The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Capitol Clash SYC, RCC, Veteran ROC & Y8

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, January 19, 2020 at 8:00 AM

National Harbor, MD - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GORMAN Victoria M. - - 2% 9% 26% 40% 24%
2 SHOMAN Jenna - - - - 6% 35% 59%
3 WIGGERS Susan Q. - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
3 ANDRES Charmaine G. - 1% 8% 30% 41% 20%
5 CHIOLDI Mina - - - 3% 16% 41% 41%
6 ANDRES Katherine A. - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
7 HILD Nisha - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 14%
8 LU Amy - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
9 ANTHONY Alexia B. - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
10 PRIEUR Lauren - - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
11 ROMAGNOLI Isabella - - - 3% 17% 41% 37%
12 BEVACQUA Aria F. - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
13 SOURIMTO Valeria - - 3% 14% 35% 38% 11%
14 RIZKALA Joanna - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
15 LIGH Erenei J. 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 6% 1%
16 JOHNSON Dagny L. - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
17 BLUM Leah I. - - - - 4% 28% 67%
18 CHEN Xiaohan - - 2% 15% 37% 36% 10%
19 KIM Marley I. - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
20 SHI Cathleen - 1% 8% 27% 40% 22% 2%
21 BALAKUMARAN Maya - 2% 9% 24% 35% 25% 6%
22 FAN Grace 2% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
23 YANG Ashley M. - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
24 TODD Phoebe 1% 10% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
25 GRINBERG Aliya - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
26 LEE Hannah - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
27 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA - 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
28 CHIANG Emily - 4% 24% 40% 26% 6%
29 KER Grace - 1% 8% 28% 42% 20%
30 XU ALINA 19% 50% 26% 5% - -
31 DAI TONGXI - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
32 WANG Jianning 3% 16% 34% 32% 12% 2%
33 WEI Vivian W. 1% 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
34 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika - - - 9% 39% 43% 10%
35 OGANEZOVA Valerie 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
36 DUCKETT Madison - 1% 8% 27% 42% 23%
37 CHEN Xinyan - - 1% 14% 45% 35% 6%
37 YUAN Greta - 1% 7% 22% 37% 27% 6%
39 LIAO Siwen - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
40 LU Elaine - 1% 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
41 JEONG Katie - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 1%
42 JENKINS Scotland 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
43 PENG Florella - 1% 6% 23% 40% 27% 3%
44 PAUL Lila - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
45 NAYAK Indra - 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
46 DAVIS Jordan - 1% 12% 50% 30% 6% -
47 CHEN Ashley - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
48 MCKEE Ainsley - 5% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
49 SO Catelyn - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
50 LIU Sophie 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
51 ZENG Megan 47% 40% 11% 1% - - -
52 WU Helen - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
53 FESTA Carina - 7% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
54 NYSTROM Sofia C. - - 4% 20% 37% 30% 8%
55 SAHNI Sophia 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
56 JAVERI Amaya 3% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
57 MIKA Veronica - - 1% 10% 31% 41% 17%
57 NATH Trisha - 2% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3%
59 CRUZ Sonia 33% 44% 20% 4% - - -
60 XU Emily T. 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
61 TSUI Natalie - 5% 25% 39% 25% 6%
62 WU Yuwei 13% 40% 33% 12% 2% - -
63 NG Sarah W. 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
64 STRAYER Sofia I. 54% 39% 7% 1% - -
65 DAMDINSUREN Sophie 30% 45% 20% 4% < 1% - -
66 VADASZ Ibla P. - 1% 12% 35% 38% 14%
67 CRISAFULLI Alessia 11% 42% 42% 5% - - -
68 MU Vicki Y. 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
69 FEIG Sela - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
70 ILYIN Anna 17% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
71 MONTORIO Lily M. 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
72 HALL Gianna 29% 47% 20% 3% - - -
73 JOHNSON Lydia - 5% 22% 37% 27% 7% 1%
74 YOUNG Audrey 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2% -
75 LOPEZ-ONA Mia 1% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
76 NAYAK Anika 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
77 OBRADOVIC Ana - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
78 DAI Olivia 18% 50% 26% 5% - - -
79 DENG Brooke 1% 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% -
80 SHPILSKY Maya 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1% -
81 DUBE Naomi 67% 28% 4% - - - -
82 CHEN Kevy 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
83 YANG Lea - 9% 28% 36% 21% 6% -
84 ZHAO Emily W. 1% 11% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
84 WUNNAVA Elina 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
86 FEO ZAKHAROVA Isabella 47% 43% 10% 1% - - -
87 XIAO julie 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% -
88 SCOTT Eve 23% 49% 24% 5% - - -
89 BRIATORE Francesca 20% 50% 26% 4% - - -
90 DANTULURI Shivani 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% - -
91 HENRY Soraya S. 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
92 ZHOU Ruoxi ( Jasmine) 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
93 COLBY Mercer 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -
94 COLLINS Margaret L. 37% 46% 16% 1% - - -
95 HONG Hannah 83% 16% 1% - - - -
96 WU Selina 11% 35% 37% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.