Fairfax Challenge SYC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, October 7, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
2 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
3 JAKEL Sophia N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
3 TAYLOR Kiera S. 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
5 DESAI Meera P. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
6 CHERNIS Zoe C. 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
7 REID Anousheh 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 13% 2%
9 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
10 CHERNYSHOVA Victoria 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
11 LEE Yedda 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 10% -
12 LU Samantha R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
13 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
14 JAKEL Alysa C. 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 12% 1%
15 KEE Bea Isabelle 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
16 SZUPERAK Emese 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 9% -
17 ELSTON Sophia 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
18 YU Bailey 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6% -
19 CHAWLA Aanya 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5%
20 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 100% 97% 85% 59% 26% 5%
21 KIM Angelina 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 2% -
22 HU Chelsea 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
23 LIU Nicole 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -
24 PEARCE Julia J. 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
25 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
26 ZHU Serene M. 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
27 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
28 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
29 WU Rebecca 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
30 FURMAN Maria 100% 98% 82% 44% 13% 1% -
31 NIKOLIC DE JACINTO Alix P. 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
32 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
33 YOU Isabel B. 100% 90% 57% 22% 5% - -
34 QIU Emily 100% 86% 48% 13% 2% - -
35 BANNEN Caroline 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.