The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

December NAC

Div II Women's Épée

Friday, December 14, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Cincinnati, OH - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. - - - - 5% 35% 60%
2 MORGAN Elizabeth (Ella) R. - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
3 SEMIKIN Julia - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
3 LONG Cindy - - - 2% 16% 44% 38%
5 LEE Olive 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
6 BELAOUSSOFF Kira - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
7 DAVIS Sophie R. 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
8 TIMMONS Sarah J. - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
9 GIFFORD Emily R. - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
10 WALLACE Katherine C. - 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
11 LEANG Priscilla Y. - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
12 LEE Michelle - 1% 6% 22% 38% 26% 6%
13 BARR Abigail D. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
14 ALLEN Susan B. - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
15 WEISS Olivia - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
16 GILLIS Alexandra G. - 3% 19% 39% 30% 9% 1%
17 DUNSEATH Lauren M. - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
18 CAO Catherine H. - 2% 12% 35% 40% 11%
19 O'REILLY Aeryn E. - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 19%
20 BOTNER Olivia - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
21 SCHULTZ Michelle M. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
22 LEE kyungmin - - 1% 14% 39% 36% 10%
23 PALANSKI Cate - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
24 BROWN Amanda 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 8%
25 BELSLEY Devon K. 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
26 GILBRETH Meghan G. - - 2% 12% 36% 44% 7%
27 ADVINCULA Anabella E. 3% 22% 43% 26% 6% - -
28 ZHANG Nicole 4% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
29 ENDERLE Alexis N. - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
30 CHANG Amanda Yen-Shih (Amanda) 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
31 CLAUSEN Amalie (Amy) 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
32 TOMASELLO Olivia E. 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1%
33 VANDERLINDEN Mira - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
34 SCHLIEP Anna J. - 1% 12% 37% 38% 11%
35 YOUNG Ashley - 1% 12% 36% 36% 13% 2%
36 KOWALSKY Rachel A. - - 3% 12% 31% 37% 17%
37 WOLF Lisa A. - 4% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
38 YAO Jillian - - 1% 8% 32% 45% 14%
39 SAGE Kayla G. 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1%
40 BARRETT Margaret E. 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
41 MOHEBI Sue 10% 35% 38% 15% 2% - -
42 RICHARDS Caitlin A. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 6%
43 COMES Rita 1% 7% 24% 37% 24% 6% -
44 BELAOUSSOFF Vera - 1% 8% 28% 41% 19% 3%
45 KERAMANE Halah Z. 22% 44% 27% 5% - -
46 HAN Jaewon(Leah) - 3% 13% 31% 37% 17%
47 PROVANCE Allison N. - 2% 17% 44% 31% 6%
48 GLOVER Cynthia E. 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2%
49 CHUSID Alexandra 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
50 RADICH Lori G. 4% 22% 38% 28% 8% 1% -
51 LEWIS Sophia 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
51 FREY Alison 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
53 GIFFORD Sally 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
54 HOFMAN Haejung 14% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
55 NOLLNER Jennifer R. 7% 39% 39% 13% 2% - -
56 HUZEL Lisa 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
57 INAMDAR Nina S. 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 2% -
58 ZHANG Rachel Q. 49% 38% 11% 1% - -
59 LI Tiffany 23% 47% 26% 4% - -
61 PETITE Jenny 4% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% -
62 WHEELER Michele L. 12% 40% 38% 9% 1% - -
63 COVITZ Ashley A. 21% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
64 RIOS Donna B. 34% 46% 17% 3% - - -
65 ZEHE Michele A. 5% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
66 TADLOCK Christine M. 5% 26% 39% 24% 6% 1%
67 COOPER Tina M. 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
68 JANDURA Janet 11% 32% 34% 18% 4% - -
69 ROWLAND May 29% 44% 22% 5% 1% - -
71 JEANDHEUR Carole A. 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
72 ONO Melisa 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
73 BONDAR Nika 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
74 RUBIN Kathryn (Kay) M. 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.