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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Capitol Clash SYC, RCC, Veteran ROC & Y8

Y-10 Men's Foil

Monday, January 20, 2020 at 12:30 PM

National Harbor, MD - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MARX Jackson L. - - - - 5% 30% 64%
2 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - - - - 4% 28% 68%
3 ALLEN Henry G. - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 4%
3 YU Jason - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 17%
5 QIAN Jason H. - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
6 TANG Alexander L. - - - 4% 17% 41% 37%
6 LIU Ethan - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
8 MCALLISTER thomas 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
9 ZHANG Aaron - 1% 5% 23% 40% 25% 5%
10 ZHANG Alex - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
11 GERRISH William - 3% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
12 MAO Lucas - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
13 YAO Bradley - - 2% 13% 38% 40% 7%
14 GULCHIN Mark - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 8%
15 CHEN Kyle P. - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
16 LEE Brendan - 2% 15% 34% 34% 13% 2%
17 HONG Logan - 5% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
18 WONG Jackson - - 5% 21% 39% 29% 6%
19 GUTH Joseph - 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
20 SUAREZ Adrian - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 3%
21 SENIC Lucas - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 5%
22 RAJ Jay - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
23 SIMONOV Timofey - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
24 ZHAO Adam 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
25 SHIM Peter S. - 2% 16% 38% 34% 10% 1%
26 MO Ethan - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 34%
27 BERNARD Cohen - 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
28 ADAN Jacobo - - 1% 8% 26% 42% 23%
29 TAN Aidan 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
30 SUI Samuel 15% 37% 33% 12% 2% - -
31 CHA James 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
32 ZENG Rick 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
33 WONG Jacob W. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 1%
33 KOKES William - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
35 KIAYIAS Aris 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% 1%
36 KARPESHOV Maddox 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
37 NORMILE Nicholas 1% 8% 27% 37% 21% 5% -
38 GEOGHEGAN Logan 8% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
39 FOGELSON Hugh 8% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
40 PALMA Nathan Anthony - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
41 KOE Beckett 1% 11% 38% 36% 12% 1% -
42 TANG Royce - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
43 VADEN Oliver - 2% 15% 38% 34% 10% 1%
44 PENTON Ivan 23% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
45 YEVDAYEV Tamir 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
46 CATINO William 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
47 CHO Xzander 22% 52% 23% 4% - - -
48 TAI Ethan 4% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
49 ONIK Ari N. - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
50 VEDRE-KYANAM KABIR BAIG Aaradhya 1% 6% 24% 38% 24% 6% 1%
50 TAI Justin 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
52 CHONG Tristan 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
53 PISTUN Nicholas 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
54 YU William 68% 29% 3% - - - -
55 SHAW Spencer 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
56 MOY Madison 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% - -
57 ALEXANDER John 48% 41% 10% 1% - - -
57 MOSS Barry 4% 26% 44% 22% 4% - -
59 JIN Andy 31% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
60 BLACK Henry 4% 28% 41% 22% 5% 1% -
61 SCHULTZ Oliver 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
61 CAO Jorden 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
61 LIU Robert 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.