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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

THRUST WINTER RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, February 8, 2020 at 12:00 PM

Suffern, NY - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOLBA Abdelrahman - - - - 5% 30% 65%
2 SHA Yi Peng - - - 3% 17% 44% 36%
3 ORVANANOS Jorge - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
3 DOUGLAS Oscar M. - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
5 GUO Sean - - 2% 11% 36% 38% 13%
6 ACHILOV Sayid - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
7 AHN Jun - - 1% 11% 41% 47%
8 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. - 4% 30% 43% 21% 3%
9 MARX Jackson L. - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
10 RUSADZE Nickolas - - - 1% 9% 37% 52%
11 KALIPERSAD Neil A. - 1% 5% 21% 38% 30% 6%
12 PITERBARG Maxim 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
13 GUO Jacob 1% 7% 24% 36% 26% 7%
14 LIN James G. - 1% 18% 42% 31% 7%
15 GARCIA Sebastian R. - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
16 JIANG Owen - 1% 8% 28% 43% 21%
17 ALIMI Yacine A. - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
18 LIGOS Alex M. 2% 16% 38% 34% 10% 1%
19 LEE Jacob J - - 2% 11% 33% 40% 15%
20 SONG Bryan - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 3%
21 GUO Cheng Jin Morris 4% 19% 37% 29% 9% 1% -
22 PARK Joseph 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
23 ZHEN Ethan - 1% 16% 41% 34% 7%
24 WANG Jackson - 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 3%
25 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. - 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 4%
25 YOON DYLAN 3% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
27 GUO Justin - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
28 LI Yao (Liam) - - 1% 10% 33% 40% 15%
29 XU Andy P. - - 1% 6% 27% 43% 23%
30 TRAUGOT Owen G. - 1% 7% 28% 47% 18%
31 ZHOU Leon 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1%
32 SHAO Eric 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
33 SIMA Congyu Josh 1% 7% 25% 40% 23% 5% -
34 LEE Jonah 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
35 WANG Julang 7% 27% 39% 22% 5% - -
36 CHENG Ethan - 2% 11% 30% 37% 17% 3%
37 LIU Derek - - 4% 19% 39% 31% 6%
38 LIU Ryan 9% 35% 38% 16% 3% - -
39 GOH William C. 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
40 TORRES Treston 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
41 UNGERER Roger M. 6% 27% 40% 22% 4% -
42 VENKATESH Aditya 28% 43% 23% 5% - -
43 SVERDLOV Seth 11% 33% 35% 17% 3% -
44 RNO Kyler 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
45 LOGAN Kai 11% 34% 36% 15% 3% - -
46 MELE-KEAN Forrest 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3% -
47 TRUBETSKI David 2% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
48 KLOTZ Isaiah 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
49 JIA Jing Yu 6% 28% 41% 21% 4% - -
50 ARCE Andrew W. 13% 37% 34% 14% 3% - -
51 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 12% 37% 36% 14% 2% -
52 LI Ayren 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
53 LEWIS Akhil 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
54 PLASTARAS Trey 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% -
55 DALBERG Anders 20% 61% 17% 2% - -
56 LI Jinghua E. 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
57 FRANK Amir 36% 43% 17% 3% - - -
58 LEWIS Nikhil I. 25% 43% 26% 6% 1% - -
59 JIE WanYue 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
60 WU Benjamin 6% 24% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
61 LEE Eugene 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
62 LUNA Nathan 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
63 BABKINE-OSTERRATH Alexandre 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
64 REZA Farazi 20% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
65 TING Clement 70% 29% 1% - - -
66 LU Jason 31% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.