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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Capitol Clash SYC, RCC, Veteran ROC & Y8

Cadet Women's Foil

Saturday, January 18, 2020 at 8:00 AM

National Harbor, MD - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TUCKER ALARCON Ariadna C. - - - - 3% 23% 74%
2 SHEN Lydia - - - 1% 13% 43% 42%
3 CASTANEDA Erika L. - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
3 ZHAO Aileen Y. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 1%
5 CHEN Allison V. - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 23%
6 CHEN Jia P. - - - 1% 6% 31% 63%
7 OUYANG Bridgette Z. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
8 SCHATZ Erika J. - 1% 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
9 CHUSID Mikayla - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 21%
10 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca - - - - 7% 36% 56%
11 CHEN Kelly - - - 2% 17% 45% 35%
12 WONG Sophia M. - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
13 ORVANANOS Anice - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18% 2%
14 MICHAELSEN Emily - - 1% 11% 33% 40% 16%
15 ADAMS KIM Natalie - - 3% 17% 39% 32% 9%
16 CHO Rebecca H. - - 4% 17% 38% 34% 7%
17 YU Jaime L. - - 1% 10% 35% 43% 11%
18 SENIC Adeline - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
19 WU Celine - - 3% 19% 45% 27% 5%
20 ROY Layla - - 6% 27% 42% 21% 3%
21 TAN Kaitlyn N. - - - 4% 19% 43% 35%
22 PAHLAVI Dahlia - 3% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2%
23 XU Madison - - 1% 7% 29% 46% 18%
24 YU Lauren C. - 2% 12% 34% 35% 15% 2%
25 PALMER Meredith K. - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 10%
26 GU EMILY 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
27 YE Eileen - - 1% 8% 24% 40% 27%
28 LIU Sophia - 1% 6% 25% 43% 23% 3%
29 SEO IRENE Y. - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 4%
30 MI Anning 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
31 RASO Olivia 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
32 WEBB Ella - 4% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
33 HUANG NATALIE - - - 5% 26% 46% 22%
34 FELLUS Talia E. - 3% 19% 41% 29% 7% 1%
35 WANG Chloe - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% -
36 LENZ Zoe N. 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
37 PAVE Claire 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
38 QIAN Zhiyan 1% 7% 27% 41% 20% 4% -
39 ZHAO Sophie L. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
39 MAESTRADO Ashley R. 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
41 HOLLE Aviella S. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
42 LIN Emma 2% 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% -
43 LI Sophia M. - 8% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
44 HWANG Jungmin 1% 8% 27% 38% 21% 5% -
45 SCHMIDT Victoria 10% 47% 33% 9% 1% - -
46 CASTANEDA Keira - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
47 MI Aileen 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 2% -
48 SMIGRODZKI Nymeria 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
49 CHARALEL Jessica 11% 39% 35% 13% 2% - -
50 MARKOVSKY Nina 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
51 BAROCHIA Saatchi 3% 18% 39% 30% 8% 1% -
52 KOROTCOVA Anastasia 4% 23% 44% 24% 5% - -
53 SMITH Emilee E. 13% 40% 35% 11% 1% - -
54 THIRUVENGADAM Harini 14% 38% 35% 12% 1% - -
55 LAM Victoria M. 2% 18% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
56 BASSIK Eva 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
57 ABD-ELMONIEM Nusayba K. 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
58 JONES Jenna 20% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
58 ZULUETA Catherine 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
60 NIKOLIC Alexandra 1% 6% 24% 36% 25% 7% -
61 WILLIS Fletcher L. - 8% 30% 39% 19% 4% -
62 DATLA Medha 65% 30% 5% - - - -
63 ALEXANDER Amelia 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
64 ZHUANG Sophie 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
65 KNOEPFFLER ANDREA V. 10% 38% 35% 14% 3% - -
66 KRUPENKO Sabrina R. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
67 BHOGAL Sukhneet 26% 47% 23% 4% - - -
68 SARKARIA Jasminder 2% 17% 39% 33% 9% 1% -
69 DATLA Meha 38% 43% 16% 2% - - -
69 SHKLYAR Estella 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
71 ZARE Yasmin 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
72 CAO Domi Yu En 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% -
73 TAI Serena 41% 43% 14% 2% - - -
74 WIERENGA Esther 66% 30% 4% - - - -
75 BOWDEN Ms Hope A. 16% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
75 TAI Valerie 16% 41% 33% 9% 1% - -
77 WANG Cynthia 34% 47% 17% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.