The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Bay Cup at TFC: Y10, Y12, Y14 Foil

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, March 8, 2020 at 3:30 PM

The Fencing Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEVY Jacob - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
2 CHIRASHNYA Daniel - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
3 WU Lucas - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
3 RANJITH Yash - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
5 SISINNI Riccardo 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
6 AGRAWAL Niki - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 2%
7 PONCIN Sebastian - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
8 CORTRIGHT Skipper (Matthew) - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
9 RASMUSSEN Sage 1% 7% 27% 40% 22% 3%
10 ZHANG Luke 44% 40% 13% 2% < 1% - -
11 CO Dylan - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 7%
12 LING Eddie - 3% 18% 39% 33% 7%
13 LOFTUS Luca - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
14 TSAY Jordan 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
15 KIM Daniel - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
16 VENKATESH Valen 6% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
17 ZHANG Graham 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
18 GORDON William L. 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
19 STROFS Alexander 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
20 YEN Jordan 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
21 FLIGOR William 27% 45% 23% 5% - -
22 SONG Beckett 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
23 SONG Matthew 7% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
24 CHUN Dashel 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
25 YUE Jackson 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
26 HE Bourne 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
27 HE Ian 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.