The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div II Men's Épée

Wednesday, July 3, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ALLEN Graham 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
2 MORSE Tyler 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
3 MUNROE Shane 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 8% 1%
3 BRANDRETH Garret 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
5 SHINE Peter C. 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
6 ALAIMO Charles 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
7 LEI Jacob 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
8 SCHULTZ Alex 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 14%
9 DE JONG Thijmen J. 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
10 SHUR Yakov C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 19%
11 GOLOBISH Kyle 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
12 CRASWELL Andrew J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 9%
13 STONE Gregory R. 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 2%
14 TEITENBERG John F. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
15 MOYSE Alexander S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
16 ZUBECK Dominic 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 4%
17 YUROVCHAK Andrew T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
18 HU Andre B. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
19 JOHNSON Ben 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
20 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
21 GORDON-SAND Spencer 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18%
22 BLISS Atticus H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 8%
23 DISIMONE David Z. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
24 NIXON Christian A. 100% 94% 69% 31% 6% -
25 SIDDIQUI HUMZA K. 100% 99% 90% 67% 36% 11% 2%
26 LOUIE Jason 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
27 JUSCINSKI Michal 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
28 MOON Ryan Y. 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
29 KAUFMAN Joel H. 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
30 TORDO Garrett 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
31 DORRELL Connor I. 100% 99% 93% 75% 45% 17% 3%
32 VENKAT Rakesh 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
33 MIELE Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
34 SHACKLEFORD Aidan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
35 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
36 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
37 VANDERLINDEN Brian 100% 91% 62% 28% 8% 1% < 1%
37 WISOFF Jeffrey 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 2%
39 ADLER Ethan M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 14%
39 SMITH Jackson 100% 100% 97% 87% 61% 28% 6%
41 KRONROD Tal 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
42 MOTIR Lucas D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
42 SHAH S Ayush 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 1%
44 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 12%
45 VERGARA Nicolas M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
46 CHO Tyler H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
47 SPANO Gideon S. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 3%
48 MAENG Jake W. 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
49 BOCEK Brodee M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 13%
50 DOUGLAS Colin F. 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
50 PARK Jong-Eun 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
52 LI Brian X 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
53 VAN EIKEMA HOMMES Neil B. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
54 PAINE Jared A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 37%
55 CHITU Julian S. 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
56 PICCUS Isaac S. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 5%
57 WIEDEBURG Jonathan 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
58 BOGUSLAVSKY Daniel 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2%
59 DILLE Brice 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 6%
60 HODGE Jaydon L. 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
61 HOWELL Thomas A. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
62 EASTMAN Blake C. 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
63 TEVEBAUGH Mason C. 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
64 AU Marcus J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4%
65 MACKIN Samuel 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 13%
66 TARBUSKOVICH III John 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
67 SALAMATIAN Alexander D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 25%
68 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
69 KELSEY Ryan 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
70 ATANAS Matthew M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 29% 6%
71 SHERWOOD Dominic 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 22% 3%
72 MASE Cyrus J. 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 15% 2%
73 CHIZ Max H. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
74 WEAVER Neil 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
75 DESOUZA Hansel S. 100% 100% 96% 83% 53% 21% 3%
76 PEARSALL Riley C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
77 LOCASALE Nicholas A. 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
79 MARRAN Erik R. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
80 JORDAN Jonathan ". 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
80 RODNEY Maxwell 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
82 LI Jeffrey 100% 97% 84% 56% 25% 6% 1%
83 DALY Conor 100% 99% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
84 HARRIS Samuel (Sam) 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
85 LE BIHAN Henri 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
86 ANDERSON Elias W. 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
87 TODREAS Simon 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
87 MOYA Mason 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
89 THORDARSON Paul (Thor) J. 100% 99% 91% 70% 38% 13% 2%
90 CHEUNG Liyan 100% 97% 82% 54% 23% 6% 1%
91 PHILLIPS Wesley Y. 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 23% 4%
92 TUCKER Owen J. 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
93 GODDARD Hal D. 100% 95% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
93 VANDERVELDE Pierce F. 100% 94% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
95 WANG Eric S 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
96 DOLMETSCH Max 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
97 MONTGOMERY Tyler 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
98 PADHYE Siddhant 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 4%
99 RYAN Joshua P. 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 4%
100 GRIMSLEY Devin M. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
101 KIM PAUL 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
102 KAUFMANN Connor G. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
103 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 100% 100% 97% 87% 59% 21%
104 VELO Juan Manuel H. 100% 98% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
105 KENYON Jacob 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
106 MIRANDA Matteo 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 10% 1%
107 BOWERMAN Lucas A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12%
108 WEISE Eli S. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 2%
109 LI Brian 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% 1%
110 MCLOUDREY Callan E. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
110 WU Jason 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% 1%
110 LEVY Jeffrey M. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
113 CHITU Andreas C. 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
114 NG Joshua Z. 100% 94% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
115 LU Sebastian X. 100% 98% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
116 ZONE Liam 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
117 GASIOROWSKI Devin G. 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
118 CONKLIN Jim 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4%
119 GOLDMAN Rami 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
120 CONVERSE Warren D. 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
121 SCHENCK Theo 100% 92% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
122 WYATT Seth 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
123 LAWLER Aidan 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 3%
124 HUDSON Greg 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
125 KIM Dohyun D. 100% 97% 84% 56% 25% 7% 1%
126 DIDYCZ Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
126 ZELIN Sam J. 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
128 HU Alexander W. 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
129 HAN David 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
130 MUGA Boris 100% 99% 95% 79% 49% 20% 4%
131 CASTLE Aaron 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 10%
132 HE Jason 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 6% 1%
133 ZHOU Jiasheng 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 6% 1%
134 WU Byron 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
135 BENYOVSZKY Barnabas 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 6%
136 KING Cameron 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
137 GUI Runlin 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
138 BRANDYBERRY Joseph M. 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
139 FENWICK Luke A. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
140 MCBRIDE Steve 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
141 LEHR William D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 71% 37% 9%
142 CHEN Eric 100% 90% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
143 YUMIACO Nolan C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 14%
144 WEBB Jacob T. 100% 97% 84% 56% 25% 7% 1%
145 KENYON Benjamin 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
146 WERCHAN Andrew R. 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
146 CRANE Matthew T. 100% 98% 85% 58% 27% 7% 1%
148 FINFROCK Cameron J. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
149 GARRISON Andrew T. 100% 98% 86% 59% 28% 8% 1%
150 BYNAGARI Niketh 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
151 ROMERO Caleb E. 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
151 SAN JUAN Carlos 100% 97% 84% 56% 25% 7% 1%
153 PARNAS Apollo 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
154 PAINE Evan J. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
154 ZIEBART Jeremy J. 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
156 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
157 TROAKE Henry R. 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
157 HART Jackson 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
159 PIEKARSKI John P. 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
160 HOSELTON Spencer 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
161 HARBER Mike 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
162 KING Charles M. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 5%
163 TRIFILETTI Lawrence T. 100% 95% 73% 38% 10% 1%
164 JOSEPH Abey 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
165 WORLEY Aren R. 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
166 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
167 SVIBEN Cameron 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
168 LI Jeffrey 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
169 THOMAS Jr. Robert D. 100% 99% 94% 73% 41% 13% 2%
170 KOKENGE Chad 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
171 WINTERSHEIMER Adam 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
172 MAGDA Daniel 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
173 HOLDERNESS Landon 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
173 CHOI Isaac 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
175 ALFAIATE Lucas 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 2%
176 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
177 CHREKY Jacob D. 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
178 REED Dusty (Allen) 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
179 LABROZZI Aidan 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 32% 7%
179 BOWDEN JR. William 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
181 GARCIA Christopher W. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
182 SINGH Laekhram 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
183 MIEZIANKO Sebastian A. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
183 CHEN Austin 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
185 TRUJILLO Andres 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
186 WADE Grayson 100% 89% 59% 26% 7% 1% -
187 ARANA Abraham 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
189 PATEL Neal 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
190 NASH Keegan F. 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
191 DOUGLAS Benjamin 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
192 ZHAO Luhan 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
193 WHITEHURST JJ 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
194 WILSON Victor T. 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 2%
195 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3%
196 BADIOLI Carlo 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
197 ODEN Isaac M. 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 1%
198 DANNER Robert P. 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
198 DICKSON Tim 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
200 BAKER Julian L. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
201 TUMIBAY Noah C. 100% 99% 91% 68% 37% 12% 2%
202 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
202 COMPTON Michael 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
202 CLARK Carson 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 2%
205 COLLINS Damase 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
206 JOHNSON Daniel P 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
207 VON KLAR Ryker 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
208 JONES Dominic R. 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
208 SOLTER Kai 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
210 GUMAGAY Paul 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
211 AUGER Nolan 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
212 BROWN Nathan P. 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
213 KENNEDY Kyle J. 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
214 PEDERSEN Christopher C. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
214 HOLCOMB Wesley 100% 74% 33% 9% 1% - -
216 AWAN Saqlain A. 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
217 CHOUDHRY Hassan S. 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
218 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 13% 2%
219 GLECKNER Aidan 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
220 RHEA Eric L. 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
221 COX Gavin V. 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
222 POWERS Bill 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% 1% -
223 HERBENER Andrew 100% 80% 36% 7% 1% - -
224 JOHNSON Evan 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
225 MUNOZ Charles O. 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
226 SOOMRO Adam A. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
227 CHEN Eric Y. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 13%
228 PICK Ian 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
229 SMITH Brandon J. 100% 71% 29% 6% - -
229 DYER Ian E. 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% -
231 LAING Christopher 100% 70% 24% 3% - - -
232 REDHEAD Nolan P. 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
232 DYER Carson C. 100% 94% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
232 RASMUSSEN Jack 100% 95% 76% 44% 17% 4% -
232 YIM Alex 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
236 PENG Gregory 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
236 BAIRD Matthew 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
238 STEPHEN Dennis L. 100% 31% 4% - - - -
239 LEVCHOOK Thomas 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.