January NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Saturday, January 4, 2020 at 8:00 AM

Charlotte, NC - Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOURETTE Geoffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76%
2 MEINHARDT Gerek L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
3 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
3 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
5 BRAVO Kenji U. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
6 IMBODEN Race A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 64%
7 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 40%
8 ZHENG Andrew R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 12%
9 IVERSON Shane D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37%
9 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
11 KUMBLA Sidarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
12 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
13 MATHIEU Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
14 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
15 CHUNG Andrew N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
16 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
17 KUCEBA Vitalijs 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
18 RHEINGANS-YOO Duncan R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
19 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
19 LEVIN Nestor R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 16%
21 BARMANN Samuel (Sam) I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
22 LI Michael C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
23 MACHOVEC Andrew C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
24 KNODT Julian P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
25 ORTS Lucas E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 24%
26 HOSSFELD Finn E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
27 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
28 OLIVARES Marcello G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
28 TAN Lawrence (Lance) E. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21% 2%
30 WANG Brian S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
31 HAN YIMING 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
32 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
33 WOODS Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 36%
33 PIVOVAROV Aleksandr 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 5%
35 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
36 ANDRADE Nicholas H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
36 PAIK Joon K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
38 DING Allan 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 1%
39 TULYAG Fyze A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 10%
40 MARINO Joseph A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
41 LEVY Jasper 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
42 KANESHIGE Brian K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 58%
42 JOHNSON Aidan J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
44 LIAO Jun Heng (James) 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
45 PRILUTSKY David B. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
46 GRUBER Samuel T. 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 36% 7%
47 LIU Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
48 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 6%
49 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 10%
50 WRIEDT Nathan O. 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
51 SONG Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
52 HU Oliver W. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
52 JEON Caleb A. 100% 92% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
54 DEBACK Maximus (Max) X. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17%
55 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
56 KOZAK Mateusz 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
57 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
58 BRATTON Jack S. 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 11% 1%
59 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 5%
60 DENYSE Jameson 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
61 LU Kerry L. 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 19% 2%
62 KAISER Hans Z. 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 23% 4%
63 LIMA Kevin M. 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 2%
64 YU Vinni 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 15% 2%
65 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
66 HOLMES Stuart S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
66 HUANG Bin 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
68 DANIEL Ashton 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
69 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 7%
70 DORITY Philip S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 14%
71 YU Eric W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 17%
72 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31% 3%
73 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 4%
74 DUDEY Michael 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
75 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
76 LEE Benjamin H. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 1%
77 HOLMES Andrew E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
77 LEWICKI Max 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
79 SCARPA Ryan N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 15%
80 HODGES Carter F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
81 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1%
82 RITCHIE Luke W. 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
83 WELCH Kyle J. 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
84 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
85 PARK Luke J. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
86 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 5%
86 PALAZZOLO William J. 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
88 CATLIN Adam 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
89 ZUSIN Zachary W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
90 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 5%
91 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
92 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11% 1%
92 LEE Caden 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
94 MOELIS Samuel (Sam) D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 62%
95 POLANSKY Solomon 100% 100% 95% 80% 50% 19% 3%
96 GRONNINGSATER Eoin P. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
96 MCGOFF Jose I. 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
98 ZAKHARIKOV Anton 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
99 MURRAY Thomas J. 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 1%
100 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
101 MOORE Jeremy S. 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 5% -
102 CHOO Joseph W. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 13% 2%
103 PARKINS Benjamin B. 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
104 REID Clayton J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
105 SHAFAIE Kaveh 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36% 3%
106 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 2%
107 ANDREWS Nathan J. 100% 100% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
108 LIN Richard W. 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% -
109 LI Brian H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
110 CANNON Caiden C. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
111 KOECK Tomas E. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
112 TIERNEY David A. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
113 PELOSKY Ryan F. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 6%
114 VOGLER Justin K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 9%
115 GAUDET Paul D. 100% 97% 74% 34% 7% 1% -
115 O'BRIEN Jack K. 100% 98% 83% 43% 10% 1% -
117 OUELLETTE David M. 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 14% 1%
118 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
118 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 17% 1%
120 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
121 LI Raphael C. 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1% -
122 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 94% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
123 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 96% 69% 30% 6% -
124 MAURER Ned (John) E. 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
125 LIMA Gabriel M. 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% -
126 FARQUHARSON Cole 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 4% -
127 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
128 ALSARRAF Abdulaziz 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
129 MCGILLION-MOORE Jake 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 19% 2%
130 SENIC Anatolie 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 4%
131 PAIK Hyun K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
132 TAQI Ahmad F. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
133 PAZ Ethan 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
134 OLSON Pel R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
135 GAZIANO William F. 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
135 CHOUN Samuel Minwook 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
137 JANG Jaewon 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 9% 1%
138 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
139 AYUPOV Ilya 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
140 LEVY Jacob M. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
141 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 96% 73% 35% 10% 1% -
141 BOROWIAK Arwen 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 7%
143 SHAFAIE Ali 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 1%
143 BERMENDER Cameron 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
143 ROMANOV Michael 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
146 PETER Griffin 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4% -
147 SMITH V Edward (Quin) A. 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1% -
148 FIELD Miles 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
149 GEE Brandon 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 1%
150 PAEK Alex J. 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
151 YANG Adam 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
152 URODOVSKIKH Evan 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
153 WEN George C. 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
154 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
154 HUTH Jacob 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
156 HERMAN Justin D. 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 4% -
157 ADLER David R. 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 1%
158 RUFFNER Blake W. 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
159 PRINCE Nicholas J. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
160 MANNAN Zohaib 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
160 VITI Mark G. 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 6% 1%
162 ROSSELLO Gustavo J. 100% 98% 72% 32% 8% 1% -
163 HONG Daniel 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
164 CHIN Julian S. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
165 COZINE Owen N. 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 5% -
166 LI Sean X. 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
167 HERGERT Benito 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
168 TUMMINGS C.J. 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 23% 2%
169 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 95% 67% 23% 3% - -
170 SHIH William 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
171 CHIN Jason Y. 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
172 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 96% 75% 41% 12% 2% -
172 ZELJKOVIC Dusan 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
174 MA Alexander 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
175 LAURICELLA Douglas 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
176 DIVENTI Paul W. 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
177 PETERS Nathan M. 100% 78% 34% 8% 1% -
178 ROUNTREE Rob 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
179 GRIFFITH Jordan 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
180 CHENG Thomas C. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13% 1%
181 ARNOLD Oscar A. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
182 LI Simon A. 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
183 FUKUDA Alessio R. 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4% -
184 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
185 LOPEZ Carlos D. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
186 HELTON Noah 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
186 BAE Junnie 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
188 PITCHER Skylar L. 100% 96% 70% 25% 4% - -
188 ANDERSON Colton J. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
188 BATRAK Alexander 100% 100% 93% 65% 22% 3% -
191 HO Ryan J. 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
192 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 95% 65% 23% 3% - -
193 CHOI Ethan L. 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
193 AVRON Case B. 100% 82% 39% 9% 1% - -
195 HEMPE Jake 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
196 LIU Eric P. 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1% -
197 FLANAGAN James 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
198 LIM Ari 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 4% -
199 GRANT Lachlan K. 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
200 WAN Jason 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
201 WU Michael 100% 97% 77% 37% 9% 1% -
202 JACOBS Matthew A. 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
202 ZHOU TIMMY 100% 100% 91% 63% 25% 5% -
204 SINGH Dayaal 100% 91% 59% 23% 4% - -
204 SEZER Kaya 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
206 BALL James T. 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% - -
206 DESANDO Michael R. 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
208 TICHACEK Matthew J. 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
208 KIM Isaiah G. 100% 89% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
210 SLEDESKI Andrew 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 1%
211 MCCORD Clark 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% - -
212 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
213 LEUNG Wai Chi Ethan 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
214 TRAUGOT Braden (Brady) C. 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
214 GU Jeffrey 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
216 BLUTT Emerson B. 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
216 LOMBARDI Leo 100% 92% 58% 20% 3% - -
218 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
218 JU Alexander (Alex) Y. 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 7% -
220 HEWES Thomas G. 100% 96% 76% 44% 15% 3% -
221 NAMPON Spenser R. 100% 93% 55% 17% 3% - -
221 GÉLINAS Jonathan 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% - -
223 RICCIO Frank J. 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
224 CHEN Allen 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2% -
224 SIEGEL Elliot 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
224 LI Edward 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
227 GRASS Andrew E. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
228 DEGREMONT Henri S. 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
228 CHEN-LI David C. 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
230 SELENDY Maximilian (Max) A. 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
231 LI Ryan Z. 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
232 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 99% 88% 52% 14% 1% -
233 WITTENBERG Jackson H. 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
234 REZNICK Nicholas J. 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
235 HAN Andersen Y. 100% 92% 60% 19% 3% - -
236 BOLTON Lucas R. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
237 DESAI Nalin H. 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% -
238 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
239 LEE Daniel C. 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% -
240 OH Samuel H. 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1% -
241 BARLETTA Joseph 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 10% 1%
242 REGE Advaith 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
243 MCKENNA Joseph (Owen) O. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 19% 2%
244 TORO Alejandro 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
245 MEJIA-RUIZ Gabriel 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
245 MAO Connor 100% 90% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
245 LUTAR Lucas N. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
245 DROUTMAN Ryan 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% - -
245 UPTON Craig 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -
250 WU Albert 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
250 FORTNER Lance R. 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
250 DESHMUKH Ayush 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -
250 LEMAY Teo 100% 91% 56% 20% 4% - -
254 LEVY Cameron 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
255 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 95% 64% 24% 4% - -
255 MILLER Trent D. 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
257 ZEFF Avi 100% 60% 20% 4% - - -
258 NEWHARD Noah A. 100% 83% 39% 9% 1% - -
259 SCHULTES Evans 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
260 LEE Chris 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
261 GIRALDO Pablo E. 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 11% 1%
262 JUDD Mehta J. 100% 35% 5% - - - -
263 SPEVAK Alexander 100% 93% 69% 35% 10% 2% -
264 STACKHOUSE Andre L. 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% - -
264 SCHLESINGER Nathan 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
264 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
264 FRITZ Ayden R. 100% 95% 68% 28% 5% - -
268 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
268 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
270 CHEN Andrew 100% 98% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
271 GALINSKY David A. 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
272 SAMORA Jose G. 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
272 WETMORE Lucas W. 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% - -
274 ZHANG Luke T. 100% 89% 51% 16% 3% - -
275 BRANDT-OGMAN Adlai 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
276 DING Jonathan 100% 91% 59% 22% 5% - -
277 KEE Andrew L. 100% 93% 59% 18% 2% - -
278 MITCHELL Philip D. 100% 92% 66% 32% 10% 1% -
279 LE Vyn A. 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
280 DARIANO Noah G. 100% 95% 63% 24% 4% - -
280 KIM Ian M. 100% 81% 40% 11% 2% - -
282 GALBRAITH Oliver S. 100% 63% 17% 2% - - -
282 MURRAY Maximo 100% 85% 49% 17% 4% - -
282 MARSHALL Ian 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
282 YIM Alex 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
286 SHIBU Pranav 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% - -
286 IVARSSON Oliver 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
288 BRYAN Thomas A. 100% 73% 23% 3% - - -
288 PARK Noah A. 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
288 DIERKS Kian 100% 80% 41% 11% 2% - -
291 MEJIA-RUIZ Daniel A. 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
291 ANDERSON David C. 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
293 BOUIE Jacob 100% 67% 22% 3% - - -
294 JOHNSON Zachary R. 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
294 MUELLER Donn 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
296 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
296 SCHUR Skyler 100% 53% 12% 1% - - -
298 HSIUNG Richie 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.