The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

January NAC

Junior Men's Épée

Monday, January 6, 2020 at 8:00 AM

Charlotte, NC - Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HANSEN Jonas B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
2 GRAMS Steven 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 14%
3 HERBST Isaac L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
3 KAMBESELES Peter G. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
5 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
6 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
7 LEIGH David A. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
8 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
9 CHMUT Anton 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
10 PISKOVATSKOV Jonathan (Yonik) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
11 ZHAO Howard 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
12 TAFOYA Devin D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
13 LAWSON Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
14 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
15 SPITERI Gareth J. 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
16 PARK Thomas Junseo 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3%
17 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 14%
18 GRIFFITHS Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
19 SZAPARY Tristan B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
20 ZHENG Hagen 100% 100% 100% 91% 60% 22% 3%
21 ROGAK Benjamin A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
22 KIMATIAN Harrison J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
23 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
24 GAIDAR Daniel B. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
25 JEON Alexander E. 100% 99% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
26 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
27 FRANK Timmy 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
28 KRAVIT Connor B. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
29 RAYLE Evan K. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
30 SANTOS Cameron A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
31 KANG Michael H. 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
32 ZHANG Joshua 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
33 TEMIRYAEV Alan L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 25%
34 POLKOVSKY Dylan S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
35 BISSINGER Michael P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
36 LAWSON Henry A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
37 ZHU Wilson 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
38 SHENG Patrick Y. 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
39 YU Colin 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
40 DOLGONOS Mark 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
41 SHUGART Henry R. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
42 HUGHES Levi H. 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 20% 3%
43 KIM Juni C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
44 LAWLER Aidan 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
45 MATVEEV Valentin S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
46 CANDELA Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
47 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 6%
48 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
49 KOKENGE Clark 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
49 CHA Russell W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
49 RHYU Kozmo 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
52 CHO Tyler H. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
52 TAE William G. 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
54 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 6%
55 GUO Austin S. 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 21% 3%
56 PROCTOR Oliver L. 100% 100% 95% 76% 36% 7%
57 YAO Michael 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 33% 7%
58 RODNEY Maxwell 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
59 RUSSANOV Boris J. 100% 100% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
60 KIM William M. 100% 99% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
61 RUSSANOV Dennis 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
62 SJOSTEDT Jacob H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
63 WALSH Kevin 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
64 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
65 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 15%
66 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 24% 5%
66 MA Ark 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
68 GRABER Andrew J. 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
69 VAYSBERG Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
70 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
71 MALYSZ Anthony J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
72 MIELE Benjamin 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 4%
73 BRANDRETH Garret 100% 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
74 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
75 NGUYEN Ethan D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
76 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
77 GUI Runlin 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% -
78 LEE Aaron Y. 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 3%
78 JEONG Connor 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
80 XU Timothy (Tingwei) 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
81 LEE Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
82 ZHOU Alan 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
83 SMITH William K. 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 7% 1%
84 LEI Joshua 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
85 MANCINI Christopher M. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
86 MOTIR Lucas D. 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 2%
87 CAPELLUA Tommaso 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
88 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
89 CAMPBELL Daniel R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
89 VINNITCHOUK Theodore (Ted) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
91 WEI Zikun 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 6%
91 TUCKER Owen J. 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
93 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3%
93 XIAN Ryan 100% 100% 95% 66% 26% 5% -
95 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 13%
96 KUMAR Anitya 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
97 LIN Ryan 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
98 WESTEN Zachary (Zack) C. 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
99 CORBAN Michael Y. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
100 MALIASSOV Nikita S. 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7%
101 YI Kyle 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
102 DAVIES Morgan 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% 1%
103 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 13% 1%
104 XIAN Riley 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
105 BODON Michele I. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
106 COMBS Colson 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
107 HAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
108 LIANG Aaron 100% 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
109 MARAKOV Allen B. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
109 STOREY Joseph P. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
111 KEHOE James E. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
112 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
113 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
114 PAEK Alex J. 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 12% 1%
115 YOON Nathan 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 3% -
116 XU Zitong (Evan) 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
117 SHIN Joshua 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
118 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
119 STUBBLEFIELD Alexander 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
120 BUTLER Tylen A. 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
121 INSLER Gabriel C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
122 LENDER David 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
123 ZARETSKY Daniel A. 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
123 CARVALHO Daniel S. 100% 99% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
125 GARCIA-ROGERS Kyle J. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
126 SITBON-TAYLOR Noe B. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
126 LEE Shwan 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
128 MORSE Tyler 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
129 COHEN Bennett 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
130 HILBERT Xavier 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
131 COHEN Jared E. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
132 CHARRON Jack H. 100% 95% 63% 23% 4% - -
133 KRONROD Tal 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
134 KUMASHI Mihir R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
135 BEACH Nicholas 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
136 DIXON Samuel 100% 100% 91% 64% 28% 6% 1%
137 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
138 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
138 WOZNIAK Sebastian 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
140 DAO Matthew M. 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 24% 5%
141 ZHOU Alec Q. 100% 97% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
142 KUTTRUS Max D. 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
143 PAOLINI Nathan R. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
144 MOON Ryan Y. 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
145 MARTIN Nathan C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
146 ZEFF Mati 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
147 SALISBURY Cary 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
148 SPANO Gideon S. 100% 95% 69% 32% 9% 1% -
148 SOOMRO Adam A. 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
150 PLUMER Jack E. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
151 HORTELANO Ethan 100% 99% 81% 45% 15% 2% -
152 HU Matthew 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
153 KIM Ethan S. 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
154 KAMBESELES Jack M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 3%
155 KELSEY Ryan 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
156 MUN Michael K. 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
157 BENACK Mark 100% 96% 58% 19% 3% - -
157 ROBINSON Keegan B. 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 12% 2%
159 BEKKER Mitchel 100% 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
160 YUMIACO Nolan C. 100% 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
161 MUGA Boris 100% 99% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
162 JOSEPH William 100% 81% 40% 11% 2% - -
163 DOUGLAS Colin F. 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
163 PAVLENISHVILI David G. 100% 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
165 WALSTON Michael (Kent) 100% 53% 13% 1% - - -
165 SHIN Sung (Andy) 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
167 ZHANG Matthew 100% 98% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
168 KEMP Nicolas 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
169 GARCIA-ROGERS Lucas H. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
170 FENWICK Luke A. 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
171 GLAZ Nicholas S. 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
172 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
173 LEHR William D. 100% 90% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
174 GOLDER Will W. 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
175 NOMANI Shibli D. 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 2% -
175 WANG Kevin de-tai 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 2% -
177 KIM Alexander 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
177 LEE Timothy S. 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
179 JIN Alexander 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
180 LIU Darren 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
181 SHOURIE Jai 100% 90% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
182 FREEMAN Daniel H. 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
183 KIM Ethan J. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
184 HERMANSON David B. 100% 97% 67% 27% 6% 1% -
185 MISKELL William 100% 22% 2% - - - -
186 PICARD Christopher (Chris) W. 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
187 CHILANA Savitoz (Savi) 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
188 SMITH Jett A. 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% -
189 BRENNAN Charles F. 100% 70% 26% 5% - -
190 ELLIS Yehia S. 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 7%
191 FARQUHARSON Cole 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% -
192 PARK Jong-Eun 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% -
193 PALAZZI Giuliano 100% 50% 8% 1% - - -
194 GLECKNER Aidan 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
195 STOTT Donovan R. 100% 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
196 WOZNIAK David 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
197 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
198 GARCIA Christopher W. 100% 82% 39% 9% 1% - -
198 CLICK Aiden 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
200 PARNAS Apollo 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
201 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
201 LEE Wesley 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
203 ADLER Ian B. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
203 ATANAS Matthew M. 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
203 GREGORY Nicholas 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
206 PARK Ian C. 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% 1%
206 WIMMER Chandler M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
208 NG Joshua Z. 100% 51% 14% 2% - - -
209 HODGE Jaydon L. 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
210 HAWKINS Daniel P. 100% 65% 19% 3% - - -
211 HANKINS Trace 100% 86% 53% 20% 5% 1% -
212 PARNAS Ely 100% 92% 55% 17% 3% - -
213 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
214 GROSSMAN August 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
215 JAMES Samuel 100% 97% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
216 BAGHA Armin 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
217 GYURE Brayden H. 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 7% 1%
218 HAN David 100% 56% 16% 3% - - -
219 LEI Jacob 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
220 KOLKER Gregory A. 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
220 LANGENDERFER Braeden 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
222 BAKER Julian L. 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
223 LEE Kennith 100% 63% 12% 1% - - -
224 GUNDUBOGULA Raj 100% 65% 21% 4% - - -
225 THOMPSON Benjamin 100% 24% 3% - - - -
225 SAMMS-HAY Cameron 100% 32% 4% - - - -
225 YI Daniel 100% 13% 1% - - - -
228 SHAH Anuj 100% 19% 1% - - - -
228 YIM Nathan H. 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
230 TRUJILLO Andres 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
231 PATEL Neal 100% 62% 18% 3% - - -
231 SONG Ervin 100% 67% 10% 1% - - -
233 KIM Ray 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
234 WILCOX Alexander 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
234 CHEN Ronald 100% 66% 24% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.