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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

San Diego SYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, December 9, 2018 at 8:00 AM

San Diego, CA - San Diego, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FUKUDA Renzo K. - - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
2 MUSHER Benjamin J. - - - 1% 14% 44% 41%
3 YU Anders - - - 6% 25% 43% 26%
3 JEON Caleb A. - - 3% 12% 29% 38% 19%
5 STRUGAR Marcus A. - - - 4% 18% 42% 37%
6 CHIRASHNYA Adam - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9%
7 COELHO Cristiano P. - - - 4% 31% 65%
8 WOO Christian 30% 44% 21% 5% - - -
9 BANERJEE ANUP - - - 1% 8% 35% 55%
10 JAIN Aditya - - - 3% 20% 50% 27%
11 TSAY Jeremy M. - - 4% 19% 38% 32% 7%
12 LI Richard - - - 3% 19% 49% 29%
13 LI Peihong 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
14 LAKE Wyatt J. - 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2%
15 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
16 GOBBO Alexander - - 2% 11% 32% 41% 15%
17 YAKUSHKIN Ernest D. - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
18 BAO Aaron - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
19 CHIN Julian S. - - - 2% 13% 41% 45%
20 PIESNER Zachary C. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
21 PAI Lakshan K. - 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 5%
22 KANG Anthony Jaegu - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
23 GOOR Julian - - 4% 20% 39% 29% 7%
24 NG Eben S. - - 7% 34% 49% 10%
25 KHER Roan - 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1%
26 MASCARI DUMONT Louis - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
27 HOSKERI Anik S. 38% 41% 17% 3% < 1% - -
28 ZHOU Oscar J. - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
29 ZHANG Jiening G. - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
30 TAN Christien 1% 11% 37% 40% 10% 1% -
31 WONG Antonio 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
32 CANLAS Nathan - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
33 LO Conrad - - 2% 14% 47% 31% 6%
34 ZHAI Jeffrey - 1% 9% 29% 40% 19% 3%
35 ANTON Nathaniel - - 4% 19% 38% 32% 6%
36 LYNCH Owen C. - - 2% 12% 29% 37% 19%
37 SHEN Owen - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
38 CHOU Jared T. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
39 DETERING Julian 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
40 WANG Ethan 1% 9% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
41 MA Andrew 3% 16% 36% 32% 11% 1% -
42 SADOVSKY Leor B. 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
43 CHIRASHNYA Daniel - - - 3% 18% 44% 34%
44 KIM Jackson - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
45 OH Joshua 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
46 LLOYD henry 1% 9% 34% 39% 16% 2%
47 NGUYEN Liam - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 7%
48 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
49 FINNEY Lorenz 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
50 LEE Christopher T. - - - 4% 24% 51% 21%
51 WU Lucas - - 2% 13% 35% 38% 13%
52 DINSAY Kristjan - 5% 20% 36% 28% 9% 1%
53 TAN Peter 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
54 KRYLTSOV Michael 4% 23% 42% 25% 6% 1% -
55 BAUER Roman - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
56 CHEN Jaden K. 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
57 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
57 LLIDO Soren 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
59 RENTERIA Emiliano 2% 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
60 OROSZLAN Benjamin - 2% 13% 35% 37% 12% 1%
61 TEH Ryan 9% 34% 36% 17% 3% - -
62 RUBIN Max 22% 45% 28% 6% - -
63 ZHOU Hao Kai (Kevin) 17% 47% 28% 7% 1% - -
63 MA Bryant 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
65 WONG Matthew H. 4% 23% 42% 27% 3% -
66 KIM Aiden 21% 43% 28% 8% 1% - -
67 SUEDA Connor 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
67 NORIEGA Julian 6% 28% 41% 21% 4% - -
69 KIM Harrison - 1% 6% 25% 38% 24% 5%
70 CORTRIGHT Skipper (Matthew) 1% 8% 30% 38% 19% 4% -
71 MAK Osman K. 5% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
72 ZUO Ethan 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
73 ZHONG Alan D. 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
74 SHAPHIR Liad 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
75 BAEK David 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
76 LI Jett 28% 45% 22% 4% - - -
77 LO Preston 1% 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
78 OH Jaden 23% 45% 25% 6% 1% - -
79 CHEN Justin K. 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
80 CHENG Jonathan - 4% 17% 35% 31% 11% 1%
80 MYERS Dean 38% 43% 17% 3% - - -
82 ZHENG zhe 42% 42% 15% 2% - - -
82 DE LA FUENTE Ian 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% - -
84 TAN Peyton 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1% -
85 ZENG Chuyi 16% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
86 NG Micah 1% 13% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
87 FRCEK Armand A. 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
88 TUAN Evan 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
89 FRANC Geoffrey C. 21% 44% 29% 7% - - -
90 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
91 FUKUDA Diego 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
92 SHPOLYANSKY Jax F. 32% 47% 19% 2% - -
93 BHARADWAJ Venkatesh 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
93 AGRAWAL Niki 29% 47% 22% 3% - - -
95 RAJ Jay 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
96 AGEYEV Aleksey 14% 48% 31% 7% 1% - -
97 CHEN Tyler 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.