - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
65 POPE Nico - 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
66 ZHOU Kevin - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
67 JARAMILLO Tobias L. - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
68 TANG Alex Y. - 3% 16% 36% 34% 12%
69 KIM Alexander M. - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
70 REYES Xavier M. - 3% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
71 CHANG Colin S. - 1% 9% 32% 39% 18% 2%
72 KEEFE Duncan - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 5%
73 NOBLE Daniel - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
73 MAKLIN Edward P. - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 3%
75 SKINNER Graham B. - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
76 YUN Jaesun - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
76 PAN Andrew W. - - 5% 19% 37% 30% 9%
78 GREENE Alexander J. - - 5% 23% 44% 27%
79 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. - - 1% 9% 26% 40% 24%
79 THORNHILL Kwasi 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
81 WU Wilmund 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
81 BLECKNER Noah 7% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
83 JAWOROWSKI Matthew - 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 3%
84 BECKER Dylan J. - 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
85 MYLEK Peter - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
86 GINIS Nathan - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 31%
86 DU Gavin J. - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
88 XU Andrew - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
89 KOGAN Benjamin - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 7%
90 HONG Vincent Q. - 4% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
90 YOUNG Brendon - 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
92 HUANG Ethan F. - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 4%
93 JOHNSTON Bennett S. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
94 KIM Matthew 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
95 BARBER William S. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
96 BERGER Oliver - 4% 17% 37% 33% 9%
97 TANN Justin 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
98 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
99 AVAKIAN Alec 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
100 KIM Shaun M. 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
101 RAJA Arnav - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
102 LE Hayden - 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7%
103 LUO George F. - 2% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
104 MICHNA Colin P. 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
105 GHAYALOD ansh 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 9% 1%
106 GRASS James D. - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 3%
107 XU William 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
108 SHOMAN Zachary - - 5% 22% 38% 28% 6%
109 KOTOV Leonid - 6% 30% 39% 20% 4% -
110 PUCKETT Carter - 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
111 MENTA Varun 1% 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
112 TONG ZACHARY - 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
113 WOODWARD Connor - 2% 11% 33% 38% 15% 2%
114 YUAN Kevin - 2% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
115 ROSBERG Dashiell W. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
116 GOLD Jackson 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
117 GOERING Ashton H. 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% - -
118 KAKEHI Nicholas B. - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
119 SHERWOOD Hayden F. 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
119 CHENG Kyle 3% 21% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
121 GEORGE Daniel 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
122 BULL Anderson 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
122 LEE Aydan J. 1% 7% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
124 SHIRPAL Oleksandr - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 8%
125 FENG Leo 1% 14% 37% 36% 11%
126 REED Samuel J. 45% 41% 12% 2% - -
127 OWENS Harrison J. 1% 13% 35% 34% 14% 3% -
128 SHTEYN Mark 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 4% -
129 KAYDALIN Artyom 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
130 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
131 BUCHMANN Finn D. - 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
132 LLAMAS Diego F. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
133 ZHOU Miles 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
134 HARGENRADER Kailen A. - - 5% 20% 37% 30% 9%
135 CHEN Brian - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 25%
136 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 1% 9% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
137 YOO Joshua H. 17% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
138 PETRAMALE Samuel J. - 1% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
139 GREENBAUM Ian L. 1% 13% 33% 33% 16% 3% -
139 GORTON George F. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
141 HOUTZ Jackson - 5% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
142 COLLINS Andrew M. 2% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
143 GHENEA George Philipe 14% 38% 33% 13% 3% - -
144 LIU kelly 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
145 NUMAN Yazan M. 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11%
146 HO Kaden M. 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 5%
147 SPOSATO Andrew P. 4% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
148 YUN Jake - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
148 ZHOU Aeres Z. 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
150 RESHEIDAT Malik 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
151 MOOREHEAD Patrick 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
152 NOURELDIN Gabriel 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
153 CHAVES Matthew J. 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3% -
153 MALONE Gregory D. - 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2%
155 RIGHTLER Samuel 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
156 JEFFRY Nicholas B. - - 3% 17% 38% 33% 8%
156 VO Minh Q. 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
156 KIM Noah L. 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
159 ALKIN Isaac 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
160 LU Caleb Q. 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
161 KIBBAR Tomer L. 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
162 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. - 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
163 SCHERER Max 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% - -
164 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
165 BERMAN Luca - 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
166 ALKEMPER Tristan H. - 3% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2%
166 XU Luke 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
168 LEE Justin 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
169 POFF James 5% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
170 KLEIMAN Jakob - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
171 HOLZ William A. 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
172 NAZLYMOV Andrei - 4% 18% 38% 31% 9% 1%
172 BURNS Jackson P. 17% 39% 31% 10% 2% - -
174 ZHANG William 3% 31% 40% 20% 5% 1% -
175 GOCHMAN Max - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 7%
176 LOPEZ Lucas M. 24% 47% 23% 5% 1% - -
177 HUANG Maxwell H. 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
178 NARANJO David E. 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% 1%
179 LEUNG Nathan 9% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
180 RAUSCHER Ryan 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
181 LI Joshua L. 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
182 DELARUE NELSON Y. 11% 36% 37% 14% 2% - -
183 FOX Nicholas 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
184 LEMPERT Levy A. 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
185 GIANETTO Ethan K. 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 11% 2%
186 MOULTON Ian 66% 29% 5% - - - -
187 LEE Conner M. 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
188 HUANG Tyler T. 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
188 STONE Esmond A. 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% 1% -
190 MORRILL William 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
191 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
191 DILLE Jackson K. 14% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
193 BARDWELL Jr Douglas W. 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
194 COX Luis E. 6% 31% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
195 PENG Bryan 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
196 CLYMER Lucas Y. - 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
197 ROBERTS Justin C. - 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3%
198 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
199 ROBLEDO Everett M. 44% 45% 10% 1% - - -
200 WONG Ryan 9% 35% 37% 16% 2%
201 HAN Edward 46% 40% 12% 1% -
202 LEE Sean 17% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
203 HUANG Alexander C. 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 2%
204 ZHANG Ethan W. 5% 25% 40% 24% 6% -
205 NIELANDER Elliot S. 30% 43% 22% 5% - -
206 SCOVILL Tenzin S. 9% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
207 WANG Nicolas 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
208 NOBLE Colin 5% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
209 PANDEY Neil 11% 33% 36% 16% 4% - -
210 DENISON Joseph 11% 50% 31% 7% 1% - -
211 WANG Ziyao 26% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
212 YOU Jaden 16% 39% 33% 11% 2% - -
213 SAMMI Mukund 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
213 HU Andrew 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
215 LEE Christopher M. 1% 13% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
216 ZHANG Michael (Jiayuan) 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
217 CHEEMA Hyder 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
217 MCCARTHY Gabriel 4% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
217 ETIN Ari 2% 19% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
220 SHI Kyle 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
221 BONSELL Vance 17% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
221 LI Daniel 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
223 CHAN Aidan 13% 38% 36% 12% 2% - -
223 FIELDS Matthew S. - 3% 16% 34% 32% 12% 1%
225 WU Richard 11% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
226 BIRKS Evan D. 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
226 SMITH Vaughn 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
228 CANNON Logan T. 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
228 YU Thomas 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
230 LO Andrew T. 76% 22% 2% - - - -
230 LEWALLEN Reece 24% 49% 22% 4% - - -
232 BELLEMIN Thomas 13% 36% 35% 13% 2% - -
233 ZHOU James Y. 12% 36% 35% 14% 3% - -
233 MEHTA Krish 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
235 BOWMAN James 70% 28% 2% - - - -
236 CHIEN Winston L. 11% 37% 35% 14% 3% -
237 HONG Steven < 1% 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
238 FORT David 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
239 WELLS Griffin 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
240 LUHMAN Gabriel 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
241 HAN Daniel Y. 52% 36% 10% 1% - - -
242 RENNER Henry 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
243 KERZHNER Kevin 14% 39% 34% 12% 2% -
244 BULLARD Nicholas Y. 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
244 TONG Eric 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
244 SHEN Xuanlan 44% 44% 11% 1% - - -
244 NAZAROV Adilzhan 71% 26% 2% - - - -
244 PIWOWAR Alex 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
249 LEITH Jack 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
249 HUSTON Theodore 62% 31% 6% 1% - - -
251 LAGASSE Jack T. 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
252 DALAL Rohan 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
253 SEAL Maximus R. 56% 34% 8% 1% - - -
253 RASMUSSEN Oliver 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
255 LIKER Maxim J. 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
255 SCHARDINE James 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
257 GOUVEIA Conall 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
258 LAGROU Emerson R. 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
259 FERNANDEZ JONATHAN 16% 58% 23% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.