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USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, July 7, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BAS Liam - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
2 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
3 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - - - 3% 27% 69%
3 YAKUSHKIN Ernest D. - - - 1% 8% 33% 58%
5 CHENG Jonathan - - - 1% 10% 42% 47%
6 BANERJEE ANUP - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
7 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - - 1% 11% 89%
8 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
9 GODZHIK Zachary - - 1% 6% 24% 41% 27%
10 PAE Jonathan L. - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
11 BRUK Peter J. - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
12 SONG Aiden S. - - - 5% 30% 65%
13 JAIN Aditya - - - 4% 20% 42% 34%
13 LEE Joshua - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
15 DORAN Wesley C. - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
16 MAHRAN-GALINDO Alex - 4% 20% 40% 31% 5%
17 LO Conrad - - - 1% 7% 36% 57%
18 KIM Tei D. - - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
19 LI Richard - - - - 5% 30% 65%
20 RUSADZE Nickolas - - 1% 7% 30% 44% 19%
21 DOCTOR Aidan L. - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
21 LI Owen - - - 2% 15% 44% 40%
23 CHIN Julian S. - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
24 AHN Jun - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 5%
25 YANG Luao - - 4% 24% 47% 24%
26 DAI Jonathan T. - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
27 FUKUDA Renzo K. - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
28 MARX Oscar L. - - - 1% 6% 33% 60%
29 GOOR Julian - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 22%
29 DOUGLAS Oscar M. - 1% 6% 21% 38% 28% 7%
31 ORVANANOS Jorge 1% 5% 18% 33% 30% 13% 1%
32 WU Alexander - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 5%
33 TSAY Jeremy M. - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 27%
33 KIM Yonjae - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
33 JEON Caleb A. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
36 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
37 ZHOU Oscar J. - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
38 KAO Castor T. - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
39 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. - 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 2%
39 STRUGAR Marcus A. - - 1% 7% 31% 51% 10%
41 ELKOUSY Laith H. - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 3%
42 LAKE Wyatt J. - - 4% 22% 41% 28% 5%
42 REEVES Liam - 4% 19% 36% 30% 9% 1%
44 PELOSKY Zack B. - - 1% 5% 23% 43% 29%
45 ANTON Nathaniel - - 1% 11% 42% 40% 6%
46 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
47 JIANG Owen - - 4% 17% 37% 34% 8%
48 LI Peihong - 1% 11% 39% 37% 12% 1%
49 FLYNN Ian - - 1% 7% 29% 45% 18%
49 LI Eric - - 3% 14% 35% 36% 12%
51 LE Jacob W. - 2% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
52 BAEK David - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
53 CHIRASHNYA Daniel - 1% 5% 19% 37% 30% 8%
54 WONG Garrick G. - - 2% 12% 35% 39% 12%
55 WOO Christian - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
56 LEE Aidan - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
57 REYES Omar - - 3% 17% 45% 35%
58 GUO Sean - 1% 9% 31% 41% 17% 2%
59 GEOGHEGAN Ronan - - 2% 16% 40% 33% 9%
60 LUH Ethan K. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
61 ZHANG Jiening G. - 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 4%
62 LIU Eric Y. 1% 9% 33% 40% 15% 2%
63 TANG Owen S. - 3% 17% 38% 32% 9%
64 XIANG Derrick 3% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1% -
65 CATINO Brennen - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
65 MUSHER Benjamin J. - - - 3% 19% 44% 33%
65 BING Charles - - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
68 OH SEAN - 1% 6% 24% 42% 26%
69 PAI Lakshan K. - 4% 21% 39% 29% 7%
70 YU Anders - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
71 ZHAI Jeffrey - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 10%
72 COELHO Cristiano P. - - - - 3% 26% 71%
73 OUYANG Matt J. - 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 4%
73 HOSKERI Anik S. 3% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
75 KIM Jackson - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
76 ZHANG Evan - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
77 ZHOU Leon 4% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
78 KANG Anthony Jaegu - 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 5%
79 GONG Benjamin - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
80 TAN Christien - 4% 20% 38% 29% 7% -
81 KNOEPFFLER Alex - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
82 TOLBA Abdelrahman - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
83 CHIRASHNYA Adam - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
84 WEEKS Richard P. 1% 13% 36% 36% 13% 1%
85 CANLAS Nathan - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
86 LIU Derek 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
87 NG Eben S. - - 2% 12% 33% 40% 14%
88 LEE Christopher T. - - 1% 8% 32% 44% 16%
89 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - - 3% 17% 39% 33% 8%
89 HONG Issac - 1% 10% 30% 37% 18% 2%
91 LOVE Aaron - 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
92 DESHMUKH Arjun - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
93 TAHOUN Mostafa - 2% 14% 38% 34% 11% 1%
94 XU Ethan - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
95 STEVENS Paul S. - - 3% 18% 44% 31% 4%
96 CULLIVAN Justice - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
97 BADLANI Dev 1% 15% 39% 33% 11% 1% -
98 KEE Andrew L. - 1% 11% 32% 39% 16%
99 LYNCH Owen C. - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
100 PIESNER Zachary C. - 2% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2%
101 BAO Aaron - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
102 CORTRIGHT Skipper (Matthew) 2% 12% 34% 36% 15% 2% -
103 MIN Eric - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
104 FINNEY Lorenz - 3% 16% 34% 33% 12% 2%
105 SAGE Michael J. - 5% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
106 TORRES Treston 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
107 TRAUGOT Owen G. - - 3% 19% 41% 31% 5%
108 MARX Jackson L. - - 2% 12% 35% 38% 13%
109 JI Evan - 1% 8% 28% 40% 21% 2%
110 CANO Marcos E. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
110 HEARN Christen J. 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
112 AROUH Dylan - - 4% 26% 43% 23% 4%
113 MEJIA MATTHEW D. - 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 4%
114 KHER Roan 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
114 LI Aaron - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
116 KLYCZEK Andrew - 6% 26% 41% 23% 4% -
117 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
118 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 1% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
119 PLASTARAS Trey 9% 33% 36% 18% 4% - -
120 ORLOV Dmitriy 8% 32% 38% 18% 3% - -
121 ROEVER Sean M. 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
122 PIERCE Cody - 5% 23% 40% 25% 6% -
123 CHOU Jared T. - 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
124 WU Lucas - 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 4%
125 GAO Anthony 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
126 LI Matthew - 5% 20% 35% 28% 9% 1%
127 LIN Michael 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
128 XU Andy P. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
129 GUERRA Gabriel H. - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
130 QIU Daniel 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% 1%
131 MA Andrew 1% 10% 26% 34% 21% 7% 1%
132 PAE Brian L. - - 1% 9% 33% 45% 12%
133 BARRETT Austin 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
134 ZHENG zhe 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
135 LIU Jacob B. - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
136 ZHEN Ethan - - 4% 20% 39% 30% 5%
137 TSAO Lukas 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
138 RUBIN Max 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
139 DETERING Julian 1% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2%
140 LIN James G. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
141 SONG Bryan 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
142 ARICO Trey 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
142 TSIMMERMAN Michael 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
142 YAO Bradley 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
145 SONG Austin 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
146 KNIZHNIK David 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
147 BECKFORD Gavin "Bailey" 4% 23% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
148 AHMED Yousef 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
149 JI Aidan Y. - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17% 1%
150 SAMI Usman S. - - 2% 15% 38% 34% 10%
151 IVES William R. 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3% -
151 METTE Russell 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
153 OROSZLAN Benjamin - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
153 SANTOS Carlos 2% 20% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
155 HONG David - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
156 SPINA Joseph B. - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13% 1%
157 CHOE Jayden K. 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
158 WOHLERS Trevor 23% 45% 25% 6% 1% - -
159 NG Micah 1% 9% 32% 42% 15% 2% -
159 SIU Aiden 2% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2% -
161 KUSHNIR Aden N. 4% 27% 41% 23% 5% - -
161 TEH Ryan 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
163 QIAN Jason H. 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
164 WECHSLER Jacob 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
165 KIM Ryan Y. 20% 46% 28% 6% - -
166 LI Jinghua E. 12% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
167 LIEW Jeremy K. 7% 29% 39% 20% 4% -
168 LLIDO Soren 55% 36% 8% 1% - -
169 MASCARI DUMONT Louis - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 2%
170 OH Joshua 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
171 TANG August L. - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 4%
171 LUAN Tian 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
173 ACHILOV Sayid - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
174 KRYLTSOV Michael - 6% 26% 40% 23% 4% -
175 SADOVSKY Leor B. - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% -
176 SVERDLOV Seth 8% 34% 37% 17% 4% - -
177 KIM Andrew J. 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
177 DE COQUET Maximilian 15% 40% 33% 11% 2% - -
179 XU Ethan 5% 32% 42% 18% 3% - -
180 NICOLL James 3% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
181 WANG Brayden 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
182 RASMUSSEN Sage 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2% -
183 GONZALEZ Joseph G. 4% 21% 40% 28% 7% 1% -
183 PONG Caleb J. 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4% -
185 ZENG Chuyi 35% 43% 19% 3% - - -
186 ROSS III Paul D. 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
187 LIU Ethan 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
188 LISONDRA Niko - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
189 DECORLETO III Andrew (Tripp) J. 17% 42% 31% 9% 1% - -
190 GUO Justin 2% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
190 FUKUDA Diego 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
192 RAJPAL Alastair 3% 22% 41% 27% 7% 1% -
193 MYERS Dean 8% 40% 37% 12% 2% - -
194 BURGOS Jacob R. 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
194 WONG Antonio - 4% 16% 31% 31% 14% 3%
196 RYNSKI Gerik 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
197 SHAGIDANYAN German 1% 9% 32% 40% 16% 3% -
197 WU Trevor - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14% 2%
199 KIM Harrison 4% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1% -
199 CAPRA Ethan 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
199 JIANG Raymond 27% 45% 24% 4% - - -
202 XIAO Benjamin 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
203 HUANG Eythan 8% 34% 43% 13% 2% - -
204 WANG Jackson 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
204 BEAVER Aaron 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
206 CHEN Kyle P. 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
206 ORONOWICZ Jakub 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
208 KIM Aiden 2% 18% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
209 SMITH Cooper 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
210 PALMA Matthew Dominic 30% 44% 21% 4% - -
211 SHEN Owen 12% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
212 CHENG Ethan 17% 45% 29% 8% 1% -
213 PO Oliver 1% 11% 35% 38% 14% 1%
214 SMITH Grant D. 3% 19% 40% 30% 8% 1%
215 LEE Jonah 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
216 STONE Adam 31% 41% 21% 6% 1% - -
217 FANG Jaden 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
218 TANG Alexander L. - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
219 POLONSKI Anthony 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
219 TWEMLOW Sacha 6% 32% 41% 18% 3% - -
221 NG Jeremiah 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
222 RICHARDS Jackson D. 18% 37% 30% 13% 3% - -
222 NICOLL William 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
222 WANG Julang 28% 47% 22% 3% - - -
222 CAZALET George 14% 40% 34% 11% 1% - -
226 QUINTERO Julian 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
227 DINSAY Kristjan - 3% 18% 36% 30% 10% 1%
228 TAPUS Andrei 46% 39% 12% 2% - - -
229 LO Preston 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
230 MCGUIRE Christian 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
231 CHENG Jonathan - 6% 23% 37% 25% 7% 1%
231 BERNARD Jack B. 10% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
233 TONKOVICH Ryan 9% 33% 36% 18% 4% - -
233 BALAKIRSKIY Gabriel 7% 33% 41% 16% 2% - -
235 OTTO Nathaniel B. 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
235 PROMRAT Pete 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
238 CHIN Ryan 26% 45% 23% 5% 1% - -
239 METTAPALLI Tarun 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
240 HUSSAIN Ibrahim 28% 43% 23% 5% - - -
241 GAO William 7% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
241 WANG Ethan 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
241 DEDENBACH Joseph 3% 27% 41% 23% 5% - -
244 ZHANG Alex 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
245 AGRAWAL Niki 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
246 TAN Peter 9% 37% 37% 15% 2% -
247 HIGGIN Matthew 14% 41% 36% 9% 1% - -
248 AYALA Nayen L. 11% 40% 35% 12% 2% - -
248 RANJITH Yash M. 6% 27% 40% 22% 5% 1% -
248 HSIAO Nicholas 3% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
251 MANASWI Atreya 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
252 SONG Jeremy 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
253 MA Bryant 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
253 PARK Stephen 68% 28% 4% - - - -
255 TANG Albert 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
256 ROSE Ben 33% 43% 19% 4% - - -
257 FECHTNER Ezra M. 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
258 KOKKER Thomas 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
259 LAI Twayne 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% - -
260 GRINDEM Stuart 64% 31% 5% - - - -
261 CHEN JON 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
262 TIKHAEV Alexander 43% 42% 13% 2% - -
263 RODRIGUEZ Jr. Jorge 35% 45% 18% 3% - -
264 PERSINGER Charles B. 20% 44% 28% 7% 1% - -
264 RAJ Jay 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
266 ZHONG Alan D. 36% 43% 18% 3% - - -
267 UHRMACHER Idris 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
268 PANTIN Ethan M. 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
268 CHAN Justin D. 31% 43% 21% 4% - - -
268 MALHAM Andrew 28% 48% 21% 2% - - -
268 KEITH HUDSON 41% 41% 15% 2% - - -
272 LONG Connor M. 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
273 MARTIN Dexter 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
274 KOKE Matthew C. 72% 25% 3% - - - -
275 BECKER Julian 58% 35% 7% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.