USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Cadet Men's Épée

Tuesday, July 2, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEISS Miles J. - - - 1% 6% 31% 62%
2 MOOSEKIAN Stafford - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
3 VERMEULE Spencer - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
3 MARAKOV Allen B. - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
5 MCGAW Julian E. - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
6 LIVERANT Skyler J. - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
7 KRAVIT Connor B. - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
8 JEON Alexander E. - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
9 JOVANOVIC Jovan - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
10 LAWSON Henry A. - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
11 IYOKI Kent - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
12 KEHOE James E. - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
13 GIBSON Nowell L. - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
14 ZHANG YuJian - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
15 RA Jr. Daniel M. - 1% 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
16 CANDELA Nicholas - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
17 GORNOVSKY David J. - - - - 6% 35% 59%
18 MUN Michael K. - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
19 TOWNSEND Avery S. - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
20 HUGHES Levi H. - - 2% 8% 26% 40% 25%
21 FEINBERG Gabriel M. - - - 5% 20% 42% 32%
22 NORBUTAS Jackson S. - - 2% 10% 28% 38% 21%
23 ZHU Wilson - - 2% 11% 28% 38% 21%
23 LIANG Aaron 1% 6% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
25 MIELE Benjamin - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 10%
26 SHIN Joshua - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
27 MA Ark - - - 2% 12% 40% 47%
28 LIPPMAN Eli - - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
29 RINEHART Conner M. - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
30 SHENG Patrick Y. - 1% 7% 27% 42% 20% 2%
31 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
31 GREEN Ummi - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
33 MALYSZ Anthony J. - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
34 LEI Jacob - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 8%
35 WEI Zikun - - - 5% 26% 48% 21%
36 KIM Ethan J. - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
37 SHARMA Sanil 1% 6% 21% 33% 26% 10% 1%
38 LIU John 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
39 DOLGONOS Mark - - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13%
40 MCDERMOTT Brian - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
41 BLISS Atticus H. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
42 KUSHNERIK Ethan - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
43 JEONG Connor - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 8%
44 NIEBERGALL Colin G. - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
45 UKOLOV Dimitri 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
46 GRABER Andrew J. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
47 FELDMAN Jaemin - 5% 27% 43% 22% 4%
48 SILVERS Noah E. - 2% 12% 31% 37% 18%
49 MORSE Tyler 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
50 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. - - 3% 20% 44% 32%
51 IVE Isaac L. - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
52 O'HARA Keegan J. - 4% 18% 35% 30% 10% 1%
53 KIM Juni C. - - - 2% 15% 43% 39%
54 KIM PAUL 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
55 FU Bohan 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
56 SHUR Yakov C. - 4% 19% 36% 30% 9% 1%
57 GARCIA-ROGERS Lucas H. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
58 PARKER Riley D. 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
59 ATANAS Matthew M. - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2%
60 LAWLER Aidan 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
61 SMITH Jackson - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
62 XIAN Riley 2% 15% 34% 34% 14% 2%
63 YUROVCHAK Andrew T. - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
64 TANG William 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -
65 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) - - 1% 10% 33% 41% 14%
66 LEE Daniel Y. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
67 PAVLENISHVILI David G. - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 11%
68 DAO Matthew M. - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 27%
69 DEGUCHI Nicolas - - - 3% 14% 39% 43%
70 CHO Tyler H. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
71 DISIMONE David Z. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
72 SOOMRO Adam A. 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
72 LEE Timothy S. - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
74 ROBINSON Riley - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 22%
75 COMBS Colson - 2% 10% 25% 35% 23% 5%
76 ZHENG Hagen - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
77 SIDDIQUI HUMZA K. 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
78 LIN Ryan - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
79 PADHYE Siddhant 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
80 ZHU Max 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
81 JAMES Samuel - 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
82 TIAN Kevin 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
83 GYURE Brayden H. - 3% 16% 38% 33% 10% 1%
84 GRAY Sterling B. - - 2% 11% 35% 42% 10%
85 BEKKER Mitchel - - 2% 12% 29% 37% 19%
86 VISURAKAPALLI Sathvik - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
87 INSLER Ethan C. - 4% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
87 XIAN Ryan 1% 7% 22% 32% 26% 10% 1%
89 IVAKIMOV Vasil 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
90 KIM Edward J. - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
91 SHOURIE Jai 3% 22% 40% 27% 7% 1% -
92 IMREK Samuel A. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 5%
93 VAN EIKEMA HOMMES Neil B. - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 7%
94 DIXON Samuel - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
94 WEISE Eli S. - 4% 20% 38% 28% 8% 1%
94 LEE Alexander G. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
97 PARK Ian C. - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 11%
98 THAYER Bryce - - 2% 12% 34% 40% 12%
99 LI Brian X - 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
100 RHYU Kozmo - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
100 KIM Donghyeok 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
102 WANG William M. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
103 DIAS-LALCACA Kieran P. 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
104 LEE Ryan - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
105 ADLER Ethan M. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
106 YAN yuheng 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
107 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - 2% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
108 GOLDFINE Ian J. - - 1% 9% 28% 42% 20%
108 SHERWOOD Dominic 8% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
110 MAENG Jake W. 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
111 KELSEY Ryan 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
112 YUMIACO Nolan C. 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
113 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
114 SMITH Nicholas S. 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
115 BORATIN Daniel I. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
115 BENDER Rhys T. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
117 LIU Alexander - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
118 STONE Henry J. - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
119 PRASAD Ankith - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
120 LI Zhiheng 2% 14% 30% 31% 18% 5% 1%
121 GUO Oliver 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 3% -
122 KIM Benjamin I. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2% -
123 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
124 NESTEROV Andrew E. 6% 23% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
125 GORIUNOV IVAN A. - 1% 5% 22% 41% 26% 5%
126 HANXU Richard A. - 4% 16% 31% 30% 15% 3%
127 LEE Shwan 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
128 KENT Matthew 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
129 GARRETT Samuel 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% < 1% -
130 ZAFFT Maximo S. - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
131 SHAMIS Mark - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
132 CAI Kevin P. - - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
133 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 2% 16% 39% 33% 10% 1% -
134 RUSSANOV Dennis - - 5% 20% 37% 30% 9%
135 ARANA Abraham 5% 23% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
136 HUANG JINTONG 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
137 STEVENS Daniel 6% 27% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
138 CHAWLA Armaan 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2% -
139 FRAY Alexander 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
140 MOSES Alexander 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
141 LEE Matthew C. 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
142 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
143 BUHEIS Alexander I. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
144 MOON Ryan Y. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
145 PARAMESH Dhilan R. 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
145 DE JONG Thijmen J. 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
147 MACARTY Jordan T. 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
148 LEHR William D. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
149 SHAH S Ayush 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
150 KAUFMANN Connor G. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 3% -
151 KOFROTH Zachary R. - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
151 KIM William M. 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
151 MATTIS George 9% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
154 GREGORY Nicholas 29% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
155 ALVAREZ Ian T. 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
156 MCKEEVER Luca 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
157 KROPP Jack 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
158 SINGHA Orion - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
159 PAK Charles - 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
160 PARNAS Ely 3% 23% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
161 LI Brian 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
162 KOPPE Benjamin 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
163 FRANCO-TENTIOUK Christopher J. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
164 THOMPSON Chester 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
165 GOHEL Dayus T. 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
166 WU Byron 9% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
167 ALIYEV Telman 2% 14% 36% 34% 13% 2%
168 CHUNG Thomas 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
169 ODEN Isaac M. 5% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
170 LEVY Jeffrey M. 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 3%
171 MIEZIANKO Sebastian A. 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
172 SCHLEUDER Aidan 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 3% -
173 JACKSON James 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% - -
174 LONCAR Luka E. 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4% -
175 TUCKER Owen J. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
175 PARNAS Apollo - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
177 VENKAT Rakesh 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
177 AU Marcus J. 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
179 MCLOUDREY Callan E. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
180 LI Jeffrey 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
181 COLLYMORE Spencer T. - 2% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
182 WANG Kevin de-tai - - 5% 23% 40% 26% 5%
183 DESOUZA Hansel S. - 2% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
184 MISHIMA Torata 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
185 PIEKARSKI John P. 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
185 KOH Tommy 16% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
185 LI Benjamin 7% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
188 KANG Philip F. 4% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
189 HOLDERNESS Landon 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
190 LIN Kyran - 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1%
191 BANKULLA Nihal R. 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
192 MAAS Sean H. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
192 HONGYI WANG 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
194 KWON Ryan S. 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
194 WANG Eric S 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
194 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
197 POZOVSKIY Mitchell R. 6% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
198 BUYANOV Nikita V. 1% 16% 38% 33% 11% 1% -
199 CRANE Matthew T. 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
200 GATZA Logan - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
201 LIOZNYANSKY Simon - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
202 GOLCZEWSKI Benjamin 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
203 GULLO Kenji Y. 17% 45% 30% 8% 1% - -
204 LANGTON Sawyer 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
205 WU Jason 3% 21% 40% 28% 8% 1% -
205 HESSE Frederick Q. 45% 42% 12% 1% - - -
207 HE Lawrence 40% 41% 16% 3% - -
208 LU Sebastian X. 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
209 GOLDMAN Rami 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
210 LIEF Isaac R. 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
211 FERREIRA Noah J. 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
212 JAAFAR Omar 29% 49% 19% 3% - -
213 SMITH Zane A. 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
214 KOTCHEN Peter Trammell 13% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -
215 KRISTIANSEN Phillip 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
216 VAYSBUKH Konstantin - 3% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
217 ZHANG Andrew 2% 15% 38% 32% 11% 2% -
217 TROAKE Henry R. 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
219 ANDERSON Elias W. 8% 30% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
219 MUGA Boris 3% 17% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
221 BRENNAN Charles F. 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
222 MOHEBI Saam 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
223 COX Gavin V. 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
224 OH Matthew M. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
224 HENSAL Nicolas A. 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
226 CHITU Andreas C. 5% 28% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
226 ZIEBART Jeremy J. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
226 AHN Gus 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
229 USHER Alexander - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
230 LI Ruoyu 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
231 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
231 KOBI Samuel 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
233 BYNAGARI Niketh 11% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
234 GANA Jr Jorge M. - 3% 12% 29% 35% 18% 2%
235 HU Matthew 23% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
236 BARGE Jackson 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
236 KERN Joseph 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
238 DYER Ian E. 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
238 BARTCH Ethan L. 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
240 ZHAO Luhan 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
241 GROSSMAN August 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
242 MUFIC Oliver 31% 50% 17% 2% - - -
242 JOSEPH William 32% 41% 21% 6% 1% - -
244 KIM Darius H. 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
245 LOUIE Jason 14% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
246 DIXON Thomas 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
247 SHIV Rishi 7% 34% 40% 16% 3% - -
248 WIEDEBURG Jonathan 23% 43% 27% 7% - -
249 SOLTER Kai 8% 33% 38% 18% 4% - -
250 YU Jonathan J. 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
250 LI Yuchong 59% 34% 6% - - - -
252 SHAH Maximilian A. 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
253 NICHOLS JR Cortez 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
254 CUMMING Thomas 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
254 CHATZIKALFAS Dimitris E. 17% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
256 PANAYOTOV Alexander 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
257 LEONE Charles D. 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 11% 2%
257 PHAM Ian Q. 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
259 KIM Sterling S. 31% 41% 21% 6% 1% - -
259 TRUJILLO Andres 62% 31% 6% - - - -
259 CHEN Austin 23% 40% 27% 8% 1% - -
259 CABRERA Jose Faber 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
263 LEE Kennith 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
264 LIU Jack 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
265 JEYOON Ryan S. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
265 YEH ZONGSIN 39% 43% 16% 2% - - -
267 MURPHY Thomas P. 21% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
268 JOO Benjamin 39% 46% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.