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USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-14 Men's Foil

Friday, July 5, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
2 XIAO Ethan J. - - - - 4% 28% 68%
3 PARK Luke J. - - - - 6% 32% 62%
3 GIRALDO Pablo E. - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
5 CHEN Andrew - - 1% 10% 31% 40% 17%
6 STANLEY Mason B. - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
7 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - - 4% 31% 66%
8 LEVY Jacob M. - - - 3% 20% 49% 27%
9 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
10 XIAO Enoch A. - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
11 YU Vinni - - - 1% 12% 43% 44%
12 FU Samuel Y. - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
13 LAURICELLA Douglas - - 1% 7% 26% 44% 22%
14 CHENG Jonathan - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
15 TSANG Matthew K. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
16 BAS Liam - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5%
17 HONDA Kazu Z. - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
18 BESSIRE Nolan S. - - - - 2% 21% 77%
19 ZENG Lucas H. - - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
19 CHIN Julian S. - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
21 ZHANG Andy W. - - 3% 15% 37% 34% 11%
22 JEON Caleb A. - - 4% 22% 45% 29%
23 NGUYEN Nish - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
24 KASI Sanjay - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
25 LA ROSA Federico - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
26 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 22%
27 CHEN Allen - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
28 BAE Kevin - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
29 KIM Brandon J. - - 1% 8% 27% 43% 22%
30 SONG Aiden S. - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
31 WU Conrad J. 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
32 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 12%
33 HOOSHI Dylan M. - - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
34 KUMBLA Samarth - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
35 LEE Chris - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
36 MITCHELL Philip D. - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
37 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
37 DAI Jonathan T. - - 2% 13% 36% 40% 7%
39 PROUTY Nicholas C. - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
40 YU Anders - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
41 LIN Dashiell - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
42 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
43 BREIER Matthew F. - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 13%
44 KIM Nicholas W. - - - 2% 13% 44% 41%
45 JANG Jaewon - - 1% 8% 30% 42% 19%
46 LO Conrad - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
47 ZHANG Luke T. - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4%
47 OH Jonathan - - 4% 17% 39% 32% 8%
49 YEROKHIN Michael N. - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
50 ZHANG Daniel D. - - - - 3% 25% 72%
50 GRANT Lachlan K. - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
50 PAE Jonathan L. - - 1% 15% 45% 33% 7%
53 REALS Alden D. - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
53 SINGH Dayaal - - 1% 6% 25% 46% 21%
55 MUSHA John M. - - 4% 21% 41% 30% 4%
55 WONG NICHOLAS A. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 10%
57 SOMERS Sean 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
58 KOFROTH Zachary R. 2% 16% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
59 BOBROW Logan - 1% 6% 20% 36% 30% 7%
60 LEE Joshua - - 1% 5% 22% 44% 28%
61 DARIANO Noah G. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
62 HOBSON Aaron K. 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 2% -
63 REZNICK Nicholas J. 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 4%
64 TSAY Jeremy M. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
65 SHIKHMAN Robert - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
66 WEN George C. - - 2% 13% 35% 39% 11%
67 NUNNINK Phillip W. - - 1% 9% 32% 42% 16%
67 MURRAY Maximo - 1% 5% 19% 36% 32% 8%
69 PYO Michael M. - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 3%
70 ONIK Elijah T. - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
71 GRIFFITH JACK - - - 5% 30% 52% 13%
72 GRAHAM Roy J. - - - 3% 20% 45% 31%
73 SONG Dylan S. - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5%
74 XU Max - - - 2% 16% 43% 38%
74 ZHAO Jason L. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
76 ROBINSON Keegan B. - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
77 ZHANG Henry C. - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 31%
77 SCHOENBERGER Xander S. - 3% 17% 37% 34% 9% -
79 DOCTOR Aidan L. - - 2% 11% 34% 40% 13%
80 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
81 LAO Scott E. - 1% 5% 22% 40% 26% 5%
82 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
83 NEWELL Ian A. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
84 KULKARNI Ansh A. - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
85 GOOR Julian - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 4%
86 SUNG Chang-Han S. 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
86 SHA Yi Peng - 4% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
88 HAN Lawrence 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
89 STRUGAR Marcus A. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
90 FREEDMAN Samuel E. - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
91 LEE David Y. 3% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
92 LI Richard - 1% 7% 28% 44% 21%
93 CHEN Bryce 1% 15% 39% 33% 11% 1%
94 DU Samuel R. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
95 CHENG Matthew S. 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% 1%
96 KITAGAWA Eric S. - 8% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
96 MCCORD Clark - 1% 8% 22% 34% 26% 8%
98 NAGER Noah - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
99 YANG Luao - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
100 LEE Aidan - - 2% 23% 50% 22% 2%
101 KAO Castor T. - - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
102 JAIN Aditya - - 1% 11% 36% 45% 7%
103 CHOI Samuel 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
104 SICHITIU Alexander 1% 12% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
105 JAYASEKARA Hiran H. - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
106 HUANG Kevin D. 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
106 HUTH Mitchell - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 13%
106 ALLAMPALLAM Maanav V. 3% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
110 KIM Tei D. - - 2% 15% 39% 35% 9%
111 ZELTSER Lawrence M. - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
112 LAI Christopher W. 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 2%
113 FUKUDA Alessio R. - 4% 18% 38% 32% 7%
114 MURUHIN Yaroslav 1% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2%
115 VERSTEELE Sander 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
116 CULLIVAN Justice 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
117 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 1% 9% 29% 37% 19% 4% -
118 CAI Jason Zhicheng - 2% 13% 32% 34% 15% 2%
119 PELOSKY Zack B. - - 1% 9% 33% 43% 14%
120 MAHRAN-GALINDO Alex - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
121 PIESNER Joshua C. 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
122 GOLDADE Luke A. 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
122 GALLUCCI Charles John - 5% 23% 40% 26% 6% -
124 BALL James T. - 1% 10% 30% 39% 18% 2%
125 OH SEAN - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
126 WANG JONATHAN - 1% 13% 50% 31% 5% -
127 BANERJEE ANUP - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
128 VALENTON Timothy 42% 41% 14% 2% - - -
129 YAKUSHKIN Ernest D. - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
130 BING Charles - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 18%
131 MARX Oscar L. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
132 LI Raphael C. - 2% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
133 LIU Eric Y. 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4% -
134 BRUK Peter J. 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
135 XIAO EDWARD 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
136 CANO Diego A. 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 4% -
137 BURKE Spencer W. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
138 DOUGLAS Oscar M. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 3%
139 LAKE Wyatt J. - 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
140 GODZHIK Zachary - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 12%
141 IYOKI Kent - - - 6% 31% 46% 17%
141 HOWARD Michael 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
143 SONG Leonardo T. 3% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2% -
144 FURST Matthew C. - 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
145 AHN Jun 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
146 LI Owen - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
147 CHIRASHNYA Adam - 2% 10% 28% 38% 20% 3%
148 GALBAN Matthias L. 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1% -
149 LUH Ethan K. 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
150 WHITE Austin M. 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
151 GATZA Logan 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
152 GEOGHEGAN Ronan - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 3%
153 FORTUNE Alexander J. 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% - -
154 HONG Issac 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
155 LI Eric - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
156 SCHENCK Koen M. - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
157 RUSADZE Nickolas - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
158 TIAN Aaron C. - 7% 27% 41% 21% 3%
159 KIM Yonjae - - 2% 11% 32% 41% 14%
160 TOLBA Abdelrahman - - 2% 11% 34% 39% 14%
161 TSAI Max W. - 3% 23% 47% 22% 4% -
162 BERK Theodore 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
163 NAM Michael 4% 30% 51% 14% 1% - -
164 BUERGIN Aidan 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
165 MASCARI DUMONT Alexandre 2% 30% 42% 21% 4% - -
166 DANKAR Neel - - 4% 19% 39% 32% 6%
167 WONG Garrick G. - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 4%
168 LI Ryan Z. 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
169 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
169 KIM BANSEOK 11% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
171 SURINGA William J. 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
172 WANG Andrew - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2%
172 PAE Brian L. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
174 MILLER Duncan R. 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
174 ORVANANOS Jorge 1% 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
176 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. - 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 3%
177 GREENBAUM Andrew 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
178 WEEKS Richard P. 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4% -
179 LE Vyn A. 1% 10% 31% 38% 17% 2% -
180 MO Jason 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
181 KUO Evan 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
181 JI Aidan Y. 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1% -
183 CHEN Wilson 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
184 KIM Jackson - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
185 KACZOR Gunnar 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
186 MUSHER Benjamin J. - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
187 KANG Anthony Jaegu 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
188 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
189 STEVENS Paul S. 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
190 WILKINS Mateo 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
191 O'CONNOR Kristian 32% 47% 18% 3% - - -
192 UZGIRIS Kovas 2% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
193 CHUANG Kian J. 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
194 BELLUOMO David C. 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
195 KEE Andrew L. - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
196 TAN Christien 13% 41% 34% 11% 1% -
197 ACHILOV Sayid 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
198 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
199 ANTON Nathaniel 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
200 FINLEY Dylan 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
201 ZHAI Jeffrey - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
201 QIU Daniel 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
203 KUO Oliver K. 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
204 LYUTIKOV Yegor 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
204 BAEK David 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
206 DIERKS Kian - 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 1%
207 COOPER Caidan D. 5% 30% 39% 20% 5% 1% -
208 SHEN Troy R. 15% 43% 33% 9% 1% - -
209 KLEIN Sebastian W. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
210 LE Jacob W. 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
211 LOVIN Vlad 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
212 DORAN Wesley C. - 1% 10% 29% 38% 19% 3%
212 ZAPPIA Paul 8% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
214 HOU Kenneth 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
215 MARSHALL Ian - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 5%
215 NG Eben S. - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
217 CHUNG Noah J. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
218 KIM Andrew J. 1% 11% 35% 40% 12% 1% -
219 BORGER Joseph C. - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
220 WANG Gerald Y. 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
221 GUO Sean 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
221 KHER Roan 1% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
223 ALIMI Yacine A. 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
224 GIBBS Grant N. 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
225 BAO Aaron 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
226 ELKOUSY Laith H. 6% 25% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
227 PO Oliver 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
228 DETERING Julian 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
229 KAZA Nitish - 5% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
230 GUERRA Gabriel H. - 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 2%
231 ANDERSON Christian 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
232 ZHOU Oscar J. - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
233 SAGE Michael J. 1% 16% 39% 32% 11% 1% -
234 DESHMUKH Arjun - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
235 GARR James D. 3% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
236 KIM Derek A. 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
237 EWALD Gustave 26% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
238 WALSH Keenan 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
239 MORALES Ian N. 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
240 ZHANG Evan 3% 19% 40% 29% 8% 1%
241 SEAL Maximus R. 29% 42% 23% 5% 1% -
242 MASCARI DUMONT Louis 12% 37% 34% 14% 2% -
243 GISLER Benjamin B. 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
244 HUANG Bernard 1% 8% 29% 39% 19% 4% -
245 GATRELL Mitchell E. 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
246 GORDON Alexander (Sasha) 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
247 YU Jonathan J. 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
248 LOVE Aaron - 6% 24% 38% 24% 7% 1%
249 WANG Ethan 8% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
250 FU Yifan 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 4% -
251 MILLER Aidan A. 6% 29% 39% 20% 5% - -
252 KLYCZEK Andrew 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
253 ZHAO Jesse 8% 33% 37% 18% 4% - -
254 REYES Omar - < 1% 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
255 LIN James G. 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
256 KNOEPFFLER Alex 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
257 JIANG Owen 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
258 YEE Johnathan 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
259 MIN Eric - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
260 PRASANNA Advaith 7% 45% 39% 9% 1% - -
261 VITKAUSKAS Justin G. 7% 36% 38% 16% 3% - -
262 CATINO Brennen 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 6% 1%
263 MONTGOMERY Trey A. 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
264 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2% -
265 FINNEY Lorenz 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
266 SMITH Cooper 35% 43% 18% 3% - - -
267 CHOPRA Rohan A. 24% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -
268 OUYANG Matt J. 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
269 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
270 PIESNER Zachary C. 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
271 PAMPENA Rocco S. 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
272 SHEN Luke R. 15% 43% 31% 9% 1% - -
273 SONG Bryan 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
274 LIM Charles Q. 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
275 ZHOU Leon 7% 35% 38% 16% 3% - -
276 TSIMMERMAN Michael 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
277 WU Alexander 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
278 ROSSMAN Brock 4% 35% 40% 18% 3% -
279 TSAO Lukas 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
280 WILLIAMS Connor J. 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
281 SPINA Joseph B. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
282 GILLIAM Jason E. - 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2%
283 REEVES Liam 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
284 SYLVESTER William Z. 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
285 LIU Jacob B. 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
286 HARRIS Rhonen 31% 48% 18% 3% - - -
287 WECHSLER Jacob 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
288 GONG Benjamin - 6% 27% 42% 21% 4% -
288 PALMA Matthew Dominic 20% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
290 ROSS III Paul D. 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
290 WANG Waley 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
292 XIANG Derrick 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
293 TAHOUN Mostafa 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
294 MADDUX Lance A. 5% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
294 MANASWI Atreya 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
296 BROWN Alexander R. 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
297 SELLERY Robert M. 19% 40% 29% 10% 1% - -
297 PAI Lakshan K. 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
299 ROEVER Sean M. 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% 1% -
300 FERBER Oliver E. 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -
300 JONES Nate 14% 40% 33% 11% 2% - -
300 TALLARICO Matthew 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
303 HEARN Christen J. 4% 25% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
304 CHEN Matthew 68% 28% 4% - - - -
305 RADTKE Jakob 29% 50% 20% 2% - - -
307 BEAVER Aaron 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
308 LANNAMAN Connor 3% 29% 47% 18% 2% - -
309 KLEPKO Gleb 12% 42% 34% 11% 1% - -
309 DE JAGER Robert 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -
309 TORRES Treston 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
312 LONG Connor M. 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
314 WEATHERINGTON Jude A. 16% 43% 31% 9% 1% - -
314 WOO Christian 31% 41% 21% 6% 1% - -
314 MU Jeffrey 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
317 SANTOS Carlos 46% 41% 12% 1% - -
318 CLARK Joseph 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
319 BURGOS patrick 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
319 ASHOK Joseph 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
321 CANO Marcos E. 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
321 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1% -
321 ZHENG Jadon 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
324 GNEUHS Sam 44% 43% 12% 2% - -
325 LI Jinghua E. 7% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
325 JIANG Raymond 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
325 PIERCE Cody 7% 34% 38% 18% 4% - -
325 WANG Brayden 70% 27% 3% - - - -
325 TAPUS Alexandru 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
330 OH Joshua 25% 41% 26% 7% 1% - -
330 KIM Ryan Y. 28% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
330 JOSEPH Paul 14% 42% 34% 10% 1% - -
333 WOHLERS Trevor 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
333 LUAN Tian 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
333 BURGOS Jacob R. 85% 14% 1% - - - -
336 MARTIN Dexter 42% 47% 11% - - - -
336 DE COQUET Maximilian 36% 43% 18% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.