The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Junior Olympic Championships

Cadet Men's Saber

Friday, February 14, 2020 at 10:30 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. - - - - 5% 30% 65%
2 LIM Ryan Y. - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
3 KUSHKOV Simon O. - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
3 HUSSAIN Faaris - - - 2% 17% 46% 35%
5 SOHN Kevin J. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
6 LILOV Neil - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
7 ZHOU Matthew R. - - - 4% 21% 43% 30%
8 LIU David J. - - 5% 20% 36% 29% 8%
9 WOOD Elden S. - - - 3% 21% 45% 30%
10 KIM Minwook - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
11 HONG Marshall Q. - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
12 LINSKY Matthew - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 24%
13 YANG Kevin S. - - 1% 6% 26% 45% 22%
14 DODRILL Grant - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
15 DHINGRA Gian K. - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
16 ASHBY Ethan J. 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
17 BENAVRAM Lev C. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
18 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - - 4% 20% 45% 31%
18 FRISHMAN Ethan J. - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
18 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
21 HAMMERSTROM Jared - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
21 SAKHAMURI Surya - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
23 MORREALE John - - 1% 10% 34% 41% 15%
24 LAI Adam J. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
25 HARGENRADER Kailen A. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
26 LIMB Matthew G. - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
27 YANG Ziyi - - - 4% 23% 47% 25%
28 WIND Nicky E. - 2% 10% 25% 35% 23% 5%
29 WILLIAMS Nolan E. - - - 5% 26% 50% 19%
30 LIN John A. - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
31 DU Gavin J. - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
32 SMITH Mitchell M. - - 1% 11% 32% 40% 16%
33 DANNULL Lukas J. - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
34 GEFELL Andrew P. - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
35 CAI Lawrence (Larry) - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
35 RAJA Arnav - 1% 7% 28% 42% 20% 3%
37 LO Joshua H. - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
37 MORRILL William - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
39 HAMMER Peter A. - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 22%
40 KIM Avery J. - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
41 CHOI HYUNSEOK - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
42 BERGER Oliver - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
43 ALKIN Isaac 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
44 CHO Brandon - 1% 6% 26% 40% 23% 4%
45 TRINH Trevor Z. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 3%
45 MORRILL Justin - - 3% 18% 39% 33% 7%
47 LASORSA Matthew - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
48 RAI Avin - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
49 PORTMANN Stein J. - 1% 6% 26% 42% 23% 3%
50 FISK Ethan 3% 16% 36% 32% 11% 1% -
51 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
52 TRAVERS Samir T. - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 27%
53 NOBLE Daniel - - 4% 22% 41% 29% 4%
54 ERACHSHAW Taras P. - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
55 YAO Jonathan - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
55 MENSAH Kennedy C - 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1%
57 BARBER Brendan - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
58 ZHOU Kevin - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 5%
59 LEE Justin - 9% 29% 36% 21% 5% -
60 LEVIN Mark A. - 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
61 LEE Aydan J. 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
62 ZHOU Justin - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 13%
63 NEUHEARDT Peter - 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2%
64 MAHONEY Colin M. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
65 CHAYEVSKY Kirk - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
66 KIM Sean G. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
67 KIM Andrew H. - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
68 LIU kelly 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7%
69 REYES Xavier M. 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
70 SHASHA Zane 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
71 CHANG Colin S. - 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
72 JEAN Noe T. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
73 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. - 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
74 XU Luke 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 5% -
75 PEDERSEN Leif - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
76 MENON Rishi 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
77 LEE Kyle 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
78 VASILYEV Nikita K. - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
79 JI Cody Walter - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
80 BAILEY Asher - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
81 RIGHTLER Samuel 3% 21% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
82 BLINKOV Andrey - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
83 TANG Alex Y. - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 9%
84 NG Jonathan H. - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 6%
85 LI Joshua L. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
86 CHEN Brian - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
87 DILLREE Spencer S. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
88 OWENS William - 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 3%
89 BOLTON Braydon A. - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
89 LE Hayden - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
91 RESHEIDAT Malik - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
92 KEEFE Duncan - 8% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
93 TANN Justin - 5% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
94 SHI Andrew - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
95 NI AMEN Zahir K. - 1% 9% 30% 39% 18% 3%
96 MAGUIRE Matthew V. - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
97 FLORES Peter D. - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
98 AVAKIAN Alec 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
99 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
100 FERRIS George H. - - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
101 DROZ Camden J. - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
102 JOHNSON Langston C. 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
103 KAYDALIN Artyom 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 6%
104 CHANG Brandon - 1% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3%
105 HUANG Eric - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 4%
106 LUKASHENKO Darii - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
107 PAN Andrew W. - 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 2%
108 LUEBBE Macklan C - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
108 CHAN Matthew - 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
110 CHEN Lucas B. - 1% 15% 45% 31% 8% 1%
111 BULL Anderson 2% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
112 CHEONG Heonjae - 5% 20% 36% 28% 9% 1%
113 SIMAK Joseph P. 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
114 KOGAN Benjamin - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
115 GINIS Nathan - - 1% 13% 39% 37% 11%
116 HONG Vincent Q. - 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
117 LAI Daniel 1% 13% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
118 MILLER Levi H. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
119 KIBBAR Tomer L. 1% 11% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
120 BANNERMAN Andrew J. 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
121 GREENBAUM Ian L. 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
122 GHOSH Tuhin - 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3%
123 JARAMILLO Tobias L. - - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9%
124 HO Kaden M. 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
125 GRIFFIN Nicholas D. - 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
126 ZHOU Aeres Z. 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
127 ALTIRS Alexander 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
128 MENTA Varun 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% -
129 GREEN IV James (Bud) - 3% 19% 39% 30% 8%
130 XU William - 6% 29% 41% 20% 3% -
131 HOUTZ Jackson - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
132 GHENEA George Philipe 1% 13% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
133 CHIN Matthew W. 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
134 BRAR Sanjeet - 2% 11% 30% 39% 16% 2%
135 GAFFNEY John M. - 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
136 HARRIS Alex K. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
137 LAUDON Konrad - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
138 LEONARD Cole 1% 7% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
139 COVINGTON Max G. - 3% 21% 37% 28% 10% 1%
140 MATSUI Alen K. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
141 LIU Jonathan M. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
142 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
143 TSODIKOV Matthew G. - 5% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
144 SPOSATO Andrew P. - 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
145 BAUER Hank E. 3% 25% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
146 GRASS James D. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
147 TANG Albert 1% 6% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
147 HASNAH Henry - 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 3%
149 FENG Leo - 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
150 BUEKER Samuel P. 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
151 SHAO Peter - 7% 51% 33% 7% 1% -
152 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
153 PETRAMALE Samuel J. 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
154 LEITH Jack 4% 31% 43% 19% 3% - -
155 HONG Steven - 11% 37% 36% 14% 2% -
156 CHAN Aidan 24% 46% 24% 5% 1% - -
157 YUN Jake - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
158 RAUSCHER Ryan 5% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
159 BERRIO Carter E. - 7% 28% 37% 22% 5% -
159 LUO ZIRUI - 3% 18% 39% 30% 9% 1%
161 SHERWOOD Hayden F. 2% 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
162 LEMPERT Levy A. - 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
163 WOODWARD Connor - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
164 ZHOU Brian 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
165 YORK Andrew 2% 17% 39% 31% 10% 1%
166 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo - 5% 21% 36% 29% 8%
167 LO Alexander 19% 46% 28% 6% 1% -
168 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
169 KENNEDY Liam A. - 3% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1%
170 GILMORE Thomas W. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
170 ZHOU Miles - 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
172 CHEN Oscar - - 4% 20% 39% 31% 5%
173 BEITEL Noah 20% 43% 28% 8% 1% - -
174 COLE Alexander 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
175 CALKINS William H. 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
176 BUCHMANN Finn D. - 3% 20% 41% 29% 7% -
177 SCHERER Max 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1% -
178 BIRKS Evan D. 3% 31% 43% 19% 3% - -
178 KASPER Aaron 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
180 COSGROVE Connor R. 12% 48% 32% 8% 1% - -
181 LEDERER Justin W. 5% 25% 41% 24% 5% 1% -
182 MYLEK Peter 1% 8% 28% 36% 21% 5% 1%
183 ELIN Adam E. 4% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
184 KOSURI Harsha 23% 48% 24% 5% 1% - -
185 BURNS Caleb 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
186 YEN Preston - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
187 MICHNA Colin P. 1% 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
188 WOLFE-MCGUIRE George T. - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
189 CHENG Albert 18% 45% 28% 8% 1% - -
190 BONSELL Vance 1% 41% 41% 14% 2% - -
191 HWANG Ryan C. 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
192 YUAN Kevin - 1% 10% 33% 38% 16% 2%
193 NGUYEN Andrew 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
194 LOPEZ Lucas M. 25% 52% 20% 3% - - -
195 JOSEPH Paul 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 9% 1%
196 SMITLEY Tyler J. 4% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
197 KIM Matthew 10% 31% 35% 19% 4% -
198 JEFFORDS Alexander - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
199 GHAYALOD ansh 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
200 ALKEMPER Tristan H. 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
201 WONG Ryan 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
202 HJERPE Wade H. - 16% 36% 32% 13% 2% -
202 NEVILLE James 19% 44% 28% 8% 1% - -
204 MAKLIN Edward P. - 8% 34% 40% 16% 2% -
204 REED Samuel J. 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
206 POPE Nico - 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4%
206 EDELMAN Seth A. 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
208 WANG Jonathan 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
208 HONG Justin 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
210 SCHWINN Maxwell D. 20% 49% 25% 5% - - -
210 GARCIA Ryan 11% 37% 34% 14% 3% - -
212 CHANIN Liam R. 35% 45% 17% 3% - - -
212 YEARLING Ethan 47% 42% 10% 1% - - -
214 NOBLE Colin 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
215 ZHENG Edward L. 4% 21% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
216 RUIGOMEZ Eduardo 9% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
217 SHI Kyle 33% 45% 19% 3% - - -
218 LICHT Aaron H. 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
219 COLLINS Andrew M. 13% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
220 NUMAN Yazan M. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 13% 2%
220 TAN Darren 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
220 MCCLUNG Gavin 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
223 BALDWIN Michael B. 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
224 FRANKLIN Callan 58% 38% 4% - - - -
225 DHANANI Zain 15% 70% 14% 1% - - -
226 FOX Nicholas 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
226 RAJAN Advait 60% 33% 6% 1% - - -
228 GRYCIUK Koby 18% 57% 21% 3% - - -
229 RICHER Tyler 42% 48% 9% 1% - - -
229 NAVARRO Geo 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
231 HAN Daniel Y. 41% 43% 14% 2% - -
232 BIDWELL Ryder 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
233 WONG James T. 20% 45% 28% 6% 1% - -
233 KORINTH Alexander J. 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
233 LAGROU Emerson R. 47% 42% 10% 1% - - -
233 SMITH Vaughn 39% 44% 15% 2% - - -
233 HU-VAN REETH Alexander 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
238 YEE Evan J. 25% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -
238 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 43% 43% 13% 2% - - -
238 SALAKHLY Mark 55% 36% 9% 1% - - -
241 BROWN Collin 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
241 NETHERTON Jack 11% 36% 37% 14% 2% - -
243 WANG Nicolas 3% 23% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
243 RONSAYRO Saul 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
243 JOYCE cameron 96% 4% - - - - -
243 CUELLAR Hugo 26% 48% 21% 4% - - -
247 MURDOCH ROY Charlie 72% 25% 3% - - - -
247 TEWES JD 63% 31% 6% - - - -
247 HENDERSON David 56% 36% 7% 1% - - -
247 LIU ALAN 80% 20% 1% - - - -
247 LEE Brian 91% 8% - - - - -
252 YU Thomas 51% 37% 11% 1% - - -
253 YI Carey 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
254 GAJDA Jesse 92% 8% - - - - -
255 HUSTON Theodore 65% 31% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.