December NAC

Div II Men's Épée

Monday, December 17, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Cincinnati, OH - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 POPPER Luca G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
2 ZHOU Alan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
3 CRASWELL Andrew J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
3 MARCHANT Albert J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 7%
5 BARREIRO Darren 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 2%
6 MARTIN Liam N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
7 ARIAS Troy A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 12%
8 NIXON Christian A. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
9 FENG Kevin T. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
10 ZHENG Yuanlong (Bill) 100% 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
11 HIRSCHMAN Burton E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
12 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
13 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 66% 22% 2%
14 DRAKE Owen G. 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 5% -
15 YAO Shun 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
16 KRUGER Mark (Mark Kruger) 100% 99% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
17 PELLEGRINO Maurício 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
18 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 9%
19 SCHULTZ Alex 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
20 PRICE Luke D. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
21 WILSON Victor T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
22 MCCORMICK John B. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
23 O'HARROW Tristan C. 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 8% 1%
24 FENWICK Luke A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
25 SANCHEZ Leon D. 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7% 1%
26 KELSEY Ryan 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
27 RITCHIE Patrick Q. 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
28 KIM Michael 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
29 BAKER Julian L. 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
30 BOCEK Brodee M. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
31 HERBEL Micah O. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 13% 2%
32 SCHOWALTER Tyler J. 100% 95% 75% 43% 16% 3% -
33 GOODMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
34 MOYSE Alexander S. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
35 MORRIS Alex K. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 5%
36 SMITH Ethan H. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
37 KNOWLES Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
38 ASHER Andrew D. 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
39 REED Dusty (Allen) 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
40 SHERWOOD Dominic 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
41 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
42 CHIEN William 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% - -
43 CULLER Michael (Mike) D. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
44 HURST Palmer 100% 78% 26% 4% - - -
45 FANGMAN Daniel L. 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
46 WINTERSHEIMER Adam 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
47 STEWART Robert 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
48 KRAJ Pawel 100% 99% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
49 RICCHIUTI Nikola 100% 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
50 TIERNEY Luke 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% 1% -
51 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
51 PARK Jong-Eun 100% 98% 80% 42% 11% 1% -
53 GLECKNER Aidan 100% 96% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
54 FERNANDEZ Christopher 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
55 VANDERLINDEN Brian 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% - -
56 BROWN Nathan P. 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
57 ALI Adam 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
59 BARAFF David 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
60 GU Brian 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
61 GERSEN Jacob 100% 49% 8% 1% - - -
62 SATTERWHITE William W. 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
62 HERBEL Dellas O. 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -
64 KOLOCIN John 100% 86% 44% 10% 1% - -
65 KIRSCH Adam J. 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
66 BARTCH Ethan L. 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 6% 1%
67 RHEA Eric L. 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
68 RITCHIE Mark T. 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
69 BURKE Luke P. 100% 88% 49% 13% 2% - -
70 KATOPES Peter 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.