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UGA Open 2020

Div III Mixed Saber

Saturday, January 25, 2020 at 9:30 AM

UNG Gainesville PE Complex - Gainesville, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	LINDHOLM Oliver S.	-	6%	24%	38%	26%	6%
2	EICHHORN Lukas H.	-	6%	25%	39%	25%	5%
3	DICKINSON Leonard H.	-	-	2%	17%	44%	37%
3	SILVA Daniel	-	-	5%	23%	44%	28%
5	LU Caleb Q.	1%	11%	31%	36%	17%	3%
6	KELLNER Taylor T.	-	2%	14%	35%	34%	13%	2%
7	JACOB Bret	-	2%	15%	35%	35%	13%
8	LOGGINS Austin J.	-	-	3%	20%	44%	32%
9	PATEL Jeet	7%	26%	35%	23%	8%	1%
10	CROWLEY James	-	-	2%	10%	29%	40%	19%
11	DESHETLER Scott	-	5%	19%	35%	30%	10%	1%
12	WISEMAN Derrick T.	-	3%	19%	44%	30%	4%
13	RICHERSON James	-	5%	22%	37%	28%	8%
14	HAMILL Daniel	1%	7%	25%	37%	25%	6%
15	LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU Alexandra	7%	25%	36%	24%	7%	1%
16	GRAHAM Ian	2%	29%	45%	21%	3%	-
17	DAWSON Todd	1%	14%	42%	33%	10%	1%
18	KALE Omkar	-	4%	19%	36%	31%	9%
19	ROBINSON Wesley	-	4%	18%	37%	32%	9%
20	ORLOFSKY Sydney	2%	17%	35%	32%	13%	2%
21	SCHIPPER Bonnie	1%	10%	26%	35%	22%	6%
22	BOONE Jason	1%	7%	24%	37%	26%	6%
23	BAKER Matthew	-	1%	5%	19%	36%	31%	8%
24	HOLDER Thomas	1%	9%	25%	35%	24%	6%
25	WOOD Mitchell	14%	36%	34%	14%	2%	-
26	HE Nikaia	1%	13%	38%	37%	10%	1%
27	BOND Christopher D.	3%	19%	36%	30%	11%	1%
28	KIEU Jimmy	1%	6%	24%	37%	26%	6%
29	BELNAP Sophie	9%	33%	38%	17%	3%	-
30	JAYASANKAR Hari	4%	22%	36%	27%	9%	1%
31	CHEN Ethan	6%	33%	42%	17%	2%	-
32	MARAGULOVA Veronika	23%	56%	19%	2%	-	-
33	OZMER Joseph	30%	41%	22%	6%	1%	-	-
34	TAYLOR Kathleen	32%	45%	20%	3%	-	-
35	SANDERS Brittany	5%	22%	35%	26%	9%	1%
36	KAMATH Meghna	2%	15%	35%	35%	13%	-
37	HOLEVINSKI Anthony	1%	11%	34%	38%	14%	1%
38	CHO Kyung Jin	4%	18%	33%	29%	13%	3%	-
39	VIDRINE Odile	11%	32%	35%	17%	4%	-
40	CONREY Chris	7%	26%	36%	23%	7%	1%
41	GIRARD Parker	4%	27%	41%	22%	5%	-	-
42	LIU Iris	8%	29%	37%	21%	4%	-
43	CREVELING Kathryn	32%	42%	21%	5%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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