The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

December NAC

Div I Women's Épée (Day 2)

Monday, December 17, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Cincinnati, OH - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 CANDREVA Greta H. - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
2 HOLMES Katharine (Kat) W. - - - - 5% 30% 64%
3 BASSA Francesca A. - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 4%
3 VERMEULE Emily - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
5 MANGANO Ariana J. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
6 VAN BRUMMEN Anna C. - 1% 8% 31% 41% 17% 2%
7 KOPECKY Lydia J. - 1% 6% 18% 33% 31% 12%
8 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
9 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. - - - 1% 6% 31% 63%
10 CONSTANTINO Lola - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
11 ZUIKOVA Veronika - - 2% 8% 17% 24% 23% 15% 7% 2% - - -
12 KHAMIS Yasmine A. - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
13 HUSISIAN Hadley N. - - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
14 ENO Megan E. - - 3% 14% 31% 36% 16%
15 SIRICO Amanda E. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
16 KUNJAN Lena R. 2% 11% 24% 29% 21% 9% 3% 1% - - - - -
17 BEDDINGFIELD Claire E. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
18 WASHINGTON Isis - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
19 VIE Natalie J. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
20 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
21 CHIMAHUSKY Rebecca 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
22 DUNLAP-SMITH Azaline I. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
23 MO Victoria - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
24 SHEFFIELD Lake Mawu 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
25 BATES Cassandra L. 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
26 PAUL Anna L. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
27 MCFADDEN Christa M. - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
28 GRADY Miriam A. - 1% 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
29 BARNA Isabella - - - 2% 7% 16% 23% 24% 17% 8% 2% - -
30 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 21% 5%
31 KHROL Jaclyn - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
32 PARK Faith K. - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 4%
33 LIANG Rui ( Jessica ) - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
34 LIU Kai (Charlene) - - - - - 2% 6% 15% 24% 26% 18% 7% 1%
35 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
36 GIFFORD Emily R. - - - - - 2% 8% 18% 28% 27% 14% 3%
37 KIM Diane E. - 1% 4% 12% 22% 25% 20% 10% 4% 1% - -
38 YEFREMENKO Dariya (Dasha) (Dasha) - - - - 1% 3% 9% 17% 24% 24% 15% 6% 1%
39 STEWART Tatijana I. - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 4%
40 DANIEL Chloe L. - 2% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
41 TANIBAJEVA Rachel L. - - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 27% 21% 10% 3% -
42 CHOI Lyla - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
43 DOLGONOS Melanie - - 1% 4% 12% 20% 25% 21% 12% 4% 1% - -
44 BOYS Nishta B. - - - 2% 7% 16% 23% 24% 17% 8% 2% - -
45 TYLER Syd 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
46 LURYE Sarah - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
46 PROCTOR Sara J. 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 6% -
49 VERRET Alexanne 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
50 PLENTY Kenyata (Kenya) (Kenya) G. 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
51 PYO Yunice - - 1% 3% 9% 17% 23% 22% 16% 7% 2% - -
52 CEBULA Anne 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
53 MARTUS Cosima O. - - 1% 3% 9% 19% 26% 23% 13% 5% 1% -
54 HUELLAS-BRUSKIEWICZ Marie-Rose R. - - 1% 3% 10% 19% 25% 22% 14% 6% 1% - -
55 YEU Irene - - - - - 2% 8% 19% 28% 26% 13% 3% -
56 BROOKS Tean R. 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
57 KOMAR Sofia - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
58 PHILLIPS Summer E. 5% 29% 39% 21% 5% 1% -
59 ADRAGNA Olivia - 2% 8% 18% 25% 23% 15% 7% 2% - - - -
60 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. - - 2% 7% 18% 28% 25% 14% 5% 1% - -
61 YAMANAKA Mina - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
62 QUINLAN Nicole P. 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% -
63 MARSH Janet L. 10% 26% 31% 21% 9% 3% 1% - - - - - -
64 CAMPBELL Anahit M. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
65 JOYCE Michaela - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 28%
66 LIN Jessica Y. - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
67 WEISS Talia L. - - 2% 6% 15% 23% 25% 18% 9% 3% - -
68 SCALA Emma 2% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
69 PAPADOPOULOS Maria - 1% 6% 15% 24% 25% 18% 8% 3% - - -
70 BARRY Julia E. - - - - - 2% 8% 19% 28% 26% 13% 3%
71 LAWSON Marie A. - 1% 6% 16% 26% 25% 16% 7% 2% - - -
72 ANGEN Katie R. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
73 TOBY Natalia R. 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
74 BUVARP Elisabeth M. - - 1% 3% 9% 18% 25% 24% 15% 6% 1% -
75 VAN MARION Kirsten C. - - 2% 8% 17% 24% 24% 16% 7% 2% - -
76 HABERKERN Kundry E. 3% 12% 24% 28% 20% 10% 3% 1% - - - -
77 TONCHEVA Victoria M. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
77 DORVAL Anne-Marie - - - 2% 6% 14% 23% 25% 19% 9% 3% - -
79 LANZMAN Anna B. 5% 35% 38% 17% 4% - -
80 LEUNG Karina Kay Sze - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 2%
81 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. - 3% 16% 33% 33% 13% 1%
82 CHERRY Ashley A. - 2% 7% 16% 24% 24% 16% 7% 2% - - -
83 ROBLES Elena - 1% 6% 14% 23% 25% 18% 9% 3% 1% - - -
84 LIM Clarice - - 2% 7% 16% 23% 24% 17% 8% 3% 1% - -
84 ZAFFT Tatiana M. - 1% 4% 12% 21% 25% 21% 12% 4% 1% - -
86 LEE Michelle - - 2% 8% 18% 24% 23% 15% 6% 2% - - -
87 O'REILLY Aeryn E. - 1% 4% 12% 21% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% - - -
88 DESAMOURS Sabine I. - - 1% 4% 10% 20% 25% 22% 13% 5% 1% -
89 GAO Emily L. 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
90 CHU Audrey - - 2% 6% 14% 22% 24% 18% 10% 3% 1% - -
91 LONG Cindy - - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 26% 22% 11% 3% -
92 KANG Dahyun - 2% 11% 26% 30% 20% 8% 2% - - - -
93 DAVIS Sophie R. 1% 8% 19% 26% 23% 14% 6% 2% - - - - -
93 VANDERLINDEN Mira 9% 25% 31% 22% 10% 3% 1% - - - - - -
95 RABEL Brenna V. 1% 6% 16% 26% 26% 16% 7% 2% - - - -
96 BELAOUSSOFF Kira - 2% 9% 20% 27% 23% 13% 5% 1% - - - -
96 SHAMSIAN Shaya 4% 31% 40% 20% 5% - -
98 CHIMIENTI Michele - 3% 12% 24% 28% 20% 9% 3% - - - - -
98 BARR Abigail D. - 1% 4% 12% 22% 25% 20% 10% 4% 1% - - -
100 BINDAS Blodwen S. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
101 TAPIA Sandy - 1% 4% 13% 23% 26% 20% 10% 3% 1% - -
101 LEANG Priscilla Y. - 2% 7% 19% 28% 25% 14% 5% 1% - - -
103 PROVENZA Hannah G. - - - - 1% 3% 10% 23% 30% 23% 9% 1%
104 OXENREIDER Tierna A. - - 3% 16% 39% 36% 5%
105 KULKARNI Diya - - - 2% 8% 16% 24% 24% 16% 7% 2% - -
106 IGOE Nirali B. - 3% 11% 22% 26% 21% 11% 4% 1% - - -
107 GILLIS Alexandra G. 6% 22% 32% 25% 11% 3% 1% - - - - -
108 O'REILLY Meghan J. - 1% 4% 14% 24% 26% 19% 9% 3% 1% - -
109 SZPAK Lara K. - 2% 8% 19% 26% 23% 14% 5% 2% - - - -
110 WALLACE Katherine C. - - - 1% 5% 13% 21% 24% 19% 10% 4% 1% -
110 LIN Katie Y. - - 1% 3% 9% 18% 25% 22% 14% 6% 1% - -
112 PROVANCE Allison N. 21% 38% 27% 11% 3% - - - - - - -
113 BOTNER Olivia - 3% 11% 21% 26% 21% 12% 5% 1% - - - -
114 KIM Natalie S. 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
115 PROVANCE Amanda R. - 2% 8% 18% 26% 24% 15% 6% 1% - - -
116 BRILL Sophie - - - 2% 8% 18% 26% 24% 15% 6% 1% - -
117 ADVINCULA Anabella E. 6% 21% 29% 24% 13% 5% 1% - - - - - -
118 MORGAN Elizabeth (Ella) R. - - 1% 5% 13% 22% 24% 19% 10% 4% 1% -
118 LAMBERT Jasmine M. 2% 10% 22% 27% 22% 12% 4% 1% - - - - -
120 BEITTEL Chloe F. - - - < 1% 1% 5% 14% 25% 28% 19% 7% 1%
121 ALLEN Susan B. - 2% 8% 17% 24% 23% 15% 7% 2% - - - -
122 KAIN Isabel J. 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
123 LEIGHTON Eleanor T. 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2% -
123 GUPTA Ananya B. 1% 5% 15% 25% 25% 17% 8% 3% 1% - - - -
123 CAO Catherine H. - 1% 6% 15% 24% 25% 18% 8% 3% 1% - -
126 PRASAD Anagha 9% 26% 31% 21% 9% 3% 1% - - - - -
127 YAO Jillian < 1% 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.