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Junior Olympic Championships

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, February 16, 2020 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SCHMITT Trenton R. - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
2 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz - - - - 3% 25% 71%
3 BIVINS III George A. - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
3 KARAM Tariq A. - - - - 6% 34% 59%
5 HARLEY Colby A. - - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
6 LIM Ryan Y. - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
7 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
8 LILOV Neil - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
9 YEN Darren - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
10 BOLTON Braydon A. - - 3% 14% 34% 35% 13%
11 MULLENNIX Ethan M. - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
12 WILLIAMS Nolan E. - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
13 HONG Marshall Q. - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 29%
14 DANNULL Lukas J. - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
15 TE VELDE Noah C. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
16 ATTIG Will T. - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
17 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
17 RIVERA Inigo Franco - - 4% 19% 38% 32% 8%
19 FRISHMAN Ethan J. - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
19 MA Jonathan D. - - - 1% 8% 36% 54%
21 ZU Kevin - - 3% 12% 31% 37% 17%
22 TONG Qilin - - 1% 10% 33% 45% 11%
22 MULVANEY Alec S. - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 18%
24 LIMB Matthew G. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
25 LIN John A. - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
26 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
27 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
28 KUPANOFF Dimitri N. - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
29 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
30 CHAMBERS Amir E. - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
31 BASALYGA Jeffrey - - 4% 18% 39% 32% 7%
32 GREEN IV James (Bud) - 4% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
33 JOHNSON Andrew J. - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
34 KIM Stephen E. - - - 2% 11% 37% 50%
35 OSOLINIEC Victor E. - - - 2% 14% 39% 45%
36 BOLTON Dawson E. - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 10%
37 DHINGRA Gian K. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 7%
38 DROZ Camden J. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
39 LINSKY Matthew - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
40 HU William - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
41 MERCHANT Marcel J. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
42 NADILE Henry V. - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
43 OSTER Keegan J. - - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13%
44 LUKASHENKO Darii - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
45 BERGER Oliver - 2% 16% 39% 35% 9%
46 KIM Avery J. - - 2% 14% 36% 36% 11%
47 JI Cody Walter - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
48 JEFFORDS Alexander - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
49 CHOI HYUNSEOK - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
50 GEFELL Andrew P. - 2% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5%
51 PEDERSEN Leif - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11% 1%
52 CHAYEVSKY Kirk - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
53 KIM Minwook - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 13%
54 HAMMERSTROM Jared - 3% 15% 31% 33% 15% 2%
55 LO Joshua H. - 2% 12% 30% 36% 17% 2%
56 ZHANG Michael M. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
57 SINGER Carson - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
58 LAI Adam J. - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
59 SHASHA Zane - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
60 CAPPELLUTI Ryan M. - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
61 JEAN Noe T. - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
62 WU Nicholas R. 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
63 LEFEVRE Colin B. 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
64 WOOD Elden S. - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
65 CHO Justin W. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
66 SHIN Richard J.H. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
67 SMITH Jared C. - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
67 SAKHAMURI Surya - - 2% 10% 31% 40% 18%
69 REESE Aaron S. - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
70 BARNETT Adam - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
71 YANG Kevin S. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
72 MIKA Casper - - - 5% 23% 43% 29%
73 TRAVERS Samir T. - - 2% 13% 33% 36% 14%
74 KIM Sean G. - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
75 MOON Sean H. - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
76 BUKOWSKI Bronson - 4% 23% 41% 27% 5%
77 BARTOLO Domenic V. - 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 1%
78 GANTA Vijay 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
79 HARRIS Alex K. 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
80 CHOU Stephen C. - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
81 KAYDALIN Artyom 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
82 KIM Andrew H. - 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
83 CHANG Brandon - 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 1%
84 BLINKOV Andrey 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3%
85 WUN William - 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
86 KOKKIN Jack S. - 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
87 CHAN Daniel 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
88 ZHOU Justin - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
89 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. - 11% 38% 37% 13% 1%
89 BENAVRAM Lev C. - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
89 TRINH Trevor Z. - 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
92 CAI Lawrence (Larry) - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 16%
93 SHI Andrew - 3% 13% 29% 32% 18% 4%
94 SHEPANEK Noah M. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
95 BAILEY Asher - 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 1%
96 MORRILL William - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
97 NG Jonathan H. - 2% 16% 37% 32% 12% 1%
98 BREIER Satchel E. - - 7% 29% 39% 21% 4%
99 JARAMILLO Tobias L. - 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
100 KANARY Logan A. - - 1% 6% 25% 42% 25%
101 CHO Brandon - 3% 14% 31% 34% 15% 2%
102 LIU David J. - 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 4%
103 NOBLE Daniel 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 4% -
104 PRIEST Leighton K. - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
105 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
106 IWAMOTO Eric Y. - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
107 LEVIN Mark A. 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
108 RAMAN Easwer - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
109 MILLER Levi H. - 4% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3%
110 MAHONEY Colin M. - 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
111 MORRILL Justin 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
112 HONG Vincent Q. 1% 16% 35% 32% 13% 3% -
113 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
114 OWENS William - 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
115 D'ORAZIO Joseph - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
115 MORREALE John - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
117 LEE Kyle - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
117 LIU kelly - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
119 DODRILL Grant - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
120 PORTMANN Stein J. 1% 5% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
121 VASILYEV Nikita K. - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
122 CHANG Eliot A. 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
123 XU William 4% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
123 MENON Rishi 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
125 GINIS Nathan - 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
126 WOODWARD Connor - 4% 21% 38% 27% 8% 1%
127 ROBERTS Sam - 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
128 HANEY Vincent 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
129 LAUDON Konrad 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
130 LEUNG Mark - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
131 YAO Jonathan - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
132 YAN Jack P. - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
133 GILES Jeremy M. - - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9%
134 ZHOU Kevin - 4% 20% 37% 29% 8% 1%
134 NEUHEARDT Peter 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
136 CHEONG Heonjae 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
137 SMITH Mitchell M. - 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 4%
138 DANNULL Linus N. - - 7% 29% 39% 21% 4%
138 DESAI Drewv D. 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
140 ALTIRS Alexander 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
141 POPE Nico - 5% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
142 SMITH David C. - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
143 TAO Stone Z. 1% 6% 20% 34% 27% 11% 1%
144 ESCUETA Tony V. - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
144 ERACHSHAW Taras P. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
146 SOHN Kevin J. - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 12%
147 PRICE Jack S. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
148 ZHOU Matthew R. - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
149 MENSAH Kennedy C - 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
150 KEEFE Duncan 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
151 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. - 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 4%
152 TANN Justin 1% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
153 LASORSA Matthew - 5% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
154 SIMAK Joseph P. 1% 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
155 CHEN Oscar - 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
156 LI Joshua L. 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
157 ASHBY Ethan J. 2% 19% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
157 WIND Nicky E. - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
159 TANG Alex Y. 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
160 NI AMEN Zahir K. - 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
161 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. - 2% 10% 25% 33% 23% 6%
162 LUO ZIRUI 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
163 LEONARD Cole 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
164 MAGUIRE Matthew V. 1% 14% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
165 CHAN Matthew - 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
166 GILMORE Thomas W. 4% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
166 JOHNSON Langston C. 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
168 MENON Rohan C. 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
168 KOUNALAKIS Antoneo T. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
170 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. - 2% 15% 35% 34% 12% 1%
170 DILLREE Spencer S. - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
172 TSODIKOV Matthew G. 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
173 HAMMER Peter A. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
174 YEN Preston - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
175 COVINGTON Max G. - 9% 42% 35% 11% 2% -
176 FLORES Peter D. - 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
177 RAI Avin - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
178 KIM Benjamin H. - 3% 12% 29% 35% 19% 2%
179 HOUTZ Jackson 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
180 HARGENRADER Kailen A. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1%
181 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
182 MATSUI Alen K. - 6% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1%
182 HUANG Jonathan S. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
184 VAULES Charles W. 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
185 GILLIGAN Wolff 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% -
186 RABINKOV Anthony - 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1%
187 QUAN Nicholas - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
188 SMITLEY Tyler J. 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
189 REYES Xavier M. 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 5% -
190 MURZYN III CJ 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% -
191 GHOSH Tuhin 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1%
192 WINKLER Lucas G. - 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
193 LUEBBE Macklan C - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
194 MARSEE James - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
195 BRAR Sanjeet 1% 20% 39% 29% 10% 1% -
196 HOFFMAN Skyler E. 6% 36% 38% 16% 3% - -
197 KILBOURNE Lance 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
198 XU Luke 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1% -
200 BUEKER Samuel P. - 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
200 CHANG Colin S. - 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
202 LE Hayden - 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
203 DEMAREST Iain - - 3% 15% 37% 37% 8%
203 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
205 RAJA Arnav - 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
205 LAI Daniel 10% 37% 36% 14% 3% - -
207 PETRAMALE Samuel J. 1% 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
207 SCHARDINE Ryan 6% 28% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
209 HOLMES Aiden G. - 4% 26% 39% 24% 6% 1%
210 CHIN Matthew W. 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
210 PARKHURST Jr Michael 1% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
212 STEINMETZ John 2% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
213 WESLER Logan A. - 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
214 YUAN Kevin 5% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
214 HUANG Eric 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
216 LEE Jude H. 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
217 HOEY-WASOW Henry 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
218 GHENEA George Philipe - 39% 42% 16% 2% -
218 BARBER Brendan 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 5% -
220 RIGHTLER Samuel 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% - -
221 HWANG Ryan C. 8% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
222 HAWKINS Jasper R. 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
223 GAFFNEY John M. 3% 23% 38% 26% 9% 1% -
224 FENG Leo 4% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
224 LUKIBANOV Nicholas O. 10% 34% 36% 17% 3% - -
224 LIN William 1% 9% 28% 35% 20% 5% 1%
227 KIBBAR Tomer L. 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
228 RAJAN Advait 68% 27% 4% - - - -
228 VILLARREAL Mateo 2% 52% 36% 9% 1% - -
230 KEEFE Christopher C. 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
231 PAN Andrew W. 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2% -
232 BANNERMAN Andrew J. 13% 33% 34% 16% 4% -
233 HAN Daniel Y. 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
234 RESHEIDAT Malik 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
235 KIM Matthew 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
236 EPSTEIN Henry N. 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
237 GARCIA Ryan 13% 43% 33% 10% 1% - -
238 LIU Jonathan M. 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
238 ZHOU Miles 8% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
240 BULL Anderson 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
240 BAUER Hank E. 14% 46% 31% 8% 1% - -
242 MYERS Kaleb S. 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
243 GHAYALOD ansh 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
244 CHENG Albert 25% 47% 23% 5% - - -
245 CHANIN Liam R. 68% 28% 4% - - - -
246 CORREAL-WINTERS Naige 71% 27% 2% - - - -
247 YEARLING Matthew 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
248 FERRIS George H. - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
249 YORK Andrew 4% 24% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
250 VENCILL Nicholas 67% 28% 4% - - - -
251 LICHT Aaron H. 20% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
251 MENTA Varun 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
253 CALKINS William H. 3% 22% 37% 27% 9% 2% -
254 WEHLE Paul 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
255 LIU Christopher X. 23% 42% 26% 8% 1% - -
255 BURNS Caleb 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
255 HASNAH Henry 5% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
258 TEVEBAUGH Andrew 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
259 CHEN Brian - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
260 KORINTH Alexander J. 60% 33% 6% 1% - - -
261 WANG Jonathan 49% 39% 10% 1% - - -
262 BROWN Collin 74% 23% 3% - - - -
263 ZHOU Brian 1% 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
263 KOSURI Harsha 36% 43% 17% 3% - - -
265 GRIFFIN Nicholas D. 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
266 LEMPERT Levy A. 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
267 GOLDBERG Gabriel A. 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
267 ELIN Adam E. 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
267 LEITH Jack 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
267 ALKIN Isaac 4% 31% 39% 20% 5% 1% -
271 LATIF Ali A. 47% 40% 12% 2% - - -
272 ROPER Evan C. 2% 16% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
272 HURST Alexander 31% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
274 COLLINS Andrew M. 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
274 WONG James T. 39% 45% 14% 2% - - -
274 REED Samuel J. 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
274 LOGGINS Austin J. 1% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
278 BIRKS Evan D. 63% 31% 6% 1% - - -
278 NIELANDER Elliot S. 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
280 LEDERER Justin W. 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
280 LAGROU Emerson R. 83% 16% 1% - - - -
280 DHANANI Zain 98% 2% - - - - -
283 LOPEZ Lucas M. 54% 37% 8% 1% - - -
284 ALTSCHUL James 6% 34% 39% 17% 3% - -
285 YEARLING Ethan 81% 18% 2% - - - -
286 FURMAN Thomas G. 52% 36% 10% 2% - - -
287 NEGRON Hector T. 36% 46% 16% 2% - - -
287 LIU ALAN 100% - - - - - -
287 NAVARRO Geo 16% 58% 23% 3% - - -
287 JOYCE cameron 97% 3% - - - - -
291 EDELMAN Seth A. 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
291 RONSAYRO Saul 82% 16% 1% - - - -
291 PARK Nolan 99% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.