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Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	LI Meilin	-	-	2%	9%	28%	40%	22%
2	LEE Lavender	-	-	3%	16%	37%	35%	10%
3	WONG Sophia M.	-	1%	9%	25%	36%	24%	6%
3	PAHLAVI Dahlia	-	-	1%	7%	27%	42%	23%
5	CHEN Allison V.	-	-	-	2%	12%	39%	47%
6	WU Irene M.	-	-	4%	18%	36%	32%	10%
7	CHEN Kelly	-	-	-	3%	17%	42%	38%
8	CHO Rebecca H.	-	1%	7%	22%	36%	27%	7%
9	EYER Hailey M.	-	-	1%	9%	48%	42%
10	ZHANG Alina C.	-	-	2%	14%	34%	36%	14%
11	SARTORI Taylor M.	-	-	2%	13%	33%	37%	14%
12	FELLUS Talia E.	-	6%	30%	39%	20%	4%	-
13	HUANG NATALIE	-	-	1%	10%	51%	39%
14	CHARALEL Jessica	-	8%	34%	46%	11%	1%
15	LIU Angel(Daying)	-	-	7%	26%	39%	23%	4%
16	KOKES Gwendolen	1%	9%	31%	36%	19%	4%	-
17	YU Lauren C.	-	-	3%	17%	37%	33%	10%
18	OLIVEIRA Lavinia M.	-	6%	26%	39%	23%	6%	1%
19	ORVANANOS Anice	-	1%	7%	27%	39%	23%	4%
20	TOBIN Brean	1%	10%	30%	36%	18%	4%	-
21	ROHRING Anna L.	4%	27%	47%	21%	2%	-
22	ROY Layla	-	-	3%	17%	37%	33%	10%
23	SOLDATOVA Maria	-	2%	14%	36%	34%	13%	1%
23	XIANG Emma	-	1%	8%	26%	38%	23%	4%
25	HOU Wendong	13%	41%	33%	11%	2%	-	-
26	PAVE Claire	5%	22%	36%	26%	10%	2%	-
27	CHEN Jasmine	32%	41%	21%	5%	1%	-	-
28	HUNT Abigail S.	1%	10%	32%	36%	17%	3%	-
29	SLASKI Caroline O.	2%	15%	35%	33%	13%	2%	-
30	SHA Yi Ling	2%	11%	29%	34%	19%	5%	1%
31	PARK Caitlyn	48%	40%	11%	1%	-	-	-
32	LEE Kaitlyn	23%	43%	26%	7%	1%	-	-
33	THIRUVENGADAM Harini	21%	42%	28%	8%	1%	-	-
34	PARK Jacqueline	16%	47%	31%	6%	-	-
35	LIU Sophia	3%	17%	34%	31%	13%	3%	-
36	OETZEL Taylor	30%	47%	20%	3%	-	-	-
37	SCARLETT Skye	50%	41%	8%	1%	-	-	-
38	PAN Anna	25%	54%	19%	2%	-	-	-
39	WANG Ashley	1%	7%	26%	37%	22%	6%	1%
40	JIN Wendy	50%	40%	9%	1%	-	-
41	SHTROM Uma A.	31%	47%	19%	3%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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