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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

January NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Monday, January 7, 2019 at 10:00 AM

Charlotte, NC - Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SCRUGGS Lauren S. - - - - 3% 27% 69%
2 BINDER Sylvie A. - - - - 2% 22% 76%
3 TIEU May L. - 1% 8% 28% 42% 20%
3 WEINTRAUB Maia M. - - - 2% 14% 41% 44%
5 DESCHNER Stefani K. - - 1% 5% 22% 41% 31%
6 LU Margaret L.C. - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
7 ZHOU Emme - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
8 CHO Sabrina N. - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
9 MASSIALAS Sabrina C. - - - 1% 9% 39% 51%
10 BOLDOR Maria - - - - 4% 28% 67%
11 GUO Jessica Zi Jia - - - 1% 6% 34% 59%
12 TAN Helen - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
13 NOTT Adrienne (Adi) M. 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
14 YAROSHENKO Karina 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
15 PARTRIDGE Morgan K. - - - 3% 15% 40% 41%
16 CHUSID Renata (Renata Chusid) M. - - 5% 21% 40% 30% 4%
17 PUSTILNIK Nicole - - - - 3% 25% 72%
18 STAMOS Maria - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
19 ZHANG Rachel - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
20 ZEISS Madison E. - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
21 BLOW Iman (Mani) A. - - - 4% 19% 44% 33%
21 DEVORE Delphine P. - - - - 3% 24% 73%
23 KLEINER Elyssa R. - - 10% 31% 37% 19% 3%
23 HORSLEY Asherah - - 5% 21% 39% 29% 7%
25 MARTOS Sara A. - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
26 MOINDROT-ZILLIOX NAOMI - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
27 HAO Alicia - - 1% 7% 28% 44% 20%
28 CRUM Quinn T. 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
29 CHEN Alyssa J. - - 4% 16% 34% 35% 12%
30 CAO Ying - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
31 LAU Sydnee M. 3% 23% 42% 25% 6% 1% -
32 HUNT Tarleton Q. 1% 7% 25% 38% 23% 6% -
33 RHODES Zander - - 1% 4% 20% 43% 32%
34 DU Katie J. - - 3% 17% 40% 34% 7%
35 LAM Justina - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
36 LAFFEY Jessie S. - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 22%
37 LEE Yejine - 2% 11% 29% 37% 20% 2%
38 LOVELACE Kennedy C. - 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
39 MARINELLI Ever - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
40 FERRARI Christina M. - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
41 CHENG Evelyn 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
42 MANDOUR Sophia M. 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
43 LEE Annora Y. - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 7%
44 TAN Elisha - - 3% 13% 35% 39% 9%
45 ADLER Polly Z. 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
46 APELIAN Katherine - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
47 KIM Rachael - 1% 14% 34% 34% 15% 2%
48 MAK Tinney - - 1% 10% 37% 44% 8%
49 CROMPTON Celia N. 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
50 FILBY Sarah M. - - - 5% 26% 51% 18%
50 ZHENG Vivian 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
52 LI Karina J. - 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1%
53 YANKOVSKIY Anastasia - - 6% 28% 44% 20% 2%
54 VIQUEIRA Samantha M. 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
55 CAULFIELD Jane H. - 2% 10% 29% 37% 20% 2%
56 LEE Alina 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
57 LIU Cynthia 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
58 LIN Annie X. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
59 LEE Morgan A. - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
60 VIQUEIRA Marissa S. 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
61 PETROVA Kristina - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
62 KNIGHT Skylar - - 3% 16% 39% 34% 6%
63 SERBAN Samantha M. - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
64 HAO Grace - 1% 7% 27% 42% 22% 2%
65 NOVOSELTSEVA Anna V. - - - 5% 22% 45% 28%
65 LAMPSON-STIXRUD Dolly C. 10% 33% 36% 16% 3% - -
67 LI Grace Q. - 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3%
68 HE Elizabeth W. - 2% 19% 45% 28% 5% -
69 ZHOU Anna 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
70 DU Melissa H. 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
71 RASO Sofia G. 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1% -
72 KOO Haley B. 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
73 BANBURY Justine 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
73 ANDREYENKA Hanna 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
75 LUONG Paige K. - - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14%
76 PARK Rowan M. 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 11% 2%
77 THOMPSON Julia T. - 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 5%
78 QIAN Crystal - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
79 CHEN Nicole Y. 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
79 LEE Brianna J. 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
81 SHEN Sophia H. 3% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1% -
82 MAROTTA Veronica L. 1% 9% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
83 PRILUTSKY Sarah A. - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
84 ZAROFF Roxanne 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
85 WANG Karina (Karina Xue Wang) X. - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9% 1%
86 FREEDMAN Miranda W. 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
87 NOVOSELTSEVA Elizabeth (Liza) M. - 4% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2%
87 HALL Velma 3% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
89 SUPERVILLE Zoe A. 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
90 KASI Anisha 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1%
90 BIASCO Anna - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
92 KUBIT Kayleigh A. 15% 39% 33% 11% 1% - -
93 LEE Allison (Allie) 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
94 TANG Louise - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
95 NISHIMURA Madeleine A. - 2% 11% 25% 33% 22% 6%
96 JING Alexandra 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
97 ROSS Megan N. 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
98 HOOSHI Erica S. 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3%
99 MCDONALD Alexandra 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
100 LIAO Madeline M. - 4% 21% 39% 28% 6% -
101 ABTIN Aryana V. 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
102 YEH Samantha 3% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
103 CHOI Lenna K. 1% 12% 45% 33% 8% 1% -
104 JIA Amy 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
104 OUTHRED Maya E. 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% - -
106 GONG Christina S. 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
107 NOGUCHI Julia C. - 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1%
107 LEVI Lea 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
107 ANDREYENKA Yana - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
110 PARK Alexandra D. 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
110 FLANAGAN Catherine H. - 5% 19% 36% 29% 9% 1%
110 SHEN Jasmine N. 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
113 MOLLOY Aubrey G. 29% 44% 22% 5% - - -
114 NECHANICKY Mackensie J. 7% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
115 GIANNESCHI Julia R. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
116 NAVALTA Cassandra (Cassie) R. 32% 56% 11% 1% - - -
116 KOKES Gabrielle 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
118 KOO Rachel A. - 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2%
119 HARFELD Skylar 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3% -
120 PHAM Camille V. 1% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2% -
121 FEVRY Carlexa I. 6% 39% 38% 14% 2% - -
121 LESLIE Ryanne T. - 2% 10% 28% 38% 21% 2%
123 LUONG Tiffany C. 10% 33% 37% 16% 3% - -
124 SEAL Julie T. 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
125 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca 17% 42% 30% 10% 1% - -
126 TURNER Stephanie E. 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
127 LEE Madison 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
128 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
129 VEERKAMP Molly 40% 41% 16% 3% - -
130 BARNETTE Zoe 4% 20% 36% 29% 11% 1%
131 AHN Isabella 25% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
132 SHALANSKY Julia B. 14% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
133 ALFONSO Czarina M. 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
134 CHENG Lydia A. 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
135 MAURER Bridgette (Brie) (Bridgette) C. 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
136 SARTORI Taylor M. 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
137 CHON Samantha - 1% 20% 40% 29% 9% 1%
138 GOMES Rafaella T. 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
139 YUGOV Elizabeth (Liz Yugov) 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1% -
140 MUHAMMAD Auset 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
141 GUO Kaitlyn S. 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
141 WONG ERIKA G. 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
143 SIMONTOV Sofia M. 12% 40% 35% 11% 2% - -
143 BHANOT Gayatri 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
145 KIM Lauren Hyomin 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
145 CHO Taylor S. 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
147 WALKER Mayah J. 25% 43% 26% 6% 1% - -
148 MATZ Samantha J. 23% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
149 SUSINI Anna K. 36% 43% 18% 3% - - -
150 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1% -
151 WONG Allison M. 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
151 CHEN Kelly 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
151 TONG Ophelia 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
154 MERGES Gretl C. 15% 57% 24% 3% - - -
155 CHO Eunice 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
156 ABAYEVA Sasha 4% 17% 30% 29% 15% 4% -
157 GILIOLI Alexia 8% 32% 38% 18% 4% -
158 BANIN Alexandra G. 8% 32% 38% 19% 4% - -
159 BREKER Anika 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3%
160 ALTEN Ayaka 25% 43% 26% 6% 1% - -
161 HU Ally 53% 42% 5% - - - -
162 POWERS Meredith R. 69% 28% 2% - - - -
162 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 47% 41% 11% 1% - - -
164 CHON Sydney 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
165 MOON Elina C. 9% 35% 39% 15% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.